New ANSI versions of MIL-STD-414 and MIL-STD-105D

When acceptance sampling plans are applied to measurement characteristics, a choice between application of a variables or an attributes sampling plan must be made. With the recent revision by the American Society for Quality Control for the American National Standards Institute of the ANSI/ASQC Z1.9 variables system and the ANSI/ASQC Z1.4 attributes system, the standards have now been matched so that it is possible to move between them. This article will discuss exploitation of the resulting synergistic relationship to achieve more rational and more effective acceptance sampling.     

Order-statistic calculation,costs, and service in an (s,Q) inventory system

A retailer or distributor of finished goods, or the manager of a spare-parts inventory system, must generally forecast the major portion of demand. A specific customer-service level p (fraction of replenishment intervals with no stockout) implies two challenges: achieve the service within a small interval plus or minus, and do so with a minimum-cost investment in inventory. The pth fractile of lead-time demand (LTD) is the reorder point (ROP) for this service measure, and is often approximated by that fractile of a normal distribution. With this procedure, it is easy to set safety stocks for an (s, Q) inventory system. However, Bookbinder and Lordahl [2] and others have identified cases where the normal approximation yields excessive costs and/or lower service than desired. This article employs an order-statistic approach. Using available LTD data, the ROP is simply estimated from one or two of the larger values in the sample. This approach is sufficiently automatic and intuitive for routine implementation in industry, yet is distribution free. The order-statistic method requires only a small amount of LTD data, and makes no assumptions on the form of the underlying LTD distribution, nor even its parameters μ and ρ. We compare the order-statistic approach and the normal approximation, first in terms of customer service and then using a model of expected annual cost. Based upon characteristics of the available LTD data, we suggest a procedure to aid a practitioner in choosine between the normal and order-statistic method. © 1994 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

A robust regression technique using compound estimation

Least squares fitting of regression models is a widely used technique. The presence of outliers in the data can have an adverse effect on the method of least squares, resulting in a model that does not adequately fit to the bulk of the data. For this situation, robust regression techniques have been proposed as an improvement to the method of least squares. We propose a robust regression procedure that performs well relative to the current robust methods against a variety of dataset types. Evaluations are performed using datasets without outliers (testing efficiency), with a large percentage of outliers (testing breakdown), and with high leverage outliers (testing bounded influence). The datasets are based on 2-level factorial designs that include axial points to evaluate leverage effects. A Monte Carlo simulation approach is used to evaluate the estimating capability of the proposed procedure relative to several competing methods. We also provide an application to estimating costs for government satellites. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 125–139, 1998     

Critical interfaces in body armour systems

The ballistic performance, and behaviour, of an armour system is governed by two major sets of variables, geometrical and material. Of these, the consistency of performance, especially against small arms ammunition, will depend upon the consistency of the properties of the constituent materials. In a body armour system for example, fibre diameter, areal density of woven fabric, and bulk density of ceramic are examples of critical parameters and monitoring such parameters will form the backbone of associated quality control procedures. What is often overlooked, because it can fall into the User’s domain, are the interfaces that exist between the various products; the carrier, the Soft Armour Insert (SAI), and the one or two hard armour plates (HAP1 and HAP2). This is especially true if the various products are sourced from different suppliers.There are between 30 and 150 individual layers within a typical body armour system, and each of the interfaces between each of those layers will, in some way or another, contribute to the ballistic performance of the system. For example, consider the following interfaces/interlayers: (i) the frictional, sliding, inter-ply surfaces within a soft armour pack, and also between the pack and the carrier, (ii) the air-gaps that may develop within the soft armour pack, (iii) the interconnecting space between the soft armour pack and the hard armour plate, (iv) the nature of the interfaces between adjacent plies of a multiplied backing laminate, even in a highly compressed Ultra High Molecular Weight Polyethylene (UHMWPE) variant, (v) the interlayer between the ceramic and its substrate, within a HAP, and (vi) the geometrical fit between two hard armour plates within a stacked body armour system. This paper will provide a User-friendly overview of all such interfaces and provide unique guidance as to their criticality and influence.     

Optimal policies for stochastic clearing systems with time-dependent delay penalties

We study stochastic clearing systems with a discrete-time Markovian input process, and an output mechanism that intermittently and instantaneously clears the system partially or completely. The decision to clear the system depends on both quantities and delays of outstanding inputs. Clearing the system incurs a fixed cost, and outstanding inputs are charged a delay penalty, which is a general increasing function of the quantities and delays of individual inputs. By recording the quantities and delays of outstanding inputs in a sequence, we model the clearing system as a tree-structured Markov decision process over both a finite and infinite horizon. We show that the optimal clearing policies, under realistic conditions, are of the on-off type or the threshold type. Based on the characterization of the optimal policies, we develop efficient algorithms to compute parameters of the optimal policies for such complex clearing systems for the first time. We conduct a numerical analysis on the impact of the nonlinear delay penalty cost function, the comparison of the optimal policy and the classical hybrid policy (ie, quantity and age thresholds), and the impact of the state of the input process. Our experiments demonstrate that (a) the classical linear approximation of the cost function can lead to significant performance differences; (b) the classical hybrid policy may perform poorly (as compared to the optimal policies); and (c) the consideration of the state of the input process makes significant improvement in system performance.     

Insurgency and Genocide: La Vendée

The struggle between the peasant population of the Vendee and the revolutionary government in Paris during the 1790s was perhaps the first, and certainly one of the earliest, of the modern ideological insurgencies. The conflict demonstrates the fatal weaknesses of a purely popular guerrilla movement deprived of sustained outside assistance. It also brings to the surface some less‐familiar aspects of the French Revolutionary regime. Most notably, that regime, determined to eradicate rather than conciliate the Vendean peasantry, employed methods that foreshadowed the techniques of National Socialism.     

Book review

This paper investigates the economic roots of separatist terrorism in Turkey. The political conventional wisdom is that poverty in highly Kurdish‐populated, south‐eastern Turkey is one of the most important causes of separatist terrorism and Turkish–Kurdish conflict in Turkey. Therefore, many economic policies have been implemented to improve the economic conditions in the south‐eastern part of the country. Using the Global Terrorism Database and Vector Autoregression (VAR) methodology, I find that there is no causal relationship between economic conditions in south‐eastern Turkey and separatist terrorism. Therefore policy‐makers should be cautious in using economic measures to prevent separatist terrorism in Turkey.