Nonperiodic preventive maintenance for repairable systems

As a complex system with multiple components usually deteriorates with age, preventive maintenance (PM) is often performed to keep the system functioning in a good state to prolong its effective age. In this study, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process with a power law failure intensity is used to describe the deterioration of a repairable system, and the optimal nonperiodic PM schedule can be determined to minimize the expected total cost per unit time. However, since the determination of such optimal PM policies may involve numerous uncertainties, which typically make the analyses difficult to perform because of the scarcity of data, a Bayesian decision model, which utilizes all available information effectively, is also proposed for determining the optimal PM strategies. A numerical example with a real failure data set is used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The results show that the optimal schedules derived by Bayesian approach are relatively more conservative than that for non‐Bayesian approach because of the uncertainty of the intensity function, and if the intensity function are updated using the collected data set, which indicates more severe deterioration than the prior belief, replacing the entire system instead of frequent PM activities before serious deterioration is suggested. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于条件熵的不完备信息系统属性约简算法

在相容关系下定义了三种不完备条件熵——H′条件熵、E′条件熵和I′条件熵,并对它们的性质进行了分析比较,研究发现,H′条件熵和I′条件熵不适用于相容关系下信息观点的约简。利用E′条件熵刻画信息系统中属性的相对重要性,设计了一种新的基于信息论观点的启发式约简算法,它统一了完备信息系统与非完备信息系统中的约简方法。通过实例说明,该算法能得到决策表的相对约简。     

Approximation results for min‐max path cover problems in vehicle routing

This article studies a min‐max path cover problem, which is to determine a set of paths for k capacitated vehicles to service all the customers in a given weighted graph so that the largest path cost is minimized. The problem has wide applications in vehicle routing, especially when the minimization of the latest service completion time is a critical performance measure. We have analyzed four typical variants of this problem, where the vehicles have either unlimited or limited capacities, and they start from either a given depot or any depot of a given depot set. We have developed approximation algorithms for these four variants, which achieve approximation ratios of max{3 ‐ 2/k,2}, 5, max{5 ‐ 2/k,4}, and 7, respectively. We have also analyzed the approximation hardness of these variants by showing that, unless P = NP , it is impossible for them to achieve approximation ratios less than 4/3, 3/2, 3/2, and 2, respectively. We have further extended the techniques and results developed for this problem to other min‐max vehicle routing problems.© 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于C~4ISR体系结构的防空导弹指挥系统设计

主要分析了C4ISR体系构架,阐述了C4ISR体系结构视图的概念、作用以及相互关系,对应框架中提出的三个视图从需求、设计、实现三个层面提出了以C4ISR体系结构为主导进行新一代防空导弹指挥系统设计的思想。     

ITSON：一种基于拓扑演化的P2P智能搜索机制

P2P系统中节点的动态特性对搜索性能的稳定提出了很大挑战。借鉴社会学和组织学相应原理,提出拓扑演化模型捕获节点的运动规律。节点模拟人类在社会网络中的行为,根据自身和他人的兴趣变化,随搜索过程的进行,利用自身局部信息,动态、自适应地调整网络拓扑,及时反映资源分布以及搜索内容的动态变化,维持资源合理组织。在此基础上提出的智能搜索机制ITSON(InTelligent Search based on tOpologyevolutioN),利用消息转发的智能性进行路由方向决策,从而迅速定位提供资源的节点。仿真结果说明,ITSON能自动优化网络,具有良好的搜索性能和自适应特性。     

基于IEPF序贯融合的多传感器管理方法

针对主被动传感器信息融合的特点,提出了一种在IEPF序贯融合基础上进行传感器管理的方法。工程常采用的传统扩展卡尔曼滤波融合算法滤波精度不高,因此结合采用了粒子滤波方法。先对主被动传感器采用迭代扩展卡尔曼滤波集中式序贯融合,利用融合后的信息进行粒子更新,提高滤波精度,在此基础上采用分辨力增益的方法对传感器进行管理。仿真结果表明该方法能够提高对目标的跟踪精度,增强多传感器对环境变化的适应能力。     

深刻认识加快经济发展方式转变的重大战略意义

加快经济发展方式转变,对我们党加强经济工作指导提出了新要求,要引导广大官兵认识到加快经济发展方式转变是我们党适应生产力发展大势作出的重大战略部署,是着眼未来发展确定的重大战略任务,是推进现代化事业科学发展的重大战略之举,增强履行历史使命的自觉性坚定性.     

通信网节点重要性的多指标评价方法

提出了一种评价通信网节点重要性的多指标评价方法。分析论证了现有评价方法中各单指标的优缺点,提出将"不连通节点对数"、"剩余节点对最短距离和增量"和"生成树数减少值"三个单指标进行归一化的综合方法。该方法能对令现有多种方法失效的网络进行节点重要性评价,克服了现有各种方法的缺陷。试验分析表明:该方法简单有效、鲁棒性强。     

导管螺旋桨敞水性能的预报和比较

借助于计算流体力学软件,对导管螺旋桨的敞水性能进行了数值模拟,得到了在不同网格模型和湍流模型下导管螺旋桨的正车敞水性能曲线,通过与试验图谱的对比分析,发现Wilcoxk-ω模型更适合于导管螺旋桨的敞水性能计算,并且采用结构化网格和非结构化网格相结合的计算方法能够满足导管螺旋桨敞水性能预报的工程精度要求。同时,当网格中存在少量高度倾斜的网格单元时,在不影响计算收敛的情况下,仍能将计算误差控制在10%以内。此外,如果要获得更为精确的计算结果,应提高网格质量,尽量使用结构化网格,并将近壁面网格加密,合理控制壁面附近的Y+值。虽然网格数量的增加并不总是意味着计算误差的减少,但合理控制网格细密度能够获得更为可信的计算结果。     

在新的起点上推进军队政治工作信息化建设

在新的起点上推进军队政治工作信息化建设,必须进一步理清推进政治工作信息化建设科学发展的总体思路;下大力抓好政治工作信息化建设重点任务落实;重视加强对政治工作信息化建设的组织领导.