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Humanitarian response to hurricane disasters: Coordinating flood‐risk mitigation with fundraising and relief operations 下载免费PDF全文
Amiya K. Chakravarty 《海军后勤学研究》2018,65(3):275-288
To alleviate flooding, caused by hurricanes, governments build structural barriers called levees. In addition, relief providers such as the nongovernmental organizations and charities raise funds, and procure and deliver supplies (food, water, and medicines) for humanitarian relief. The strategy for managing disasters must, therefore, weigh the costs and benefits of building levees as well as procuring and delivering supplies. We use a three‐stage decision making framework to study how the investment in levee capacity can be integrated with supply procurements, fundraising, and rapid response. One of our major findings is that a large fundraising cost discourages postdisaster funding, implying relatively large investments in levee and prepositioned supplies. That notwithstanding, a large social value (of saving life) can tilt the balance in favor of postdisaster funding. If the levee capacity increases, funding for predisaster procurement is reduced without affecting postdisaster funding. For a sufficiently large increase in capacity, however, postdisaster response becomes superfluous. We also find that hurricane uncertainty motivates levees with large capacity. In contrast, levee‐failures motivate levees with small capacity. 相似文献
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P. K. Gautam 《Defense & Security Analysis》2009,25(4):413-423
325.
We consider the problem of optimally maintaining a stochastically degrading, single‐unit system using heterogeneous spares of varying quality. The system's failures are unannounced; therefore, it is inspected periodically to determine its status (functioning or failed). The system continues in operation until it is either preventively or correctively maintained. The available maintenance options include perfect repair, which restores the system to an as‐good‐as‐new condition, and replacement with a randomly selected unit from the supply of heterogeneous spares. The objective is to minimize the total expected discounted maintenance costs over an infinite time horizon. We formulate the problem using a mixed observability Markov decision process (MOMDP) model in which the system's age is observable but its quality must be inferred. We show, under suitable conditions, the monotonicity of the optimal value function in the belief about the system quality and establish conditions under which finite preventive maintenance thresholds exist. A detailed computational study reveals that the optimal policy encourages exploration when the system's quality is uncertain; the policy is more exploitive when the quality is highly certain. The study also demonstrates that substantial cost savings are achieved by utilizing our MOMDP‐based method as compared to more naïve methods of accounting for heterogeneous spares. 相似文献
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Two new randomization tests are introduced for ordinal contingency tables for testing independence against strictly positive quadrant dependence, i.e., P(X > x,Y > y) ≥ P(X > x)P(Y > y) for all x,y with strict inequality for some x and y. For a number of cases, simulation is used to compare the estimated power of these tests versus those standard tests based on Kendall's T, Spearman's p, Pearson's X2, the usual likelihood ratio test, and a test based upon the log-odds ratio. In these cases, subsets of the alternative region are identified where each of the testing statistics is superior. The new tests are found to be more powerful than the standard tests over a broad range of the alternative regions for these cases. 相似文献
328.
As a result of imperfect production and inspection by suppliers, pilferage, and/or damage in transit, it is common that procurement orders may contain defective items. This article deals with a continuous-review inventory system with Poisson demand arrivals and constant resupply time. Items in resupply lots may not be of perfect quality. The operating characteristics of such a system are analyzed. For purposes of computational savings, an approximation scheme for the operating characteristics is presented. As a result of the approximation, the determination of the optimal ordering policy becomes much simpler. Extensive numerical tests suggest that the approximation scheme is very effective in giving the optimal or near-optimal ordering policies for such a system. 相似文献
329.
Two new algorithms are presented for solving linear programs which employ the opposite-sign property defined for a set of vectors in m space. The first algorithm begins with a strictly positive feasible solution and purifies it to a basic feasible solution having objective function value no less under maximization. If this solution is not optimal, then it is drawn back into the interior with the same objective function value, and a restart begins. The second algorithm can begin with any arbitrary feasible point. If necessary this point is purified to a basic feasible solution by dual-feasibility–seeking directions. Should dual feasibility be attained, then a duality value interval is available for estimating the unknown objective function value. If at this juncture the working basis is not primal feasible, then further purification steps are taken tending to increase the current objective function value, while simultaneously seeking another dual feasible solution. Both algorithms terminate with an optimal basic solution in a finite number of steps. 相似文献
330.
In this article we present a methodology for postoptimality and sensitivity analysis of zero-one goal programs based on the set of k-best solutions. A method for generating the set of k-best solutions using a branch and bound algorithm and an implicit enumeration scheme for multiple objective problem are discussed. Rules for determining the range of parameter changes that still allows a member of the k-best set to be optimal are developed. An investigation of a sufficient condition for postoptimality analysis is also presented. 相似文献