基于可变权重模糊集的搜索方案模糊决策模型

运用模糊决策理论,研究了反潜巡逻机在执行反潜任务时,从多种搜潜手段及其组合中选择合理的搜潜方案的决策模型,特别是针对声纳浮标为消耗性器材的特点,引入了基于AHP方法思想的、与声纳浮标存有量有关的可变因素权重模糊集向量,通过计算和判断各种备选方案与理想方案之间的模糊距离,建立了针对不同航行状态潜艇的搜索行动方案优选模型,最后给出了决策算例,验证了模糊决策模型的合理性,可应用于反潜巡逻机作战指挥的计算机辅助决策.     

某型自行高炮武器系统面向对象的作战模型建模

作战模型是作战模拟的工具和手段.构造出简单的、能表现作战系统基本特征和规律的作战模型,需要采用有效的建模方法;简述了面向对象的基本概念、建模方法和步骤;结合面向对象思想对自行高炮模拟训练训练平台进行了可视化分析建模;采用统一建模语言(UML)建立了自行高炮模拟训练平台功能模型、静态模型和动态模型.     

光纤光栅与分布式光纤感温探测性能研究

传统的火灾自动报警系统工作时需要向现场探测器供电。带电类探测器工作在易燃易爆场所必然存在着不安全因素,而利用光纤光栅及分布式光纤感温探测元件构成的火灾探测报警系统采用光信号测量与传输,实现了探测现场无电检测,从而真正实现了本质安全防爆。在分析光纤光栅与分布式光纤感温探测机理的基础上,通过对比探讨了各自的应用特性。     

受限空间内油料火灾的热释放速率分析

为了深入研究受限空间内油料火灾的热释放速率规律,在液体和高温气体之间能量传递的基础上,利用"质量消耗率法"确定了液体可燃物燃烧时释热速率的大小。同时,对受限空间内轰燃现象通常采用的三种最大热释放速率确定方法进行了比较分析,指出了其不足之处,并采用Waterman轰燃判断方法确定了受限空间的轰燃速率,进而得到整个油料燃烧过程的热释放速率。最后,结合实例进行了比较分析,验证了提出的受限空间内液体火灾的热释放速率确定方法的正确性。     

Timing of information acquisition in a competitive environment

This article investigates the impact of timing on sellers' information acquisition strategies in a duopoly setting. Market uncertainty is captured by a representative consumer who has a private taste for the product's horizontal attribute, and both sellers can acquire this information either before (ex‐ante acquisition) or after (ex‐post acquisition) observing their own product qualities. We identify several conflicting effects of information acquisition that vary significantly in its timing and market characteristics. In the monopoly scenario, information acquisition is unambiguously beneficial and ex‐ante acquisition is the dominant option, because it helps a seller not only design the proper product but also craft better pricing strategy. By contrast, when there is competition, information acquisition eliminates the buffer role of market uncertainty and leads to the fiercest production or pricing competition, which makes the subsequent effects of acquisition detrimental, and a seller's payoff is nonmonotonic in terms of its acquisition cost. Moreover, compared with the ex‐ante information acquisition, ex‐post information acquisition normally generates higher sellers' equilibrium payoffs by postponing the timing of acquisition and maintaining product differentiation. Nonetheless, ex‐post information acquisition also provides the seller with greater acquisition incentive and occasionally makes him worse off than that in the ex‐ante scenario. Thus, in a competitive environment, having the option of information acquisition and flexibility in its timing can be both detrimental and irresistible. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 3–22, 2016     

Nonlinear pricing with consumer satiation

In various scenarios, consumers may become satiated with products, and the degree of satiation is directly associated with their prior experiences. Confronted with consumer satiation, the seller is unable to either identify consumers who have a higher likelihood of being satiated ex ante or distinguish satiated from non‐satiated consumers ex post. Therefore, the seller should address dynamic selling, valuation uncertainty, and quantity decisions, all of which are important operational issues. We consider a two‐period problem in which consumer types are influenced by their prior consumption experiences. Faced with these consumers, the seller intends to optimize quantities and adjust the prices of the products in each period to maximize revenue. We find that the seller may reduce ex ante production quantity as some consumers become satiated. Moreover, the ex ante quantity is first decreasing and then increasing with regard to the satiation rate. Furthermore, two‐period information asymmetries may provide a rationale for upward distortion in quantity when consumer preferences are highly sensitive to first‐period consumption. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 386–400, 2016     

美军无人地面车辆概述（一）

对美国陆军无人地面车辆（又称军用机器人）进行概要介绍,编译的原文为截止到2007年底的美国政府公开发布资料,分为引言、轻型无人地面车辆、中型无人地面车辆、重型无人地面车辆、大型无人地面车辆等5章,包括20多种研制和投入使用的型号,本文为第一部分。     

一种改进的Mean-shift目标跟踪算法

提出了一种利用多帧图像中目标区域颜色直方图特征信息的Mean-shift目标跟踪算法,该算法以Mean-shift为核心,在对目标模板建立特征模型时,不仅考虑了前一帧的目标区域的颜色直方图,而且将前数帧中目标区域的颜色直方图通过加权一起考虑,从而提高了跟踪的稳定性。     

煅烧温度对钛酸钡晶相的影响

采用溶胶-凝胶法,制备钛酸钡干凝胶.通过DSC对其进行热分析,确定两个煅烧温度:780 ℃和900 ℃.通过DSC,XRD对这两种温度煅烧得到的钛酸钡进行晶相结构表征.结果表明,随着煅烧温度升高,晶粒尺寸逐渐增大,(111)面间距d(111)和α轴逐渐减小,c轴逐渐增大.说明可以通过提高煅烧温度得到常温下为铁电性的四方相钛酸钡晶体,解决了溶胶-凝胶法制备钛酸钡在常温下为顺电性的立方相晶体这一问题.     

高功率微波武器发展构想

目前国外高功率微波武器技术发展已达到实用水平。分析了高功率微波武器的原理及特点,详细介绍了其组成及关键技术,根据高功率微波武器的功用及作战性能,提出了对未来陆基、海基、空基和天基微波武器的应用发展趋势和构想。