基于Agents/Space的装甲装备战损仿真方法(Ⅱ)

对任何仿真系统,只有在保证一定可信度的基础才具有实用价值。在文(Ⅰ)战损仿真原型系统的基础上,结合经济性和可行性的权衡分析,提出了装甲装备战损仿真系统的修正策略。进行了典型条件下的杀伤力参数试验,利用神经网络技术修正BAD参数经验值和试验值的误差,然后将训练完成的神经网络模块嵌入在P ierc ingA gen t中,实现对BAD模型参数的动态修正。最后,进行了仿真试验,并利用实战数据和全尺寸物理实验数据进行了仿真系统的有效性验证。研究成果为装甲装备战损或具有类似特征系统的仿真提供了一种研究途径。     

柔性加工单元故障诊断的模糊Petri网模型

针对故障诊断专家系统中专家知识的模糊性和不确定性,给出用模糊Ｐｅｔｒｉ网（ＦＰＮ）模型表示模糊产生式规则（ＦＰＲ）知识的方法、知识的存储、模糊推理机制及算法的实现。同时,以ＪＣＳ—０２０（ＦＡＮＵＣ）加工中心主轴伺服故障诊断为例,说明该方法在故障诊断专家系统（ＦＤＥＳ）中应用的可行性与有效性。     

Allocation of two redundancies in two‐component series systems

The allocation of redundancies in a system to optimize the reliability of system performance is an interesting problem in reliability engineering and system security. In this article, we focus on the optimal allocation of two exponentially distributed active (standby) redundancies in a two‐component series system using the tool of stochastic ordering. For the case of active redundancy, stochastic comparisons are carried out in terms of the likelihood ratio and reversed hazard rate orders. For the case of standby redundancy, a likelihood ratio ordering result is developed. The results established here generalize and strengthen corresponding results in the recent literature. In addition, several numerical examples are used to explicate the results. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

化工企业氯气泄漏事故疏散安全距离数值模拟研究

氯气通常是通过高压钢罐的方式贮存,一旦发生泄漏,由于氯气的剧毒性和易爆性,会给临近区域人员安全造成威胁,并会给救援处置工作带来巨大困难。通过数值模拟的方法,研究了氯气容器泄漏事故时氯气的扩散、发展以及蔓延运动规律,运用医学上的氯气伤害浓度值作为判据,给出了不同环境风条件下氯气储罐泄漏后氯气浓度超过氯气伤害浓度以上的区域范围随时间的变化,总结了最大影响半径随风速的变化规律,并以此确定了疏散安全距离。     

第1讲 大数据——挑战与技术

文章描述了大数据的规律、现象、成因及特征,重点介绍了应对大数据挑战的分布式计算技术,包括:分布式文件系统、分布式并行处理系统、分布式数据库系统和分布式数据挖掘系统等,分析了相关技术的原理,介绍了目前研究的热点与研究成果。     

舰艇编队海上运输补给物资需求预测方法

按照是否与任务、事件相关,将物资需求分为两类,对于任务、事件相关物资需求的预测,将任务进行合理的分解,并根据物资消耗与任务、事件之间的关系,给出了预测的一般模型;对于与任务、事件联系不紧密的物资需求的预测,则根据历史经验及该物资固有的消耗规律,提出了经验预测模型。为了解决舰艇编队海上运输补给物资需求预测所存在的问题,利用案例推理的方法生成了预测所需的样本数据,以最小二乘向量机(LSSVM)模型为预测模型,并以岛屿进攻作战的防空弹药需求预测为例进行了实例分析。结果表明:案例推理生成的样本数据可用,选用LSSVM模型的预测结果与其他预测模型表现出了一致性,但LSSVM相对误差较小;该方法在某种程度上解决了样本数据有限的问题,适用于作战物资需求的预测问题。     

MoDTP作锂基润滑脂添加剂的摩擦学性能研究

考察二烷基二硫代磷酸氧钼(Mo DTP)作锂基润滑脂添加剂时的摩擦学性能,并与传统添加剂二硫化钼(Mo S2)进行对比;采用扫描电子显微镜(SEM)及能量色散X射线分析仪(EDX)对长磨后钢球磨斑表面形貌及元素进行观测和分析,探讨Mo DTP的润滑作用机理。结果表明:在不同荷载下,Mo DTP作添加剂比Mo S2具有更好的减摩抗磨性能和更高的PB值,但PD值较低;摩擦过程中Mo DTP与摩擦副表面发生反应,生成了摩擦学性能显著的润滑层。     

机器人单兵室内定位理论与关键技术分析

机器人士兵作为未来战场的主角,具有智能化、伤亡小、作业时长等特点,可用于城市反恐、消防营救、室内及隧道作战等场景,成为各军事强国的研制焦点。概述近年来机器人室内定位技术的研究现状,分析智能机器人室内定位的工作原理和关键技术点,重点对几何特征法、场景分析法和航位推算法进行阐述,涉及到6个主要的室内定位技术。在此基础上,归纳现有机器人室内定位存在的问题,探讨智能机器人室内定位技术的发展趋势。对我国智能机器人部队的组建和参战具有理论和借鉴意义。     

Monitoring and Prediction of the Vibration Intensity of Seismic Waves Induced in Underwater Rock by Underwater Drilling and Blasting

All underwater drilling and blasting operations generate seismic waves.However,due to a lack of suitable vibration sensing instruments,most studies on the propagation of seismic waves have been limited to shorelines near construction areas or wharfs,whereas comparatively few studies have been conducted on the larger seafloor itself.To address this gap,a seafloor vibration sensor system was developed and applied in this study that consists of an autonomous acquisition storage terminal,soft-ware platform,and hole-plugging device that was designed to record the blasting vibration intensities received through submarine rocks at a given measurement point.Additionally,dimensional analyses were used to derive a predictive equation for the strength of blast vibrations that considered the in-fluence of the water depth.By combining reliable vibration data obtained using the sensor system in submarine rock and the developed predictive equation,it was determined that the water depth was an important factor influencing the measured vibration strength.The results using the newly derived equation were compared to those determined using the Sadowski equation,which is commonly used on land,and it was found that predictions using the derived equation were closer to the experimental values with an average error of less than 10％,representing a significant improvement.Based on these results,the developed sensor system and preliminary theoretical basis was deemed suitable for studying the propagation behavior of submarine seismic waves generated by underwater drilling and blasting operations.