C4ISR系统与仿真应用互操作研究

分析了实现C4ISR 系统与仿真应用互操作的主要技术难点,以JCOS C4I网关为实例,说明了当前实现的C4ISR系统与仿真应用互操作的极端复杂性和高成本.提出了实现C4ISR系统与仿真应用完全互操作的一个可行的办法就是开发互操作技术参考模型(TRM),定义两者共同遵守的技术标准.以C4ISR-Sim互操作TRM为例,介绍了当前开发的一些技术参考模型.论述了开发技术参考模型的一些基本原则.     

运输机装载规划视景仿真技术的研究

以运输机装载规划过程为仿真对象,建立简化数学模型,然后结合Unity3D引擎,运用视景仿真技术相关知识,把运输机装载规划全过程、运输机装载过程中质心变化等进行实时显示。运用视景仿真技术进行运输机装载规划,可对真实装载规划过程起到重要的引导作用,并且能够有效缩短运输机装载规划周期,提高运输机装载效率。     

The impact of demand uncertainty on product line design under endogenous substitution

The existing product line design literature devotes little attention to the effect of demand uncertainty. Due to demand uncertainty, the supply‐demand mismatch is inevitable which leads to different degrees of lost sales depending on the configuration of product lines. In this article, we adopt a stylized two‐segment setup with uncertain market sizes and illustrate the interplay between two effects: risk pooling that mitigates the impact of demand uncertainty and market segmentation that facilitates consumer differentiation. Compared to downward substitution, inducing bidirectional substitution through product line decisions including quality levels and prices can yield greater risk pooling effects. However, we show that the additional benefit from the risk pooling effect cannot compensate for the reduced market segmentation effect. We demonstrate that the presence of demand uncertainty can reduce the benefit of market segmentation and therefore the length of product lines in terms of the difference between products. We also propose three heuristics that separate product line and production decisions; each of these heuristics corresponds to one particular form of demand substitution. Our numerical studies indicate that the best of the three heuristics yields performance that is close to optimality. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 143–157, 2015     

遗传规划在机载电子设备费用估算中的应用

在对现有电子设备费用估算方法进行简要回顾的基础上,对遗传规划的原理与方法进行了分析和研究,提出了基于遗传规划的机载电子设备生产费用估算模型,并完成了算法设计和程序编制工作.以历史数据为学习样本,根据所建模型对不同型号的机载电子设备生产费用进行了估算.结果表明, 模型简单易行、精度较高,为机载电子设备费用估算提供了一条新途径.     

引信电子部件ESD效应和加固实验研究

利用静电放电模拟器对某电子时间引信的电子部件的损伤及其防护加固进行了实验研究。引信部件在ESD的作用下,储存的信息会改变;当ESD的电压进一步升高时,引信中的电子部件出现损坏,其损伤阈值为＋200V．采取加固措施后,系统抗ESD的电压提高了2～3倍,达到了预期的目的。     

The impact of exponential smoothing forecasts on the bullwhip effect

An important phenomenon often observed in supply chain management, known as the bullwhip effect, implies that demand variability increases as one moves up the supply chain, i.e., as one moves away from customer demand. In this paper we quantify this effect for simple, two‐stage, supply chains consisting of a single retailer and a single manufacturer. We demonstrate that the use of an exponential smoothing forecast by the retailer can cause the bullwhip effect and contrast these results with the increase in variability due to the use of a moving average forecast. We consider two types of demand processes, a correlated demand process and a demand process with a linear trend. We then discuss several important managerial insights that can be drawn from this research. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 269–286, 2000     

一种改进的证据理论合成规则

随着证据理论在信息融合领域中的广泛应用,对冲突证据的处理成为证据理论和应用研究热点。提出了一种基于证据重要度和聚焦度的新的合成规则,首先根据各个证据的重要度对冲突证据进行修正,再对冲突进行细化并考虑证据焦元的基数对D-S合成法则的影响,将冲突信息提取后加入组合规则中。通过实验比较和分析,结果说明该方法不仅能够处理一般性冲突问题,也能处理"一票否决"和"鲁棒性"问题。     

浅析基层消防中队干部的自身能力建设

基层消防中队作为与灾害事故作战的一线单位,其指挥员素质的高低直接影响着部队的整体素质和战斗力,但受社会环境和自身阅历等影响,中队干部队伍在自身能力建设上暴露出了一些问题。从基层消防中队干部任职现状出发,分析了进一步提升基层消防中队干部自身能力的对策,为基层消防中队干部适应基层、做好基层任职工作提供借鉴。     

提取时间对硝基油漆稀料燃烧产物鉴定的影响

油漆稀料是一种常见的助燃剂,提取时间对其燃烧产物的鉴定会有一定的影响。选取了纯毛织品作为实验载体,以硝基油漆稀料为研究对象,对燃烧残留物及燃烧烟尘进行了系统的GC-MS分析,找出了纯样和加载油漆稀料后燃烧产物主要成分的变化规律,对样品中目标化合物的相对峰面积随燃烧产物提取时间的变化曲线进行了非线性数学分析,初步找出了样品燃烧产物的相对峰面积随硝基油漆稀料燃烧产物提取时间变化的规律,为合理选择物证的提取时间提出了建议。     

[AXB,GXH]=[C,D]对称最小二乘解及最佳逼近的极小残差法

构造迭代算法研究了矩阵方程[AXB,GXH] = [C,D] ,证明了该算法可经有限步得到方程的对称最小二乘解及其最佳逼近,并给出了相关性质.最后,通过数值例子表明该算法是有效的.