Random disambiguation paths for traversing a mapped hazard field

We consider the problem of safely and swiftly navigating through a spatial arrangement of potential hazard detections in which each detection has associated with it a probability that the detection is indeed a true hazard. When in close proximity to a detection, we assume the ability—for a cost—to determine whether or not the hazard is real. Our approach to this problem involves a new object, the random disambiguation path (RDP), which is a curve‐valued random variable parametrized by a binary tree with particular properties. We prove an admissibility result showing that there is positive probability that the use of an RDP reduces the expected traversal length compared to the conventional shortest zero‐risk path, and we introduce a practically computable additive‐constant approximation to the optimal RDP. The theoretical considerations are complemented by simulation and example. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

Service levels in distribution systems with random customer order size

An approximate method for measuring the service levels of the warehouse-retailer system operating under (s, S) policy is presented. All the retailers are identical and the demand process at each retailer follows a stationary stuttering Poisson process. This type of demand process allows customer orders to be for a random number of units, which gives rise to the undershoot quantity at both the warehouse and retailer levels. Exact analyses of the distribution of the undershoot quantity and the number of orders place by a retailer during the warehouse reordering lead time are derived. By using this distribution together with probability approximation and other heuristic approaches, we model the behavior of the warehouse level. Based on the results of the warehouse level and on an existing framework from previous work, the service level at the retailer level is estimated. Results of the approximate method are then compared with those of simulation. © 1995 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

通用对潜搜索作战模型效能计算方法

对潜搜索模型有很多种,并且这些搜索模型可能因为进一部的完善、优化而发生改变;根据装备的发展及部队作战、训练的需要,也可能有新的模型不断加入.这些模型的作战效果指标是决定其是否可用的重要依据之一,而作战效果的计算应基于统一的方法,而不能各自不同,这样,得出的结论才具有可比性.为了实现这个目的,建立了基于蒙特卡罗法的通用计...     

Statistical auditing of large-scale management information systems

In recent years many large government and commercial organizations have developed large-scale management information systems. During the early phases of any system development, questions are likely to be raised concerning the criteria of completeness and accuracy of the data. How to respond to these questions is difficult, and represents the general subject of this paper. In particular, this paper describes the application of statistical techniques, namely, various kinds of multivariate data analysis, to the problem of assessing the quality of a large-scale data collection system in the U. S. Navy. Results of using these techniques are described and indicate their usefulness as auditing procedures. While the discussion is placed in a particular context, the procedures should be of value for other large-scale information systems.     

多目标跟踪器分配算法的设计和分析

为了解决武器平台多目标跟踪器分配问题,用数学表达式描述了问题和评价跟踪器分配方案的规则,分析了多目标跟踪器常用的几种分配算法的效率,包括穷举法、顺序法和全排列顺序法等几种算法.提出了一种新的基于综合分析的分配算法,算法利用上述问题描述和评价规则推导的结论简化了算法,对算法的空间复杂性和时间复杂性进行了分析,并对算法的正确性进行证明.     

Realignment in the National Football League: Did they do it right?

The National Football League (NFL) in the United States expanded to 32 teams in 2002 with the addition of a team in Houston. At that point, the league was realigned into eight divisions, each containing four teams. We describe a branch‐and‐cut algorithm for minimizing the sum of intradivisional travel distances. We consider first the case where any team can be assigned to any division. We also consider imposing restrictions, such as aligning the AFC (American Football Conference) and the NFC (National Football Conference) separately or maintaining traditional rivalries. We show that the alignment chosen by the NFL does not minimize the sum of intradivisional travel distances, but that it is close to optimal for an alignment that aligns the NFC and AFC separately and imposes some additional restrictions. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 683–701, 2003.     

北京沧达农工商公司草垛火灾引发的深思

火灾预防和火灾扑救不仅仅是消防部门自身的职责,必须依靠社会综合力量,政府是处置各类突发事件的强势者。从北京沧达农工商公司草垛火灾谈起,对政府职责、单位消防安全责任、社会应急机制等存在的问题做了进一步阐述。