扎实推进任职教育中的案例教学

案例教学是一种适应任职教育需要的实践性教学方式,能够培养学员问题意识、激发学员认知潜能、促进学员能力生成。扎实推进案例教学,要求教员掌握组织实施案例教学的程序方法,要求院校更新教学理念、提高教员水平、建设高质量案例库。     

关于信息时代战争与战争指导问题的几点认识

随着科学技术的进步,战争形态发生了重大变化,战争指导的许多方面必然要适应此种变化,以追求战争的胜利,但经受过实践检验的战争指导原则依然没有过时.第一,正确认识信息时代战争的特点及其规律,以增强军事理论创新的针对性;第二,战争形态的划分有多种选择,战争本质不因战争形态的变化而改变,战争永远是政治的继续;第三,经受过实践检验的战争指导原则不因科学技术的进步而过时,在新的历史时期仍有强大的生命力.     

武警后勤装备维修管理系统RBAC的设计与实现

介绍了基于角色的访问控制技术（role-based aecess coiltrol RBAC）在权限管理中引入角色的概念,把资源的访问权限分配给角色,通过给用户分配角色以及角色之间的继承关系简化权限的管理。在分析现有的权限管理系统的基础上,提出了一种基于RBAC模型的权限管理系统的设计和实现方案,实现了安全的权限控制,取得了较好的效果。     

基于OWL本体扩展的视频语义内容分析

随着可获得视频数据的快速增长,迫切需要有效的方法在语义层理解和管理视频数据。对OWL语言进行扩展,提出了V-OWL本体描述框架,支持视频内容蕴含的时空关系和不确定性关系的建模,使用基于贝叶斯网络的B-图描述模型,将V-OWL本体概念、关系映射为B-图中的节点、边,利用贝叶斯网络训练推理算法实现视频高层语义的自动推理发现。实验结果显示,V-OWL本体描述框架对复杂视频内容具有很好的描述能力,基于V-OWL的视频内容分析框架对视频高层语义探测具有较高的查准率和查全率。     

武器射程的一种新估算方法

对文献上出现的两个不同射程因子定义进行甄别并提出推荐性意见;研究如何通过口径和弹丸离膛初速计算有效射程,提出一种改进的有效射程估算方法。并根据射程因子定义和改进后的估算方法对各种武器估算射程,结果表明其能广泛应用于步兵各型武器的有效射程计算,精度有显著改进,特别应用在直瞄射击武器(如坦克等)中,计算结果将明显优于直接的套用间瞄武器计算公式所得结果。     

Assortment optimization with position effects under the nested logit model

We study the assortment optimization problem with position effects under the nested logit model, whose goal is to find the revenue-maximizing subset of products as well as their corresponding display positions. In this joint assortment-position optimization problem, the choices of products are affected by not only their qualities and prices but also the positions where they are displayed. Despite determining the assortment and their corresponding display positions sequentially, we propose to solve this problem in an integrated way to obtain the optimal solution. We formulate this problem as a nonlinear binary integer programming model and develop a dynamic programming based solution approach to obtain the optimal assortment-position assignments. We carry out extensive numerical experiments to evaluate the benefit of our integrated approach. The most important insight we discover is that it is not necessarily better to put the most attractive products in the best position. Moreover, we show that compared to the sequential approaches, our approach can improve revenue by 10.38% on average, which suggests that firms should take into consideration position effects when making assortment decisions. Finally, we discuss results related to two extensions of this problem, that is, the special case when positions are preassigned to nests, and the joint assortment-position-price optimization problem.     

Impacts of sequential acquisition,market competition mode,and confidentiality on information flow

We investigate information flow in a setting in which 2 retailers order from a supplier and sell to a market with uncertain demand. Each retailer has access to a signal. The retailers can disclose signals to each other (horizontal information sharing), while the supplier can solicit signals by offering retailers differential payments as incentives for signal disclosure (vertical information acquisition). In the base setting, market competition is in quantity, and a retailer can fully infer the signal that the other retailer discloses to the supplier. We show that the supplier prefers to sequentialize the procedure for information acquisition. Moreover, vertical information acquisition by the supplier is a strategic complement to horizontal information sharing between the retailers to establish information flow. In the equilibrium, the retailers have no incentive to exchange signals, but system wide information transparency can be realized through a combination of information acquisition and inference. We further study the signaling effect, whereby the supplier utilizes wholesale pricing as an instrument to affect the retailers' inference of the shared signals, and price competition to explore their impacts on the supplier's preference for sequential acquisition and the sustainability of information flow.     

一种地炮作战效能评估动态推演方法

为了解决传统地炮作战效能评估方法不能适应信息化条件下我军需求的问题,基于复杂适应系统理论和多智能体建模技术提出动态推演方法进行地炮作战效能评估.微观层面对智能体进行多分辨率建模,宏观层面模拟作战动态对抗过程,能有效地解决传统评估方法难以适应复杂环境,难以反映动态对抗,割裂体系逐个评估,割裂人与武器联系的不足.该方法为研究地炮效能评估提供了新思路.     

Monitoring poisson count data with probability control limits when sample sizes are time varying

This article considers the problem of monitoring Poisson count data when sample sizes are time varying without assuming a priori knowledge of sample sizes. Traditional control charts, whose control limits are often determined before the control charts are activated, are constructed based on perfect knowledge of sample sizes. In practice, however, future sample sizes are often unknown. Making an inappropriate assumption of the distribution function could lead to unexpected performance of the control charts, for example, excessive false alarms in the early runs of the control charts, which would in turn hurt an operator's confidence in valid alarms. To overcome this problem, we propose the use of probability control limits, which are determined based on the realization of sample sizes online. The conditional probability that the charting statistic exceeds the control limit at present given that there has not been a single alarm before can be guaranteed to meet a specified false alarm rate. Simulation studies show that our proposed control chart is able to deliver satisfactory run length performance for any time‐varying sample sizes. The idea presented in this article can be applied to any effective control charts such as the exponentially weighted moving average or cumulative sum chart. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 625–636, 2013     

基于多Agent的弹药消耗计算模型和方法

基于多代理人(MAS)建模理论构建弹药消耗计算模型,模型使用混合Agent架构,其中指挥实体使用慎思式(BDI)Agent,作战实体使用刺激反应Agent。在BDI Agent将作战划分为若干阶段,并进行任务分配的基础上,刺激反应Agent执行战术动作,模拟对抗推演的战术行为;模型还可通过相关技术体现指挥员个性。该方法能够解决传统消耗计算方法难以反映信息化条件下作战弹药消耗的非线性和复杂性,较好反映对抗条件下的弹药消耗规律,提高消耗计算方法的准确性和适应性。