鱼雷目标识别技术实验研究

本文分析了雷达目标识别的方法和技术,结合水声环境和目标的特点,提出了一种用于水下目标识别的特征抽取算法,并以ＴＭＳ３２０Ｃ２５为核心研制了相应的实验样机,在水池中进行了实验,结果表明该方法和系统是可行的。     

中职生应对方式和社会支持的关系研究

采用《简易应对方式量表》和《社会支持量表》对197名中职生进行抽样调查,了解其应对方式、社会支持及其关系.研究结果显示,本研究的中职生其积极应对方式和消极应对方式均显著低于全国常模;积极应对方式和社会支持存在显著的正相关;主观支持对积极的应对方式有正向的预测作用.     

机房漏水检测与精确定位装置研究

机房漏水是危及精密信息设备长期稳定可靠运行的重大安全隐患。为了解决传统定位装置难以实现漏水点精确定位的问题,从传感电缆的检漏原理出发,利用分压补偿原理,通过STEP7软件编程,设计了一个结合自检、漏水检测和漏水定位3种功能的机房漏水检测与定位装置。在此基础上搭建了实验系统,经测试实验,结果表明短距离定位精度可以达到1．70％,从而证实了该装置检测的有效性和定位的精确性。     

内腐蚀缺陷尺寸对DN150承插管线承压能力的影响

为了科学地指导DN150承插管线的使用与管理,采用非线性有限元法对带内腐蚀缺陷的DN150承插管线进行了剩余强度的评估。通过分析和计算,研究了腐蚀缺陷宽度、长度和深度对管线极限承载能力的影响。结果表明：腐蚀缺陷宽度对DN150承插管线的承载能力影响很小,可忽略不计;随着腐蚀缺陷长度的增加,管线的承载能力略微减小,当缺陷长度达到150mm,管道失效压力基本不变;随着腐蚀缺陷深度的增加,管道失效压力呈线性递减,其对管道失效压力的影响程度远远大于腐蚀缺陷长度。     

微型波力发电装置的捕浪器研究

针对漂浮式微型波力发电装置,根据弗汝德·克雷洛夫假定法对几种常用形状浮子所受波浪力的大小进行了计算,得出垂直圆柱形浮子吸收波浪能效果最佳的结论;运用装置和浮子共振时吸收能量最大的原理,对垂直圆柱形浮子的基本参数进行了研究,为漂浮式微型波力发电装置捕浪器浮子的设计打下了基础。     

ZERO NUCLEAR WEAPONS

The current nuclear nonproliferation order is no longer sustainable. The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) has weakened considerably over the years, with nuclear have-nots displaying increased dissatisfaction with the status quo. Meanwhile, demands for civilian nuclear technology have led to increased proliferation risks in the form of dual-use technologies. Arms control as we currently understand it—piecemeal treaties and agreements—is no longer sufficient to address the growing threat of proliferation and the frailty of the NPT. This article calls for a bolder nonproliferation agenda pursuing multilateral nuclear disarmament. Disarmament is, in fact, technologically achievable; a lack of political will stands as the only remaining roadblock to a world free of nuclear weapons. A better understanding of the technological feasibility of disarmament, as well as recognition of the diminishing strategic value of nuclear weapons, will help to erode this political reluctance.     

The impact of exponential smoothing forecasts on the bullwhip effect

An important phenomenon often observed in supply chain management, known as the bullwhip effect, implies that demand variability increases as one moves up the supply chain, i.e., as one moves away from customer demand. In this paper we quantify this effect for simple, two‐stage, supply chains consisting of a single retailer and a single manufacturer. We demonstrate that the use of an exponential smoothing forecast by the retailer can cause the bullwhip effect and contrast these results with the increase in variability due to the use of a moving average forecast. We consider two types of demand processes, a correlated demand process and a demand process with a linear trend. We then discuss several important managerial insights that can be drawn from this research. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 269–286, 2000     

惯性导航系统故障诊断的不确定性问题研究

针对构造惯性导航系统 ( INS)故障诊断所面临的确定性和不确定性问题 ,提出了基于模糊集理论的诊断方法 ,并给出诊断系统自动获取不确定性证据和确定性证据隶属度的方法及函数 .认为对于确定性证据和不确定性证据可以用统一的方法和原则来处理 ,并建立了两类证据的实用数学模型