The impact of demand uncertainty on product line design under endogenous substitution

The existing product line design literature devotes little attention to the effect of demand uncertainty. Due to demand uncertainty, the supply‐demand mismatch is inevitable which leads to different degrees of lost sales depending on the configuration of product lines. In this article, we adopt a stylized two‐segment setup with uncertain market sizes and illustrate the interplay between two effects: risk pooling that mitigates the impact of demand uncertainty and market segmentation that facilitates consumer differentiation. Compared to downward substitution, inducing bidirectional substitution through product line decisions including quality levels and prices can yield greater risk pooling effects. However, we show that the additional benefit from the risk pooling effect cannot compensate for the reduced market segmentation effect. We demonstrate that the presence of demand uncertainty can reduce the benefit of market segmentation and therefore the length of product lines in terms of the difference between products. We also propose three heuristics that separate product line and production decisions; each of these heuristics corresponds to one particular form of demand substitution. Our numerical studies indicate that the best of the three heuristics yields performance that is close to optimality. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 143–157, 2015     

Optimal pricing and scheduling control of product shipping

In this article, we seek to understand how a capacity‐constrained seller optimally prices and schedules product shipping to customers who are heterogeneous on willingness to pay (WTP) and willingness to wait (WTW). The capacity‐constrained seller does not observe each customer's WTP and WTW and knows only the aggregate distributions of WTP and WTW. The seller's problem is modeled as an M/M/N_s queueing model with multiclass customers and multidimensional information screening. We contribute to the literature by providing an optimal and efficient algorithm. Furthermore, we numerically find that customers with a larger waiting cost enjoys a higher scheduling priority, but customers with higher valuation do not necessarily get a higher scheduling priority. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 215–227, 2015     

微波脉冲对硅基双极型晶体管的损伤特性

利用微波脉冲注入实验平台,对硅基双极型晶体管低噪声放大器进行了损伤效应实验。在微波脉冲对硅基双极型晶体管低噪声放大器损伤的失效分析中,当低噪声放大器增益下降大于10d B时,发现硅基双极型晶体管出现了永久损伤。通过对比测量硅基双极型晶体管损伤前后的电特性以及利用扫描电子显微镜观测损伤后晶体管的微观特性发现:硅基双极型晶体管被微波脉冲损伤后,基区的硅材料烧蚀导致发射结和集电结短路,不再具有PN结特性,导致器件失效。     

摆线齿准双曲面齿轮齿面主动设计

为预控双面法加工的摆线齿准双曲面齿轮的啮合性能,用大轮理论齿面展成与之共轭的小轮共轭齿面,将小轮共轭齿面沿啮合线方向和接触迹线方向分别进行修形,得到满足预置传动误差曲线以及接触印痕的目标齿面,计算出目标齿面与小轮理论齿面的法向偏差。建立以小轮加工参数调整量为变量,小轮两侧齿面与目标齿面法向偏差平方和最小为目标的优化模型,并采用序列二次规划算法求解该模型。以某高速车桥齿轮副为例进行验证,结果表明:加工参数调整后小轮两侧齿面与各自目标齿面的最大法向偏差分别为-4.7μm和-4.67μm,两侧啮合转换点传动误差与预置值分别相差6.67%和4%,两侧接触迹线最大偏差分别为0.275mm和0.177mm,基本符合预置条件。     

一种改进的证据权重确定方法

针对Dempster方法在合成高冲突证据时存在的问题,分析了现有改进方法的缺点,提出了一种新的改进方法。该方法首先利用证据之间的相似系数求出各证据的初级权重;然后引入权重折扣因子,将冲突证据的权重按折扣因子折算后并入到其他证据的权重中,得到各证据的综合权重;最后对证据加权平均后再利用D-S组合规则进行组合,通过算例比较表明改进后的方法合成结果更加有效。     

基于不同叶片数目比的烟气涡轮多叶片通道数值模拟

基于定常假设,利用混合平面模型传递级间参数,运用Fluent软件对不同静动叶片数目比下的烟气涡轮多叶片通道流场进行了数值计算,得到了温度、压力、出口速度和马赫数等参数的变化规律,绘制了不同静动叶片数目比下各种参数的体积加权平均XY图,并通过数值分析确定了静动叶片最佳数目比为50∶74,最佳静叶安装角为35°。结果表明:叶片数目增减和静叶安装角的变化对烟气涡轮整体性能的影响须考虑多种因素,并不能以单一参数的变化来决定最佳叶片数目和静叶安装角。该结论可为烟气涡轮现有装备的科学管理和技术改进提供理论依据。     

多弹联合快速任务规划系统设计

简要分析了多弹联合快速任务规划的作战需求,提出了构建一套满足实时、快速、可视化、通用性要求的多弹联合快速任务规划系统的技术手段,阐述了其支持多种目标、多波次攻击以及多弹种联合任务规划的系统特性,最后介绍了系统的总体框架和软硬件组成。     

应急器材柔性采购定价建模与求解

由于当前应急器材储备依然存在“多储”或“少储”风险,为提高储备效益,以企业经济效益与军队采购成本为优化目标,提出了应急器材柔性采购策略。通过建立企业储备策略与军队采购定价最优化模型,求解得到了在不同战争爆发概率及器材现货市场价格区间等外部环境因素下的军队最佳柔性定价及对应的企业最优储备策略,并通过实例分析验证了得出的决策结论。结果表明,最优策略的实施将有利于军队与企业共担应急器材数量储备风险。     

羧酸型甜菜碱两性表面活性剂及其消防应用前景

介绍了羧酸型甜菜碱两性表面活性剂的结构及其性能特点,分析了几种羧酸型甜菜碱表面活性剂制备过程及特性。从配制泡沫灭火剂,作为抗静电剂、防火涂料助剂、石油处理剂中的乳化剂、洗消剂的添加剂等应用领域探讨了羧酸型甜菜碱两性表面活性剂在消防领域中的应用前景。     

全面深化改革必须立足于“最大取灭实际”

坚持和发展中国特色社会主义,全面建成小康社会,离不开社会主义初级阶段这个最大实际。同样,全面深化改革,实现中华民族伟大复兴的中国梦,也离不开当前中国的“最大实际”。我们必须坚持“最大实际”的社会主义原则,必须把握“最大实际”的崭新成就基础,必须注重“最大实际”的时代诉求,在新的历史起点上全面深化改革。