Life in the “Gray Zone”: observations for contemporary strategists

The term “Gray Zone” is gaining in popularity as a way of describing contemporary security challenges. This article describes the “short-of-war” strategies – the fait accompli, proxy warfare, and the exploitation of ambiguous deterrence situations, i.e. “salami tactics” – that are captured by the term and offers several explanations for why state and non-state actors are drawn to these strategies. The analysis highlights why defense postures based on deterrence are especially vulnerable to the short-of-war strategies that populate the “Gray Zone.” The article concludes by suggesting how defense officials might adapt defense policies to life in the “Gray Zone.”     

作战模型开发中基于组件对象的软件工程方法

本文简要介绍了组件在作战模型开发中的特点,着重叙述了利用基于组件对象的软件工程方法来规划作战模型开发,以保证模型运行可靠,操作方便,提高模型开发效率。     

Book review

Tritium on ice: the dangerous new alliance of nuclear weapons and nuclear power by Kenneth D. Bergeron     

NUCLEAR REDUCTIONS AND MIDDLE EAST STABILITY

The United States faces a series of strategic and policy conundrums as it attempts to promote strategic stability in the Persian Gulf and the wider Middle East. This article examines the relationship between a reduced US nuclear arsenal and strategic stability in the Persian Gulf and the Middle East. It argues that a series of interrelated political and military factors play a much more significant role in regional security and stability than the US strategic arsenal, which has never, with a few extraordinary exceptions, played a direct role in maintaining regional security. The United States has constructed a system of regional stability based on conventional deterrence and defense that has seen it forward base forces at various installations in the region in combination with efforts to arm, train, and equip host-nation militaries. Nuclear weapons have never played a prominent role in this regional system. Evidence presented in this article suggests that there is no compelling reason for the United States to abandon and/or modify the defensive system of conventional deterrence and defense by adding nuclear-backed guarantees to the mix.     

我国军工产品定型委托代理问题分析

分析了在军工产品定型管理中存在的 3种典型委托代理问题: 一是隐藏行动的道德风险问题, 二是隐蔽违规问题, 三是定型工作中的串谋问题。并提出了解决以上问题的措施。     

装甲车辆电传动仿真调用MATLAB引擎的实现

为实现装甲车辆电传动仿真的可视化及良好的人机交互界面,介绍了MATLAB引擎、引擎库函数及VC调用Matlab引擎的方法.采用VC编写软件主界面,利用Matlab/Simulink建立仿真模型进行仿真计算及绘图,使用虚拟现实构造语言-Virtual Reality Modeling Language(VRML)进行虚拟行驶场景设计,此软件设计方法提高了编程效率,缩短了软件开发周期.     

DEA方法在防空作战方案优选中的应用

针对现代防空作战对决策速度和准确性的要求,运用DEA方法研究了防空作战方案优选问题。根据防空作战方案构成的主要要素,建立了防空作战方案的C2R评估模型,从“技术有效”和“规模有效”两个方面对备选方案的有效性进行综合分析,得出各方案评估结果,为指挥员优选方案提供了科学准确的依据。与传统的方法相比,该方法不仅具有内在的客观性,避免了方案中投入和产出指标间的相互制约,而且易于实现计算机处理,有效保障指挥员在防空作战中快速准确选定作战方案。     

小水线面双体船（SWATH）耐波性特点及影响因素分析

本文应用切片理论预报了ＳＷＡＴＨ耐波性,建立了ＳＷＡＴＨ的耐波性理论预报程序。通过若干艘ＳＷＡＴＨ的耐波性计算,分析了船形及固定式鳍的尺度、纵向位置、组合方式的变化以及纵摇角速度负反馈自动控制鳍对ＳＷＡＴＨ耐波性的影响,为ＳＷＡＴＨ的船形设计及鳍的方案选择提供了耐波性方面的根据。