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In this article we extend the work of Mehrez and Stulman [5] on the expected value of perfect information (EVPI) to the expected value of sample information (EVSI) for a class of economic problems dealing with the decision to reject or accept an investment project. It is shown that shifting the mean of the underlying a priori distribution of X, the project's monetary value from zero in either direction will decrease the associated EVSI of Y, the random sampled information. A theorem is then presented which gives an upper bound on the EVSI over all distributions of Y, as well as the structure of the posterior mean E[X|Y] for which this upper bound is achieved. Finally, the case where E[X|Y] is linear in Y is discussed and its performance compared with that of the optimal case.  相似文献   
344.
The discrete evasion game with three-move lag, formulated over 30 years ago, was one of the earliest games with time-lag complications. This game remains unsolved even though it is well known that the game has a value. In this article we obtain an upper bound for the value by constructing a strategy which consists of 400 conditional probabilities for the minimizing player. This is believed to be the best upper bound known.  相似文献   
345.
Previous research on the scheduling of multimachine systems has generally focused on the optimization of individual performance measures. This article considers the sequencing of jobs through a multimachine flow shop, where the quality of the resulting schedule is evaluated according to the associated levels of two scheduling criteria, schedule makespan (Cmax) and maximum job tardiness (Tmax). We present constructive procedures that quantify the trade-off between Cmax and Tmax. The significance of this trade-off is that the optimal solution for any preference function involving only Cmax and Tmax must be contained among the set of efficient schedules that comprise the trade-off curve. For the special case of two-machine flow shops, we present an algorithm that identifies the exact set of efficient schedules. Heruistic procedures for approximating the efficient set are also provided for problems involving many jobs or larger flow shops. Computational results are reported for the procedures which indicate that both the number of efficient schedules and the error incurred by heuristically approximating the efficient set are quite small.  相似文献   
346.
As a result of imperfect production and inspection by suppliers, pilferage, and/or damage in transit, it is common that procurement orders may contain defective items. This article deals with a continuous-review inventory system with Poisson demand arrivals and constant resupply time. Items in resupply lots may not be of perfect quality. The operating characteristics of such a system are analyzed. For purposes of computational savings, an approximation scheme for the operating characteristics is presented. As a result of the approximation, the determination of the optimal ordering policy becomes much simpler. Extensive numerical tests suggest that the approximation scheme is very effective in giving the optimal or near-optimal ordering policies for such a system.  相似文献   
347.
In this article, we consider a situation in which a group of facilities need to be constructed in order to serve a given set of customers. However, the facilities cannot guarantee an absolute coverage to any of the customers. Hence, we formulate this problem as one of maximizing the total service reliability of the system subject to a budgetary constraint. For this problem, we develop and test suitable branch-and-bound algorithms and study the effect of problem parameters on solution difficulty. Some generalizations of this problem are also mentioned as possible extensions.  相似文献   
348.
Mini-SAR技术是目前SAR领域一个新兴的重要研究方向,但目前投入实用的成像算法很少。针对Mini-SAR的成像原理,给出了一种新的投入实用的极坐标成像算法,通过对该算法优缺点的研究,分析了Mini-SAR成像场景、分辨率及作用距离三者之间的关系,讨论了该算法对成像场景尺寸的限制要求,明确了算法的适用条件;最后利用某型Mini-SAR实际复数图像数据验证了该算法的正确性。研究结论对国内小型SAR的研制具有一定参考价值。  相似文献   
349.
采用非接触式电流脉冲注入法,设计了一种通用的接口电路实验模型和测试软件,进行了高功率电磁脉冲对指控系统接口电路的注入损伤实验,测量接口电路耦合电压和耦合电流,并对实验结果进行了分析.实验表明,强电磁能量耦合到电子装备和电气设备内部,可在其接口电路上产生过电压或过电流,从而使设备受到干扰和损伤.  相似文献   
350.
姿态确定系统是卫星姿态控制系统中的重要组成部分,卫星姿态确定的精度直接影响卫星控制精度.为得到高姿态精度,针对由惯性测量单元(Inertial Measurement Unit),红外地平仪和太阳敏感器组成的卫星姿态确定系统,分别采用BP网络算法和径向基(RBF)网络算法对不同的姿态敏感器的输出数据进行融合,并用STK(Satellite Tool Kit)数据进行了仿真.仿真分析结果表明这两种学习算法均可以提高卫星定姿精度,相对而言,RBF网络无论是精度上还是收敛速度上均优于BP网络.  相似文献   
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