Cycles and trends in the procurement system: Anticipating changes in acquisition legislation, regulation and policy

In conclusion, let me raise the question of whether the Law Panel can impact these cycles or reverse these trends. If they are regarded as historical imperatives, the answer is clearly No. But we have been urged to be bold and to try to devise a new, simplified statute that will take us back to a better day. We are going to do that, without regard to the question whether Congress will accept the solution.

There probably has never been a better time for the Panel's report than the present; the window of opportunity is open. But what the Panel recommends is going to be awfully hard to sell, even in a window-of-opportunity year. If the predictions come true about the defense budget's going down to the level of the period when Eisenhower remained a Major for 14 years, maybe Congress will be receptive to anything that adds a little bit of value to the defense dollar. With this in mind, the Law Panel is likely to be very bold in its attempt to streamline the procurement system and reduce oversight. Hope springs eternal . . . .     

Rectilinear m-Center problem

In this article we consider the unweighted m-center problem with rectilinear distance. We preent an O(n^m–2 log n) algorithm for the m-center problem where m ≥ 4.     

A new bivariate negative binomial distribution

A new bivariate negative binomial distribution is derived by convoluting an existing bivariate geometric distribution; the probability function has six parameters and admits of positive or negative correlations and linear or nonlinear regressions. Given are the moments to order two and, for special cases, the regression function and a recursive formula for the probabilities. Purely numerical procedures are utilized in obtaining maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters. A data set with a nonlinear empirical regression function and another with negative sample correlation coefficient are discussed.     

A note on integer solutions to linear fractional interval programming problems by a branch & bound technique

This paper provides a method for solving linear fractional interval programming problems in integers with the help of a branch and bound technique.     

The M/G/1 queue with instantaneous bernoulli feedback

In this paper we are concerned with several random processes that occur in M/G/1 queues with instantaneous feedback in which the feedback decision process is a Bernoulli process. Queue length processes embedded at various times are studied. It is shown that these do not all have the same asymptotic distribution, and that in general none of the output, input, or feedback processes is renewal. These results have implications in the application of certain decomposition results to queueing networks.     

An algorithm for 0-1 multiple-knapsack problems

The 0-1 multiple-knapsack problem is an extension of the well-known 0-1 knapsack problem. It is a problem of assigning m objects, each having a value and a weight, to n knapsacks in such a way that the total weight in each knapsack is less than its capacity limit and the total value in the knapsacks is maximized. A branch-and-bound algorithm for solving the problem is developed and tested. Branching rules that avoid the search of redundant partial solutions are used in the algorithm. Various bounding techniques, including Lagrangean and surrogate relaxations, are investigated and compared.     

Determining confidence bounds for highly reliable coherent systems based on a paucity of component failures

A computationally simple method for obtaining confidence bounds for highly reliable coherent systems, based on component tests which experience few or no failures, is given. Binomial and Type I censored exponential failure data are considered. Here unknown component unreliabilities are ordered by weighting factors, which are firstly presumed known then sensitivity of the confidence bounds to these assumed weights is examined and shown to be low.     

Stochastic duels with bursts

In this analysis we extend the theory of stochastic duels to include the situation where one of the contestants fires a single infinitely long burst at a fixed rate of fire and secondly where he fires fixed-length, fixed-rate of fire bursts randomly spaced. In both cases the opponent fires single rounds randomly spaced. Special cases and parameter effects are considered.     

Insurance type item provisioning guidelines

Policy decisions for insurance type items, where zero or one unit is maintained at the depot, are more difficult and more critical than decisions for common supply items. This report presents results of developing initial provisioning guidelines for insurance type items. The guidelines are based on examination of lifetime costs and benefits. Costs of stocking an item as compared with not stocking are developed through a sinking fund annual payment formulation. Benefits of stocking are developed as stationary reduction in time weighted backorders experienced. A resource allocation formulation yields an optimal policy for allocating a fixed budget. The guideline is presented with refinements based on a sample of items. A figure of merit is calculated for each item, and if it is large the item is stocked while if small it is not stocked. Empirical definitions for large and small are developed based on sample data. Estimation techniques are discussed for deriving all of an item's parameters needed to compute its figure of merit. A Bayes procedure is suggested based on family group Experienced Demand Replacement Factors. This and other techniques are discussed.