Inspection policies for deteriorating equipment characterized by n quality levels

Inspection models deal with operating systems whose stochastic failure is detected by observations carried out intermittently. The current communication deals with systems in which N + 1 levels of quality can be diagnosed. Optimal policies leading to minimal loss are developed, while the system's distribution is represented by an (N + 1)-state semi-markov process. Based on previous studies of the authors, relative efficiencies of the proposed checking policies are ascertained, by comparison with the loss sustained if discrimination of quality by intermediate levels is disregarded and by viewing the system as one which is either good or failed. Various models are treated where checking, truncated checking, and monitoring policies optimize loss per cycle, per unit of time and per unit of good time. Numerical examples are given.     

An early-accept modification to the test plans of military standard 781C

This paper is concerned with the statistical test plans contained in Military Standard 781C, “Reliability Design Qualification and Production Acceptance Tests: Exponential Distribution” and the selection and use of these plans. Modifications to the fixed-length test plans of MIL-STD-781C are presented which allow early-accept decisions to be made without sacrificing statistical validity. The proposed plans differ from the probability ratio sequential tests in the Standard in that rejection is permitted only after a fixed number of failures have been observed.     

A note on distribution-free tolerance limits

This note presents methods for solving for any one of the four parameters (such as sample size) involved in the construction of distribution-free tolerance limits in terms of the other three. These solutions are based on a normal approximation to the incomplete beta function. Numerical examples indicate that the approximations are very reasonable. Also considered are tolerance limits with a specified precision.     

Sequential tests for hypotheses concerning the product of poisson parameters with applications to problems in reliability and biometry

Sequential tests for the product of Poisson parameters based on the generalized incomplete modified Bessel (g.i.m.B.) distributions are given. Applications to reliability and biometry are indicated.     

Multiobjective fractional programming duality theory

Results of Geoffrion for efficient and properly efficient solutions of multiobjective programming problems are extended to multiobjective fractional programming problems. Duality relationships are given for these problems where the functions are generalized convex or invex.     

Demand shuffle—A method for multilevel proportional lot sizing and scheduling

This contribution acquaints the reader with a model for multilevel single-machine proportional lot sizing and scheduling problems (PLSPs) that appear in the scope of short-term production planning. It is one of the first articles that deals with dynamic capacitated multilevel lot sizing and scheduling, which is of great practical importance. The PLSP model refines well-known mixed-integer programming formulations for dynamic capacitated lot sizing and scheduling as, for instance, the DLSP or the CSLP. A special emphasis is given on a new method called demand shuffle to solve multilevel PLSP instances efficiently but suboptimally. Although the basic idea is very simple, it becomes clear that in the presence of precedence and capacity constraints many nontrivial details are to be concerned. Computational studies show that the presented approach decidedly improves recent results. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 319–340, 1997     

A general model for accelerated life testing with time‐dependent covariates

This paper introduces a general or “distribution‐free” model to analyze the lifetime of components under accelerated life testing. Unlike the accelerated failure time (AFT) models, the proposed model shares the advantage of being “distribution‐free” with the proportional hazard (PH) model and overcomes the deficiency of the PH model not allowing survival curves corresponding to different values of a covariate to cross. In this research, we extend and modify the extended hazard regression (EHR) model using the partial likelihood function to analyze failure data with time‐dependent covariates. The new model can be easily adopted to create an accelerated life testing model with different types of stress loading. For example, stress loading in accelerated life testing can be a step function, cyclic, or linear function with time. These types of stress loadings reduce the testing time and increase the number of failures of components under test. The proposed EHR model with time‐dependent covariates which incorporates multiple stress loadings requires further verification. Therefore, we conduct an accelerated life test in the laboratory by subjecting components to time‐dependent stresses, and we compare the reliability estimation based on the developed model with that obtained from experimental results. The combination of the theoretical development of the accelerated life testing model verified by laboratory experiments offers a unique perspective to reliability model building and verification. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 303–321, 1999     

Estimating negative binomial demand for retail inventory management with unobservable lost sales

The importance of effective inventory management has greatly increased for many major retailers because of more intense competition. Retail inventory management methods often use assumptions and demand distributions that were developed for application areas other than retailing. For example, it is often assumed that unmet demand is backordered and that demand is Poisson or normally distributed. In retailing, unmet demand is often lost and unobserved. Using sales data from a major retailing chain, our analysis found that the negative binomial fit significantly better than the Poisson or the normal distribution. A parameter estimation methodology that compensates for unobserved lost sales is developed for the negative binomial distribution. The method's effectiveness is demonstrated by comparing parameter estimates from the complete data set to estimates obtained by artificially truncating the data to simulate lost sales. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

A fast infiltration game on n arcs

Starting from a safe base, an Infiltrator tries to reach a sensitive zone within a given time limit without being detected by a Guard. The Infiltrator can move with speed at most u, while the Guard can only perform a restricted number of searches. A discrete variant of this zero-sum game played on a graph consisting of two vertices joined by n nonintersecting arcs is investigated. Optimal strategies and an explicit expression for its value are obtained. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.