Establishing Reliability Goals for Naval Major-Caliber Ammunition

We describe a decision process for establishing the threshold reliabilities for components of naval major-caliber ammunition. We present a measure of reliability performance, called ef*, which relates directly to the weapons system's performance in a naval gunfire support environment. We use a simulation model to establish this relationship, a regression metamodel to estimate its parameters, and a simple decision process to specify component reliability thresholds which ensure that the ammunition is mission effective. We present this article as an example of the integration of discrete event dynamic system analysis within a decision process. © 1992 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

Optimizability of utility and value functions

For more than a decade, multiattribute utility/value theory and multiobjective mathematical programming have offered different approaches to similar problems. Unfortunately, the two areas have developed with little interaction in spite of their common aims. We consider the use of utility/value functions in a mathematical programming framework, and demonstrate that these functions often possess desirable properties from an optimization point of view. We conclude that a hybridization of approaches is more viable than is perhaps commonly assumed.     

A one-dimensional infiltration game

Minimax strategies are obtained for an infiltration game in which one player must move through a one-dimensional interval defended by the other player.     

A note on the optimality conditions for the bilevel programming problem

A counterexample is given to demonstrate that previously proposed necessary conditions for the bilevel programming problem are not correct. An interpretation of the difficulty is given by appealing to a “theorem of alternative” result presented in the original work.     

Partial orderings of life distributions with respect to their aging properties

New partial orderings of life distributions are given. The concepts of decreasing mean residual life, new better than used in expectation, harmonic new better than used in expectation, new better than used in failure rate, and new better than used in failure rate average are generalized, so as to compare the aging properties of two arbitrary life distributions.     

On a class of multiple failure mode systems

The primary objective of this work is to introduce and perform a detailed study of a class of multistate reliability structures in which no ordering in the levels of components' performances is necessary. In particular, the present paper develops the basic theory (exact reliability formulae, reliability bounds, asymptotic results) that will make it feasible to investigate systems whose components are allowed to experience m ≥ 2 kinds of failure (failure modes), and their breakdown is described by different families of cut sets in each mode. For illustration purposes, two classical (binary) systems are extended to analogous multiple failure mode structures, and their reliability performance (bounds and asymptotic behavior) is investigated by numerical experimentation. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 167–185, 2002; DOI 10.1002/nav.10007     

Multilateral Counter-Insurgency Networks

Postmodern terrorism presents a significant challenge to global security and law enforcement institutions. Non-state actors operating across international borders, engaged in an apparent global insurgency of extremism that transects the traditional boundaries of crime and war, pose significant challenges to both intelligence and law enforcement agencies. These networked global insurgents blend political and religious fanaticism with criminal enterprises to challenge the rule of law and pose an epochal shift in the structures and relations among states. Negotiating this epochal shift requires traditional organs of national security (the diplomatic, military and intelligence services) to forge new partnerships with police and public safety organizations at the state and local (sub-national), as well as transnational levels. Significant operational, policy and cultural challenges must be overcome to forge an effective multi-lateral global network to counter global terrorism and insurgency.