信息化战争条件下国防动员的理论思考

信息化战争条件下,国防动员呈现出动员数量扩大化、动员领域宽泛化、动员时效实时化、动员对象科技化、动员环境复杂化的特点,国防动员建设应树立信息主导、快速精确、整体联动、集约聚合的指导理念,突出国防动员机制建设,加强国防动员基础建设。     

军用方舱的舒适性设计

文章主要论述了军用方舱在舒适性方面的设计,内容主要包括舱内噪声的控制、舱内的通风设计、照明设计、色彩与内饰设计以及人机系统的设计。通过舒适性设计,可以为舱内工作人员创造、提供一个舒适、愉快、高效的工作、生活环境。     

加快现场混装炸药行业标准体系建设 推动我国爆破装备技术的发展

通过对我国引进、消化、吸收、改进现场混装炸药车情况的介绍,分析了现阶段混装炸药车标准及标准化管理方面存在的不足,提出了建立混装炸药车标准体系亟待解决的问题和建议。     

装备承制单位资格审查工作研究

装备承制单位资格审查工作是我军武器装备采办发展过程中,维护军队利益的重要举措。该文提出了新时期控制军方风险,增强资格审查有效性以及深化装备承制单位资格审查工作应把握的重点。     

Kernel estimation of quantile sensitivities

Quantiles, also known as value‐at‐risks in the financial industry, are important measures of random performances. Quantile sensitivities provide information on how changes in input parameters affect output quantiles. They are very useful in risk management. In this article, we study the estimation of quantile sensitivities using stochastic simulation. We propose a kernel estimator and prove that it is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed for outputs from both terminating and steady‐state simulations. The theoretical analysis and numerical experiments both show that the kernel estimator is more efficient than the batching estimator of Hong 9 . © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009     

粗糙集理论在坦克武器火力分配中的应用

利用粗糙集理论及规划模型相结合的方法处理火力分配问题.将射击方案的效果作为决策属性,依据已有数据或作战经验根据粗糙集约简的概念挖掘射击规则,并取总体效果为规划模型的优化目标,运用定性与定量的方法解决了火力分配问题,较好地克服了一般数学模型存在的缺陷,为实时地解决现代战争中坦克武器火力分配提供了方法.     

装备保障方案综合评价系统的分析与设计

为了科学合理地对装备保障方案进行权衡分析和优化筛选,从装备保障方案综合评价的具体需求出发,提出了装备保障方案综合评价系统的总体结构,基于 OU（组织单元）与 BOU（基本组织单元）的组织建模法构建了装备保障方案综合评价的组织结构模型,设计了系统的角色和各功能模块,并给出系统运作的一般流程和具体事例,验证了该系统的可行性和有效性。     

Rolling‐horizon replenishment: Policies and performance analysis

We consider a rolling‐horizon (RH) replenishment modeling framework under which a buyer can update demand information and inventory status, modify order quantities committed previously, place an advanced order for a new period at the end of the RH, and move along in time seamlessly. We show that the optimal order policy for the two‐period RH problem is a dual‐threshold type for updating period(s) plus a base‐stock type for the advanced order. We provide analytical formulas and algorithms to compute the optimal thresholds and the optimal base‐stock level exactly. With our analytical results and numerical procedures, we demonstrate the significant value of RH replenishment in matching supplies to demands more closely. We also show that with RH updating (flexibility), the value of additional demand information beyond the RH diminishes quickly. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

A note on “resource flexibility with responsive pricing”

We revisit the capacity investment decision problem studied in the article “Resource Flexibility with Responsive Pricing” by Chod and Rudi [Operations Research 53, (2005) 532–548]. A monopolist firm producing two dependent (substitutable or complementary) products needs to determine the capacity of one flexible resource under demand risk so as to maximize its expected profit. Product demands are linear functions of the prices of both products, and the market potentials are random and correlated. We perform a comparative statics analysis on how demand variability and correlation impact the optimal capacity and the resulting expected profit. In particular, C&R study this problem under the following assumptions/approximations: (i) demand intercepts follow a bivariate Normal distribution; (ii) demand uncertainty is of an additive form; (iii) and under approximate expressions for the optimal capacity and optimal expected profit. We revisit Propositions 2, 3, 4, 5, and 10 of C&R without these assumptions and approximations, and show that these results continue to hold (i) for the exact expressions for the optimal expected profit and optimal capacity, and (ii) under any arbitrary continuous distribution of demand intercepts. However, we also show that the additive demand uncertainty is a critical assumption for the C&R results to hold. In particular, we provide a case of multiplicative uncertainty under which the C&R results (Propositions 2 and 3) fail. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2010     

内隐自尊、外显自尊及其交互作用对应对方式的影响研究

为了探讨内隐自尊、外显自尊及其交互作用对应对方式的影响,我们采用实验设计方法对某大学60名学生进行研究,选用自尊量表（SES）、应对方式问卷（CSQ）和内隐测验程序（IAT）施测。结果显示：一是内隐自尊、外显自尊存在低相关;二是外显自尊在积极、消极两种应对方式上主效应显著;三是不同外显自尊水平下,内隐自尊对积极应对方式有不同的影响。即高外显自尊水平下,高内隐自尊者比低内隐自尊者应用更多的积极应对方式;低外显自尊水平下,内隐自尊水平不影响积极应对方式的应用。由此可见,自尊类型影响个体应对方式,要培养个体安全的高自尊以促使个体在压力面前更多使用积极应对方式。