用于作战效能评估的概率化案例推断模型

作战效能评估是作战辅助决策和装备体系建设等现代战争研究领域的核心问题.针对现有作战效能评估方法在不确定性处理或样本规模等方面的限制,从概率化案例推断的视角来看待作战效能评估问题,使用贝叶斯网络技术建立评估模型.该模型能够以虚拟证据形式纳入案例数据,并借助后验推断机制学得潜在的评估映射规则,以驱动新案例的评估,同时还能揭示评估指标权重的分布情况.以仿真系统结果数据作为案例输入,在Age-naRisk软件中建立并运行该模型,实际验证了模型的有效性.     

Using stochastic programming to solve an outpatient appointment scheduling problem with random service and arrival times

We study a stochastic outpatient appointment scheduling problem (SOASP) in which we need to design a schedule and an adaptive rescheduling (i.e., resequencing or declining) policy for a set of patients. Each patient has a known type and associated probability distributions of random service duration and random arrival time. Finding a provably optimal solution to this problem requires solving a multistage stochastic mixed‐integer program (MSMIP) with a schedule optimization problem solved at each stage, determining the optimal rescheduling policy over the various random service durations and arrival times. In recognition that this MSMIP is intractable, we first consider a two‐stage model (TSM) that relaxes the nonanticipativity constraints of MSMIP and so yields a lower bound. Second, we derive a set of valid inequalities to strengthen and improve the solvability of the TSM formulation. Third, we obtain an upper bound for the MSMIP by solving the TSM under the feasible (and easily implementable) appointment order (AO) policy, which requires that patients are served in the order of their scheduled appointments, independent of their actual arrival times. Fourth, we propose a Monte Carlo approach to evaluate the relative gap between the MSMIP upper and lower bounds. Finally, in a series of numerical experiments, we show that these two bounds are very close in a wide range of SOASP instances, demonstrating the near‐optimality of the AO policy. We also identify parameter settings that result in a large gap in between these two bounds. Accordingly, we propose an alternative policy based on neighbor‐swapping. We demonstrate that this alternative policy leads to a much tighter upper bound and significantly shrinks the gap.     

主动谐波消除多电平射频脉宽调制策略及其性能分析

为降低全数字发信机(All-Digital Transmitters, ADTx)的输出谐波要求,提高系统宽频带工作性能,提出并实现适用于全数字发信机的多电平射频脉宽调制(Radio Frequency Pulse Width Modulation, RF-PWM)策略。该方法通过控制各子脉冲的脉冲宽度,在基波分量加权之和正比于输入信号包络的前提下,实现对RF-PWM脉冲序列特定谐波分量的有效抑制。以3次谐波消除为例,对该5电平RF-PWM策略实现方案进行推导,同时分析验证了该方案下脉冲基波分量与信号幅度之间的最佳增益系数。在此基础上,利用软件仿真验证了理论分析结果以及主动谐波抑制RF-PWM策略的有效性。     

Visual SLAM in dynamic environments based on object detection

A great number of visual simultaneous localization and mapping (VSLAM) systems need to assume static features in the environment. However, moving objects can vastly impair the performance of a VSLAM system which relies on the static-world assumption. To cope with this challenging topic, a real-time and robust VSLAM system based on ORB-SLAM2 for dynamic environments was proposed. To reduce the influence of dynamic content, we incorporate the deep-learning-based object detection method in the visual odometry, then the dynamic object probability model is added to raise the efficiency of object detection deep neural network and enhance the real-time performance of our system. Experiment with both on the TUM and KITTI benchmark dataset, as well as in a real-world environment, the results clarify that our method can significantly reduce the tracking error or drift, enhance the robustness, accuracy and stability of the VSLAM system in dynamic scenes.     

超音速等离子喷涂WC-Co涂层性能研究

用超音速等离子喷涂(HEPJet)和2种进口高速氧燃气火焰喷涂设备 (HVOF:JP-5000和DJ-2700)制备WC-Co涂层,进行了孔隙率、显微硬度、结合强度及30°和90°攻角的冲蚀磨损对比试验,用XRD分析了粉末和涂层的相结构,用 SEM分析了粉末和涂层的表面和断面形貌。结果表明3种工艺制备的WC-Co涂层与粉末的相结构类似,均无明显氧化、失碳;超音速等离子喷涂WC-Co涂层综合性能与JP-5000相当,要优于DJ-2700。     

改进的接触算法及其在光滑粒子流体动力学中的应用

采用以黎曼解描述粒子间相互作用的接触算法,模拟一维情况下包含间断的流场。在弱间断的条件下,采用弱波近似的黎曼解来描述粒子间的相互作用;在强间断的条件下,则引入非迭代黎曼解来描述粒子间的相互作用。并引入Taylor展开思想,提高了接触算法在自由边界的计算精度。该算法无需引入人为粘性,程序结构简洁。数值计算表明,改进后的接触算法能很好地描述强间断,并有效改善了原始接触算法在自由面的计算缺陷。     

基于生物视觉原理的图像结构信息变化检测方法

为克服多时相遥感图像变化检测中照度差异和配准误差的影响,采用边缘结构信息进行变化检测。利用多方向Gabor函数从图像梯度强度图中提取边缘结构信息,称之为边缘标记(Edge Tag,ET),通过比较多时相遥感图像中ET的互相关系数实现变化检测。为减小差异较小的边缘对检测结果的影响,在相关系数的计算中引入抑制因子。仿真图像和真实图像的实验结果表明,该方法能克服图像照度差异和配准误差对变化检测的影响,取得了较好的检测效果。     

利用混合编程改善SMP机群上并行矩阵乘法的性能

针对SMP机群,探讨了分别利用单机优化、OpenMP与MPI从指令级、共享存储级与分布主存级三个层次上改善矩阵并行乘Fox算法性能的方法。并通过调用数学函数库与混合编程的方式,在深腾6800上进行了实验,取得了相当满意的数值效果。     

数字化扩频接收机的自适应抗干扰滤波方案研究

讨论了自适应抗干扰滤波在最小频移键控的直接序列扩频(DS-MSK)数字化接收机中的应用问题,对非线性滤波加以改进,提出了部分解扩非线性滤波(PDNF)结构,将快速更新子带自适应滤波(FRSAF)算法用于PDNF结构以提高收敛速度。结合FRSAF算法的PDNF自适应抗干扰滤波方案在收敛速度、稳健性和输出信噪比等方面明显优于结合LMS算法的传统非线性抗干扰滤波方案,仿真结果验证了上述结论。     

聚硅氧烷先驱体转化制备2D Cf/Si-O-C材料

以二维碳纤维布和廉价的聚硅氧烷为原料,采用先驱体转化工艺制备2D Cf/Si-O-C材料,对其力学性能进行了考察,并与以聚碳硅烷为先驱体制备的2D Cf/SiC材料在价格和性能方面进行了对比。实验表明,2D Cf/Si-O-C材料力学性能较2D Cf/SiC材料有所下降,但成本大大降低。2D Cf/Si-O-C材料弯曲强度达到157.9 MPa,断裂韧性达到8.4MPa.m1/2,剪切强度达到23.4MPa,并且在1400℃下能较好保持材料的力学性能。