IED casualties mask the real problem: it's us

Casualty figures suggest that the US/Allied Counter Improvised Explosive Device (C-IED) policy and the present allocation of national assets, resources, and intellectual capital have not been very successful. A number of explanations for why this has been the case are discussed and critiqued here.     

测时差定位的误差分析及表征方法

测时差无源定位具有很高的测量精度,但是时差定位在不同的定位区域定位误差差异非常大,更为重要的是误差区域分布形状复杂,用传统的误差半径和误差面积都很难表征具体点误差在军事上的意义.引入了概率椭圆来表示目标的概率分布,可较好地表征不规则的误差分布,有很强的军事应用价值.并给出了目标处于不同位置时的概率椭圆算法.     

UNITED STATES—SOUTH AFRICA RELATION

Abstract

The article evaluates the security challenges that are likely to occur along international borders in East Africa with the advent of the East African Community Common Market in July 2010. In an attempt to illustrate the porosity of borders and the likelihood that criminals could take advantage of the situation, the author describes the ease with which transnational crime could thrive (in the absence of efficient border security measures) under the guise of informal cross-border trade that derives its basis largely from the customs and historical linkages in the region. Border towns in the region are considered zones of risk but also opportunities for quick money-making ventures and deals that tend to attract a variety of criminals. While the danger is not alarmingly high, there is a likelihood that with the opening up of the East African Community to the free movement of goods and people, criminals will exploit this freedom to commit crimes such as human trafficking, drug smuggling and moving terrorists and contraband goods unless mechanisms are put in place to curtail these activities. Should this not happen, the mission of the East African Community could be jeopardised.     

NUCLEAR REDUCTIONS AND MIDDLE EAST STABILITY

The United States faces a series of strategic and policy conundrums as it attempts to promote strategic stability in the Persian Gulf and the wider Middle East. This article examines the relationship between a reduced US nuclear arsenal and strategic stability in the Persian Gulf and the Middle East. It argues that a series of interrelated political and military factors play a much more significant role in regional security and stability than the US strategic arsenal, which has never, with a few extraordinary exceptions, played a direct role in maintaining regional security. The United States has constructed a system of regional stability based on conventional deterrence and defense that has seen it forward base forces at various installations in the region in combination with efforts to arm, train, and equip host-nation militaries. Nuclear weapons have never played a prominent role in this regional system. Evidence presented in this article suggests that there is no compelling reason for the United States to abandon and/or modify the defensive system of conventional deterrence and defense by adding nuclear-backed guarantees to the mix.     

Book review

Tritium on ice: the dangerous new alliance of nuclear weapons and nuclear power by Kenneth D. Bergeron     

金属类MEMS器件可靠性试验技术研究

针对金属类MEMS机构可靠性水平较低且没有标准化的可靠性试验方法的现状,提出将强化试验方法引入金属类MEMS机构的可靠性研究中．确定强化试验的内容为温度循环、随机振动和冲击试验,并分别设计试验剖面．选取MEMS惯性开关作为典型器件开展试验研究,试验结果表明,所设计的可靠性试验能够有效激发MEMS机构的潜在缺陷,温度应力易引起MEMS器件层间产生疲劳效应,而振动和冲击应力则易引发器件结构性损坏;环境应力对MEMS机构具有疲劳累积效应,经历较多试验类型的样本较经历较少试验类型的样本更容易失效;惯性开关的主要失效模式是分层和变形,这2种失效模式在金属类MEMS机构中具有代表性．     

不同环境条件油气爆炸极限测试模拟实验系统

针对不同环境条件油气爆炸极限测试的特殊需要,研制了相应的测试实验台架和关键参数测试系统。对标准20L球形爆炸装置进行了改进,使之适用于不同环境条件油气爆炸极限的测定与分析,设计并构建了能够配制不同浓度油气的油气雾化循环配气系统、瞬态压力测试单元、温湿度测试单元和气体组分测试单元等。实验验证与分析结果表明：该模拟实验系统能够满足不同环境条件油气爆炸极限测试分析的需要,也可供其他相似可燃气体（液体蒸气）测试使用。     

基于呼叫状态的IMS业务触发算法

在IMS会话和和业务控制过程中,随着业务量的增长,S-CSCF面临的负载急剧增加,3GPP原有IMS业务的集中控制方式极易形成性能“瓶颈”,从而影响系统服务质量。为降低会话时延,提高系统性能,本文在研究基于分组的业务触发算法和基于呼叫状态的业务触发算法基础上,提出了一种基于呼叫状态的分组业务触发算法（C-GSTA）,并对其进行性能建模和理论分析。仿真结果表明,在业务种类和业务量增加的情况下,C-GSTA算法能够有效降低S-CSCF与服务器之间的信令流量,提高IMS系统吞吐量,缩短S-CSCF处理时延,改善业务触发性能和网络服务质量。