Book reviews

Soviet Nuclear Strategy from Stalin to Gorbachev: a Revolution in Soviet Military and Political Thinking. By Honore M. Catudal. Mansell, London (1988), ISBN 0–7201–2000–4, £25.00

The Military: More Than Just a Job? Edited by Charles C. Moskos and Frank R. Wood. Pergamon‐Brassey's, London (1988), ISBN 0–08–034321‐X, £17.00 ($30.00)

Douglas Haig, 1861–1928. By Gerard J. de Groot. Unwin Hyman, London (1988), ISBN 004 4401922, £20.00

Defence Policy Making. A Comparative Analysis. Edited by G. M. Dillon. Leicester University Press, Leicester (1988), ISBN 0–715–1268–5, £10.95

The Future of U.K. Air Power. Edited by P. Sabin. Brassey's, London (1988), ISBN 0–08–035825‐X (hardcover), 0–08–036256–7 (flexicover), hardcover £18.95 ($34.00), flexicover £9.95 ($17.95)     

Statistical analysis of very high-dimensional data sets of hierarchically structured binary variables with missing data: An application to marine corps readiness evaluations

The present analysis deals with very high-dimensional data sets, each one containing close to 900 binary variables. Each data set corresponds to an evaluation of one complex system. These data sets are characterized by large portions of missing data where, moreover, the unobserved variables are not the same in different evaluations. Thus, the problems which confront the statistical analysis are those of multivariate binary data analysis, where the number of variables is much larger than the sample size and in which missing data varies with the sample elements. The variables, however, are hierarchically structured and the problem of clustering variables to groups does not exist in the present study. In order to motivate the statistical problem under consideration, the Marine Corps Combat Readiness Evaluation System (MCCRES) is described for infantry battalions and then used for exposition. The present article provides a statistical model for data from MCCRES and develops estimation and prediction procedures which utilize the dependence structure. The E-M algorithm is applied to obtain maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters of interest. Numerical examples illustrate the proposed methods.     

A two-phase procedure for allotting geostationary orbital locations to communications satellites

We consider the problem of allotting locations in the geostationary orbit to communication satellites, subject to angle of elevation and electromagnetic interference constraints. An optimization framework is used as a means of finding feasible allotment plans. Specifically, we present a two-phase solution procedure for the satellite location problem (SLP). The objective in SLP is to allot geostationary orbital locations to satellites so as to minimize the sum of the absolute differences between the locations prescribed for the satellites and corresponding specified desired locations. We describe two heuristics, an ordering procedure and a k-permutation algorithm, that are used in tandem to find solutions to SLP. Solutions to a worldwide example problem with 183 satellites serving 208 service areas are summarized.     

Landmarks in defense literature

Achtung-Panzer! By Major General Heinz Guderian, Translated by Christopher Duffy with Introduction and Notes by Paul Harris. (Arms & Armour Press £16.99. ISBN 1-85409-138-7, 220 pages)     

Book Reviews

Strategic Geography. By Hugh Faringdon. Routledge, London (1989), ISBN 0-415-00980-4, £40.00

Field Artillery and Firepower. By J. B. A. Bailey. The Military Press, Oxford (1989), ISBN 0-85066-810-7, £25.00 (hardback), ISBN 0-85066-811-5, £14.50 (paperback)

U.S.-Soviet Security Cooperation. Edited by Alexander L. George, Philip J. Farley and Alexander Dallin. Oxford University Press, New York (1988), ISBN 0-19-505397-4, £30.00 (hardback), $19.95 (paperback)

Non-production by Industry of Chemical-warfare Agents: Technical Verification under a Chemical Weapons Convention. Edited by S. J. Lundin. SIPRI/Oxford University Press, Oxford (1988), ISBN 0-19-829129-9, £19.50

Ireland's Terrorist Trauma: Interdisciplinary Perspectives. Edited by Alan O'Day and Yonah Alexander. Harvester Wheatsheaf, Hemel Hempstead (1989), ISBN 7450-049003, £27.50 ($48.65)

Pilots and Rebels: the Use of Aircraft in Unconventional Warfare 1918-1988. By P. A. Towle. Brassey's (UK), London (1989), ISBN 0-08-036712-7, £29.95 ($53.95)     

Optimal stopping problems for differential equations perturbed by a poisson process

We investigate a class of optimal stopping problems for dynamical systems described by one-dimensional differential equations with an additive Poisson disturbance. The rate of the disturbance may depend upon the current state of the system. A dynamic programming equation for the optimal stopping cost is derived along with conditions which must be met at the boundary of the optimal stopping set. These boundary conditions depend upon whether or not the stopping set may be entered by smooth motion.     

A linear programming model for design of communications networks with time varying probabilistic demands

In this paper marginal investment costs are assumed known for two kinds of equipment stocks employed to supply telecommunications services: trunks and switching facilities. A network hierarchy is defined which includes important cases occurring in the field and also appearing in the literature. A different use of the classical concept of the marginal capacity of an additional trunk at prescribed blocking probability leads to a linear programming supply model which can be used to compute the sizes of all the high usage trunk groups. The sizes of the remaining trunk groups are approximated by the linear programming models, but can be determined more accurately by alternate methods once all high usage group sizes are computed. The approach applies to larger scale networks than previously reported in the literature and permits direct application of the duality theory of linear programming and its sensitivity analyses to the study and design of switched probabilistic communications networks with multiple busy hours during the day. Numerical results are presented for two examples based on field data, one of which having been designed by the multi-hour engineering method.     

A linear programming approach to geometric programs

A cutting plane method, based on a geometric inequality, is described as a means of solving geometric programs. While the method is applied to the primal geometric program, it is shown to retain the geometric programming duality relationships. Several methods of generating the cutting planes are discussed and illustrated on some example problems.