基于DEM的机载C3I指控系统效能评估

随着科学技术突飞猛进的发展、武器更新换代的速度加快,系统效能评估的方法不断被提出和采用.提出了一种以系统空间与使命的匹配程度为目标的动态评估模型的评估思想,该方法在一定程度上能弥补由于使命属性选择不够合理而导致对评估产生的差异.其评估结果表明了机载C3I指控系统试飞达到了预期的目标,各指标都符合设计要求.     

Optimal timing of switches between product sales for sports and entertainment tickets

Like airlines and hotels, sports teams and entertainment venues can benefit from revenue management efforts for their ticket sales. Teams and entertainment venues usually offer bundles of tickets early in their selling horizon and put single‐event tickets on sale at a later date; these organizations must determine the best time to offer individual tickets because both types of ticket sales consume the same fixed inventory. We model the optimal a priori timing decision for a seller with a fixed number of identical tickets to switch from selling the tickets as fixed bundles to individual tickets to maximize the revenue realized before the start of the performance season. We assume that bundle and single‐ticket customers each arrive according to independent, nonhomogeneous Markovian death processes with a linear death rate that can vary over time and that the benefit from selling a ticket in a package is higher than from selling the ticket individually. We characterize the circumstances in which it is optimal for the seller to practice mixed bundling and when the seller should only sell bundles or individual tickets, and we establish comparative statics for the optimal timing decision for the special case of constant customer arrival rates. We extend our analytical results to find the optimal time for offering two groups of tickets with high and low demand. Finally, we apply the timing model to a data set obtained from the sports industry. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

The effects of customer rebates and retailer incentives on a manufacturer's profits and sales

In some industries such as automotive, production costs are largely fixed and therefore maximizing revenue is the main objective. Manufacturers use promotions directed to the end customers and/or retailers in their distribution channels to increase sales and market share. We study a game theoretical model to examine the impact of “retailer incentive” and “customer rebate” promotions on the manufacturer's pricing and the retailer's ordering/sales decisions. The main tradeoff is that customer rebates are given to every customer, while the use of retailer incentives is controlled by the retailer. We consider several models with different demand characteristics and information asymmetry between the manufacturer and a price discriminating retailer, and we determine which promotion would benefit the manufacturer under which market conditions. When demand is deterministic, we find that retailer incentives increase the manufacturer's profits (and sales) while customer rebates do not unless they lead to market expansion. When the uncertainty in demand (“market potential”) is high, a customer rebate can be more profitable than the retailer incentive for the manufacturer. With numerical examples, we provide additional insights on the profit gains by the right choice of promotion.© 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

某型导弹装备使用保障能力评估

导弹装备是一种高可靠性,单一使用的冷储备系统,其先进的战术技术性能必须在有效协调使用保障的基础上才能充分发挥出来。在对某型导弹装备使用保障工作分析的基础上,提出了基于该导弹装备品质的使用保障能力评估指标体系,运用模糊理论建立了多级模糊层次综合评判模型,给出了导弹装备使用保障能力的量化评估方法,并进行了实例计算,结果可为该装备使用保障工作的进一步优化提供参考和依据。     

一种用于编队协同的Ad Hoc网络MAC协议

结合无人机编队和卫星编队自组织分布协同应用场景,基于IEEE 802.11无线MAC协议,给出了MAC协议优化算法:S-DCF算法和最小竞争窗口调整算法。每个站点通过S-DCF算法估算当前网络中竞争站点的数目,然后根据最小竞争窗口调整公式调整最小竞争窗口。仿真结果表明,系统吞吐量得到明显提高,时延明显减小。该优化算法对提高和完善编队协同网络的通信性能具有一定意义。     

捷联惯导初始对准中H_∞滤波器参数优化研究

对H∞滤波在捷联导航系统初始对准中的应用进行了研究。通过仿真和实验验证了滤波器在初始对准中的性能,并对如何设置参数进行了研究。结果表明,H∞滤波在参数选取合适的情况下方位角收敛速度比卡尔曼滤波快。当参数选取不合适的时候,H∞滤波会发散。虽然H∞滤波可能提高方位角收敛速度,但它自身的鲁棒性可能被削弱。因此,在实际系统中,必须选取合适的参数以保证滤波器的稳定性和初始对准的速度。实际使用过程中,先把参数设置为一个很小的值,再逐步调大以寻找临界值来获得最优的性能。     

Fully sequential indifference‐zone selection procedures with variance‐dependent sampling

Fully sequential indifference‐zone selection procedures have been proposed in the simulation literature to select the system with the best mean performance from a group of simulated systems. However, the existing sequential indifference‐zone procedures allocate an equal number of samples to the two systems in comparison even if their variances are drastically different. In this paper we propose new fully sequential indifference‐zone procedures that allocate samples according to the variances. We show that the procedures work better than several existing sequential indifference‐zone procedures when variances of the systems are different. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006