1/n冷储备系统可靠性评估通用模型

针对冷储备系统近似于热储备系统时可靠性评估结果受参数设置影响大的问题,构建了冷储备系统可靠性评估通用模型.从冷储备系统工作原理出发,根据模型假设确定了系统的不可靠度函数.在此基础上,对失效时间服从不同分布函数的冷储备系统,包括指数分布、正态分布和威布尔分布,推导了其不可靠度近似函数和精确函数.案例分析表明,当冷储备系统...     

虚拟社会研究进展及对研究战争复杂问题的启示

计算机和信息技术加剧了战争系统的复杂性,同时也为研究战争复杂问题带来了新的方法,即利用虚拟社会研究战争复杂问题。首先综述了虚拟社会的相关概念及分类,然后概括了虚拟社会中实体行为建模和可视化涉及的主要理论、方法和技术,分析了国内外相关研究,最后给出了对研究战争复杂问题的几点启示。     

The outfit planning problem: Production planning in shipbuilding

Shipbuilding as currently practiced in U.S. commercial shipyards employs little quantitative modeling or analysis in production planning. This paper presents a brief discussion of the shipbuilding process and focuses on one major component which is referred to as outfitting. The outfit planning problem is described in detail and then formally modeled as a generalization of the resource constrained project scheduling problem. The value of the approach as well as barriers to its adoption are also discussed.     

The continuous multiple-modular design problem

In this article we extend our previous work on the continuous single-module design problem to the multiple-module case. It is assumed that there is a fixed cost associated with each additional module used. The Kuhn–Tucker conditions characterize local optima among which there is a global optimum. Modules are associated with partitions and a special class, guillotine partitions, are characterized. Branch-and-bound, partial enumeration, and heuristic procedures for finding optimum or good guillotine partitions are discussed and illustrated with examples.     

Optimal maintenance models for systems subject to failure–A Review

This paper is a state-of-the-art review of the literature related to optimal maintenance models of systems subject to failure. The emphasis is on work appearing since the 1976 survey, “A Survey of Maintenance Models: The Control and Surveillance of Deteriorating Systems,” by W.P. Pierskalla and J.A. Voelker, published in this journal.     

Solving a (0, 1) hyperbolic program by branch and bound

A problem in (0, 1) hyperbolic programming is formulated and solved by the use of branch and bound methods. Computational results are presented including a comparison among several branching rules. Heuristic methods for quickly finding relatively good feasible solutions are presented and tested. The problem finds application in the scheduling of common carriers. In the solution of the main problem, a subproblem is identified and solved. A geometric analogue is presented, which allows an interesting interpretation of the subproblem. The subproblem itself finds application in the design of gambles.     

Simulating stable stochastic systems,V: Comparison of ratio estimators

The regenerative method for estimating parameters in a simulation requires the simulator to estimate the ratio of two means. Five point estimates and four confidence intervals for this ratio have been computed for three stochastic simulations. The jackknife method appears to be the most promising for both point and interval estimation.     

Algorithms for minimizing total cost,bottleneck time and bottleneck shipment in transportation problems

We consider the transportation problem of determining nonnegative shipments from a set of m warehouses with given availabilities to a set of n markets with given requirements. Three objectives are defined for each solution: (i) total cost, TC, (ii) bottleneck time, BT (i.e., maximum transportation time for a positive shipment), and (iii) bottleneck shipment, SB (i.e., total shipment over routes with bottleneck time). An algorithm is given for determining all efficient (pareto-optimal or nondominated) (TC, BT) solution pairs. The special case of this algorithm when all the unit cost coefficients are zero is shown to be the same as the algorithms for minimizing BT. provided by Szwarc and Hammer. This algorithm for minimizing BT is shown to be computationally superior. Transportation or assignment problems with m=n=100 average about a second on the UNIVAC 1108 computer (FORTRAN V)) to the threshold algorithm for minimizing BT. The algorithm is then extended to provide not only all the efficient (TC, BT) solution pairs but also, for each such BT, all the efficient (TC, SB) solution pairs. The algorithms are based on the cost operator theory of parametric programming for the transportation problem developed by the authors.     

An M/M/1 queue with delayed feedback

We present some results for M/M/1 queues with finite capacities with delayed feedback. The delay in the feedback to an M/M/1 queue is modelled as another M-server queue with a finite capacity. The steady state probabilities for the two dimensional Markov process {N(t), M(t)} are solved when N(t) = queue length at server 1 at t and M(t) = queue length at server 2 at t. It is shown that a matrix operation can be performed to obtain the steady state probabilities. The eigenvalues of the operator and its eigenvectors are found. The problem is solved by fitting boundary conditions to the general solution and by normalizing. A sample problem is run to show that the solution methods can be programmed and meaningful results obtained numerically.