国民经济动员潜力的多元统计分析

选取了国民经济动员潜力的14个总指标进行因子分析,计算出各地区因子得分,并据此对各地区进行单项和综合因子排名,然后用聚类分析法将综合因子进行聚类,得出各地区潜力情况及分类,并就地区潜力进行了分析。     

A sequential auction‐bargaining procurement model

One of the most important decisions that a firm faces in managing its supply chain is a procurement decision: selecting suitable suppliers among many potential competing sellers and reducing the purchase cost. While both auctions and bargaining have been extensively studied in the literature, the research that combines auctions and bargaining is limited. In this article, we consider a combined auction‐bargaining model in a setting where a single buyer procures an indivisible good from one of many competing sellers. The procurement model that we analyze is a sequential model consisting of the auction phase followed by the bargaining phase. In the auction phase, the sellers submit bids, and the seller with the lowest bid is selected as the winning bidder. In the bargaining phase, the buyer audits the cost of the winning seller and then negotiates with him to determine the final price. For this auction‐bargaining model, we find a symmetric equilibrium bidding strategy for the sellers in a closed form, which is simple to understand and closely related to the classical results in the auction and bargaining literature. We also show that the auction‐bargaining model generates at least as much profit to the buyer as the standard auction or sequential bargaining model. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

小型固体运载器一、二级分离动力学与仿真研究

某低成本小型固体运载器采用侧喷流和栅格舵联合进行姿态控制。针对该布局,设计引入闭环姿态控制的一、二级级间冷分离方案。在描述级间分离过程的基础上,建立了分离运动学与动力学模型,解锁与分离冲量装置模型,气动力模型以及分离姿态控制律模型,讨论了碰撞判断条件,通过Monte Carlo仿真验证了参数不确定条件下分离姿态控制律设计对于避免碰撞和减小上面级初始姿态偏差的有效性。结果表明所设计的分离方案在充分发挥冷分离优势的同时能够弥补由冷分离时间长引起的上面级初始姿态偏差,能够有效避免级间碰撞。为该运载器的级间分离方案提供了一种可能的选择。     

机载DIRCM激光发射平台主支撑框架设计

机载DIRCM球型发射平台体积小、重量轻,跟瞄更为灵活、精确。应用有限元模态分析理论,对平台主支撑框架动态特性进行研究。通过建模,分析,确立最合理的设计方案。     

轮式车辆装备保障力量战场运用系统

通过分析轮式车辆装备保障力量战场运用系统的总体功能、开发原则及其基本构成,建立起整个系统的逻辑结构图,包括保障模块数据库、保障模块匹配分系统以及数据映射分系统3个主要部分。在此基础上,采用数据库技术开发出一套较为完善的系统,实现了从保障参数录入到模块化保障力量编组方案生成的全部功能。最后进行了实例验证。     

On the exponentially weighted moving variance

MacGregor and Harris (J Quality Technol 25 (1993) 106–118) proposed the exponentially weighted mean squared deviation (EWMS) and the exponentially weighted moving variance (EWMV) charts as ways of monitoring process variability. These two charts are particularly useful for individual observations where no estimate of variability is available from replicates. However, the control charts derived by using the approximate distributions of the EWMS and EWMV statistics are difficult to interpret in terms of the average run length (ARL). Furthermore, both control charting schemes are biased procedures. In this article, we propose two new control charts by applying a normal approximation to the distributions of the logarithms of the weighted sum of chi squared random variables, which are respectively functions of the EWMS and EWMV statistics. These new control charts are easy to interpret in terms of the ARL. On the basis of the simulation studies, we demonstrate that the proposed charts are superior to the EWMS and EWMV charts and they both are nearly unbiased for the commonly used smoothing constants. We also compare the performance of the proposed charts with that of the change point (CP) CUSUM chart of Acosta‐Mejia (1995). The design of the proposed control charts is discussed. An example is also given to illustrate the applicability of the proposed control charts. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

战术导弹打击机场跑道毁伤概率

在分析了导弹打击机场后毁伤评估标准和技术现状的基础上,阐明了评估指标及方法,针对军用机场的特点选择打击跑道为攻击目标,分析了战役战术导弹母弹的落点规律和子弹散布规律,瞄准点的选择方法,并进行了毁伤概率计算,基于最小起降窗口概念,实现了给定机场目标和毁伤等级要求下导弹型号的最优选择,最少导弹消耗量预测.并通过实例进行了验证实验.     

新中国60年来中国共产党探索人民军队职能使命的历史考察

新中国60年来,中国共产党立足于时代的变迁、国家的发展和军队的建设,围绕着党的任务、国家的利益和人民的利益这条主线,适应世界军事变革和国家发展形势,对人民军队和平时期的职能使命进行了不懈探索,从而为国防和军队现代化建设指明了发展方向和奋斗目标.     

后现代语境下对物理教师角色的理解

在教育改革逐步深入,课程改革全面开展之际,教师如何适应时代要求,尤其在物理这种基础理科教育中,物理教师怎样转变角色,后现代教育思想为我们提供了一个更为广阔的视角,以其多元的、不确定的、对话的、生成的思维方式去理解物理教师角色的内涵,在思想的深层重新建构物理教师角色。     

对当前联合作战指挥人才培养的思考

加强联合作战指挥人才培养是胡主席和军委提出的重大战略任务.联合作战指挥人才培养工作是一项系统工程.解决好当前面临的一些实际问题,要明确培养目标,切实发挥院校的作用,加大实践锻炼力度,完善和创新培养选拔机制.