论 C3I 系统的建模

本文在对Ｃ~３Ｉ系统的建模问题进行深入讨论后,提出了一套用于Ｃ~３Ｉ系统建模的规范化建模方法,并由计算机实现了该方法,使得人们可以通过人机对话的形式进行建模。这一方法解决了目前战争系统尤其是Ｃ~３Ｉ系统的微分方程不易得到这个问题。文中给出了一个建模案例。     

火控系统软件的一种测试方法

基于火控系统的“黑箱”特征,提出了一种软件测试模型,并由此建立了有关的评价方去。从而可为火控系统软件测试的定量评价提供依据。     

苯乙炔与二苯丁二炔的共聚及共聚物的表征

本文以(Ph_3P)_2PdCl_2作催化剂,合成出聚二苯丁二炔和二苯丁二炔与苯乙炔共聚物。均聚物及共聚物产率都在90%以上,均聚物分子量为900,二苯丁二炔与苯乙炔最佳摩尔比为1/2(数均分子量为1205)。结构分析表明,均聚物及共聚物均具有反—反式结构。     

主星带伴随微小卫星编队SAR系统的空间分辨率分析

根据主星带伴随微小卫星编队SAR系统的结构特点,建立了双站SAR系统的几何模型,然后推导分析了距离分辨率和方位向分辨率的解析表达式,最后仿真分析了以ENVISAT作为主星、"干涉车轮"的距离分辨率和方位向分辨率随主星到编队小卫星的距离、相对轨道高度的变化情况,并且与主星SAR的分辨率进行了比较。结果表明:(1)空间分辨率大小随波束入射角的变化基本上与主星一致;(2)空间分辨率随主星与伴随小卫星的距离增大而增大;(3)空间分辨率之差随微小卫星相对椭圆轨道短轴的增加而增加。     

Impacts of logistics information on sales: Evidence from Alibaba

Facing fierce competition from rivals, sellers in online marketplaces are eager to improve their sales by delivering items faster and more reliably. Because logistics quality can be known only after a transaction, sellers must identify effective ways to communicate logistics information to consumers. Drawing on the accessibility-diagnosticity framework, we theorize that the sales impacts of logistics information depend on its relative diagnostic value. Using data on 1493 items with 505,785 consumer reviews from an online marketplace, we examine how sales are affected by three information sources for logistics services: online word of mouth (WOM) about logistics, self-reported logistics services, and expected delivery time. We use an instrumental variable method to address the endogeneity issue between sales and WOM. We find that, ceteris paribus, consumers give more weight to WOM about logistics and delivery time when they make purchase decisions but less weight to self-reported logistics service. The effects of logistics information on sales are asymmetric for large and small sellers.     

和谐人生:军队政治工作的价值诉求

军队政治工作就是做人的工作,要把关注广大官兵的“和谐人生”作为基本的价值诉求。军队政治工作应认真引导和帮助广大官兵确立和谐的人生理念,建立和谐的人际关系,调适和谐的心理机能,着力解决人生旅程中的现实问题,不断促进官兵的全面发展。     

一种完全分布式的空间服务及组合模型

针对服务组合中控制流和数据流的不同协调机制,可将组合模型分为4种类型,分别是控制流集中式且数据流集中式、控制流集中式且数据流分布式、控制流分布式且数据流集中式、控制流分布式且数据流分布式.空间服务组合流程需处理较大规模的数据流,采用控制流分布式和数据流分布式的协调机制能有效降低组合过程中系统整体通信规模并减少空间服务组合响应时间.通过对各种不同组合类型建模的定量分析对上述观点进行了正确性论证.模拟实验证明,定量分析结果可信.     

A model of supply-chain decisions for resource sharing with an application to ventilator allocation to combat COVID-19

We present a stochastic optimization model for allocating and sharing a critical resource in the case of a pandemic. The demand for different entities peaks at different times, and an initial inventory for a central agency are to be allocated. The entities (states) may share the critical resource with a different state under a risk-averse condition. The model is applied to study the allocation of ventilator inventory in the COVID-19 pandemic by FEMA to different U.S. states. Findings suggest that if less than 60% of the ventilator inventory is available for non-COVID-19 patients, FEMA's stockpile of 20 000 ventilators (as of March 23, 2020) would be nearly adequate to meet the projected needs in slightly above average demand scenarios. However, when more than 75% of the available ventilator inventory must be reserved for non-COVID-19 patients, various degrees of shortfall are expected. In a severe case, where the demand is concentrated in the top-most quartile of the forecast confidence interval and states are not willing to share their stockpile of ventilators, the total shortfall over the planning horizon (until May 31, 2020) is about 232 000 ventilator days, with a peak shortfall of 17 200 ventilators on April 19, 2020. Results are also reported for a worst-case where the demand is at the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval. An important finding of this study is that a central agency (FEMA) can act as a coordinator for sharing critical resources that are in short supply over time to add efficiency in the system. Moreover, through properly managing risk-aversion of different entities (states) additional efficiency can be gained. An additional implication is that ramping up production early in the planning cycle allows to reduce shortfall significantly. An optimal timing of this production ramp-up consideration can be based on a cost-benefit analysis.     

结合层次法与主成分分析特征变换的宫颈细胞识别

对宫颈细胞进行多分类可以自动识别出不同状态的细胞,进而为宫颈癌诊断提供科学依据。在用6种多分类算法进行实验后,选取支持向量机作为基分类器,先用一对一策略训练6个分类器进行3分类,然后再训练1个2分类器,这种二层4分类方法提高了识别准确率。考虑不同层特征模式的差异性,在保证识别性能的同时,每层分类前先采用主成分分析法将原始154维特征变换到低维空间,去除冗余特征,加快识别速度。实验证明,所提层次主成分分析法在宫颈细胞分类中相比6种传统多分类方法有更高的识别准确率,可达90%以上;识别速度也较普通层次法提升了21.31%。     

努力争当知识型开拓型有为型自律型领导型干部

在新的历史起点上,我们的干部要努力争当学习力强、知识面广、业务上精的知识型干部;争当视野开阔、勇于创新、充满激情的开拓型干部;争当心无旁骛想干事、素质过硬能干事、不辱使命干成事的有为型干部;争当善于律心、心理不失衡,长于律言、言语不失规,严于律行、行为不失范的自律型干部;争当能说会道、让人信服,公道正派、让人诚服,硕果...