科研经费管理决策支持系统若干模型

本文应用多目标决策原理和计算机技术,在分析用户需求的基础上,建立了科研任务项目的预测评价和经费分配模型,并分析了有关模型的关系和解决性质。根据这些模型和决策的特点,简要叙述了该系统的主要功能。我们相信,该系统的应用,将给管理人员提供方便,且使管理进一步科学化,让有限的经费发挥更大的作用。     

Comparison of rank aggregation methods based on inherent ability

Ranking is a common task for selecting and evaluating alternatives. In the past few decades, combining rankings results from various sources into a consensus ranking has become an increasingly active research topic. In this study, we focus on the evaluation of rank aggregation methods. We first develop an experimental data generation method, which can provide ground truth ranking for alternatives based on their “inherent ability.” This experimental data generation method can generate the required individual synthetic rankings with adjustable accuracy and length. We propose characterizing the effectiveness of rank aggregation methods by calculating the Kendall tau distance between the aggregated ranking and the ground truth ranking. We then compare four classical rank aggregation methods and present some useful findings on the relative performances of the four methods. The results reveal that both the accuracy and length of individual rankings have a remarkable effect on the comparison results between rank aggregation methods. Our methods and results may be helpful to both researchers and decision‐makers.     

The effects of local elections on national military spending: A cross-country study

In this paper, we study the domestic political determinants of military spending. Our conceptual framework suggests that power distribution over local and central governments influences the government provision of national public goods, in our context, military expenditure. Drawing on a large cross-country panel, we demonstrate that having local elections will decrease a country’s military expenditure markedly, controlling for other political and economic variables. According to our preferred estimates, a country’s military expenditure is on average 20% lower if its state government officials are locally elected, which is consistent with our theoretical prediction.     

非战争军事行动经济动员不均衡性的负面影响及其对策

非战争军事行动经济动员的就近性与定向性突显,在微观上造成了地区、行业以及军事劳务间动员义务的不均衡性,对动员客体积极性、主动性产生了负面影响。文章按剖析原因、找准对策的思路,探讨了解决负面影响的基本对策。     

Optimal production ramp-up in the smartphone manufacturing industry

Motivated by challenges in the smartphone manufacturing industry, we develop a dynamic production ramp-up model that can be applied to economically satisfy nonstationary demand for short-life-cycle products by high-tech companies. Due to shorter life cycles and more rapid evolution of smartphones, production ramp-up has been increasingly critical to the success of a new smartphone. In the production ramp-up, the key challenge is to match the increasing capacity to nonstationary demand. The high-tech smartphone manufacturers are urged to jointly consider the effect of increasing capacity and decreasing demand. We study the production planning problem using a high-dimensional Markov decision process (MDP) model to characterize the production ramp-up. To address the curse of dimensionality, we refine Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) algorithm and theoretically analyze its convergence and computational complexity. In a real case study, we find that the MDP model achieves revenue improvement by stopping producing the existing product earlier than the benchmark policy. In synthetic instances, we validate that the proposed MCTS algorithm saves computation time without loss of solution quality compared with traditional value iteration algorithm. As part of the Lenovo production solution, our MDP model enables high-tech smartphone manufacturers to better plan the production ramp-up.     

西部地区教育电视的生存与发展对策研究

本文通过对教育电视的发展面临传媒同业的激烈竞争和西部地区教育电视生存条件的分析,阐明了教育电视在西部地区远程教育中的重要作用,并提出了西部地区教育电视的发展对策。     

超宽带雷达回波的双谱分析方法

谱分析是雷达信号处理的重要组成部分,对目标分类、特征检测均有重要意义。高阶谱所具有的特殊性质,有助于人们从新的角度对雷达回波进行分析。本文提出了一种双谱分析双（Ｑ,Ｋ）方法。仿真结果表明,本文提出的方法与其它的双谱估计算法相比估计精度更高。最后给出了应用实例     

虚拟现实系统的建模方法

采用先进的建模方法 ,开发组织和管理复杂的虚拟环境 ,不仅能够提高开发效率 ,甚至关系到项目开发的成败。研究了面向对象和面向智能体两种虚拟现实 (VR)系统设计的基本方法。     

三维视觉运动建模中碰撞检测算法研究

三维视觉建模是建立虚似现实 (VR)系统的基础 ,运动建模是三维视觉建模的重要组成部分。研究了运动建模中碰撞检测算法     

单层平板吸波体界面反射模型的带宽理论研究

为了优化和指导吸波体设计,介绍了单层平板吸波体界面反射模型,推导了模型所揭示的吸波体内部能量流动关系。在此基础上,导出吸波体反射吸收带宽计算公式,由界面反射模型得出影响吸收带宽的因素,包括吸波层厚度、1/4波长厚度在峰值频率处的变化率、指定的反射波能量、前界面反射波能量及后界面反射波能量等。利用推导的能量关系及带宽公式,对3个同轴样品进行分析计算,结果表明计算值与实验值吻合较好,带宽公式推导正确。