科研经费管理决策支持系统若干模型

本文应用多目标决策原理和计算机技术,在分析用户需求的基础上,建立了科研任务项目的预测评价和经费分配模型,并分析了有关模型的关系和解决性质。根据这些模型和决策的特点,简要叙述了该系统的主要功能。我们相信,该系统的应用,将给管理人员提供方便,且使管理进一步科学化,让有限的经费发挥更大的作用。     

Comparison of rank aggregation methods based on inherent ability

Ranking is a common task for selecting and evaluating alternatives. In the past few decades, combining rankings results from various sources into a consensus ranking has become an increasingly active research topic. In this study, we focus on the evaluation of rank aggregation methods. We first develop an experimental data generation method, which can provide ground truth ranking for alternatives based on their “inherent ability.” This experimental data generation method can generate the required individual synthetic rankings with adjustable accuracy and length. We propose characterizing the effectiveness of rank aggregation methods by calculating the Kendall tau distance between the aggregated ranking and the ground truth ranking. We then compare four classical rank aggregation methods and present some useful findings on the relative performances of the four methods. The results reveal that both the accuracy and length of individual rankings have a remarkable effect on the comparison results between rank aggregation methods. Our methods and results may be helpful to both researchers and decision‐makers.     

The effects of local elections on national military spending: A cross-country study

In this paper, we study the domestic political determinants of military spending. Our conceptual framework suggests that power distribution over local and central governments influences the government provision of national public goods, in our context, military expenditure. Drawing on a large cross-country panel, we demonstrate that having local elections will decrease a country’s military expenditure markedly, controlling for other political and economic variables. According to our preferred estimates, a country’s military expenditure is on average 20% lower if its state government officials are locally elected, which is consistent with our theoretical prediction.     

非战争军事行动经济动员不均衡性的负面影响及其对策

非战争军事行动经济动员的就近性与定向性突显,在微观上造成了地区、行业以及军事劳务间动员义务的不均衡性,对动员客体积极性、主动性产生了负面影响。文章按剖析原因、找准对策的思路,探讨了解决负面影响的基本对策。     

Optimal production ramp-up in the smartphone manufacturing industry

Motivated by challenges in the smartphone manufacturing industry, we develop a dynamic production ramp-up model that can be applied to economically satisfy nonstationary demand for short-life-cycle products by high-tech companies. Due to shorter life cycles and more rapid evolution of smartphones, production ramp-up has been increasingly critical to the success of a new smartphone. In the production ramp-up, the key challenge is to match the increasing capacity to nonstationary demand. The high-tech smartphone manufacturers are urged to jointly consider the effect of increasing capacity and decreasing demand. We study the production planning problem using a high-dimensional Markov decision process (MDP) model to characterize the production ramp-up. To address the curse of dimensionality, we refine Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) algorithm and theoretically analyze its convergence and computational complexity. In a real case study, we find that the MDP model achieves revenue improvement by stopping producing the existing product earlier than the benchmark policy. In synthetic instances, we validate that the proposed MCTS algorithm saves computation time without loss of solution quality compared with traditional value iteration algorithm. As part of the Lenovo production solution, our MDP model enables high-tech smartphone manufacturers to better plan the production ramp-up.     

西部地区教育电视的生存与发展对策研究

本文通过对教育电视的发展面临传媒同业的激烈竞争和西部地区教育电视生存条件的分析,阐明了教育电视在西部地区远程教育中的重要作用,并提出了西部地区教育电视的发展对策。     

应用四元数理论确定头盔瞄准系统的瞄准线

讨论了头盔瞄准具电磁敏感系统的工作原理,研究了确定头盔瞄准系统瞄准线的两种方法,结合工程实践建立了四元数法确定瞄准线的数学模型,给出了计算结果,并进行了结果分析。     

实用的滤波新算法

介绍了武器系统作战软件的一种计算量小、计算效果好的滤波新算法,并对该算法进行了对比分析     

科研选题重复因素的分析与对策初探

科研选题中,周期短、见效快的课题重复率较高,其原因与科技人员晋级需求,社会集团易对“短、平、快”选题投资,科研管理人员的情报意识淡漠等因素有关。改变现状需要科技政策的制定者对基础科学研究和从事基础科学研究的人员给予更多的重视和政策的倾斜。科研管理部门应把握科研方向、人才培养、选题调整及发挥专家对审题的充分论证。采取各项综合措施,可望降低科研选题的重复。     

铁路区间信号系统测试评估平台——信息传输通道的建模及仿真研究

铁路区间信号系统测试评估平台的研究是为了实现对信号系统的功能、可靠性及安全性的自动测试和评估,并为区间信号系统的研发或维护提供测试手段.铁路区间信号系统信息传输通道,作为铁路区间信号传输的途径,是铁路区间信号系统测试评估平台的重要研究对象,因此,信息传输通道仿真子系统是测试平台的一个关键子系统.针对移频自动闭塞系统信息传输通道的仿真,提出一种新的差分方程建模方法,并进行了仿真实现.