Value management of diagnostic equipment with cancelation,no‐show,and emergency patients

Magnetic resonance imaging and other multifunctional diagnostic facilities, which are considered as scarce resources of hospitals, typically provide services to patients with different medical needs. This article examines the admission policies during the appointment management of such facilities. We consider two categories of patients: regular patients who are scheduled in advance through an appointment system and emergency patients with randomly generated demands during the workday that must be served as soon as possible. According to the actual medical needs of patients, regular patients are segmented into multiple classes with different cancelation rates, no‐show probabilities, unit value contributions, and average service times. Management makes admission decisions on whether or not to accept a service request from a regular patient during the booking horizon to improve the overall value that could be generated during the workday. The decisions should be made by considering the cancelation and no‐show behavior of booked patients as well as the emergency patients that would have to be served because any overtime service would lead to higher costs. We studied the optimal admission decision using a continuous‐time discrete‐state dynamic programming model. Identifying an optimal policy for this discrete model is analytically intractable and numerically inefficient because the state is multidimensional and infinite. We propose to study a deterministic counterpart of the problem (i.e., the fluid control problem) and to develop a time‐based fluid policy that is shown to be asymptotically optimal for large‐scale problems. Furthermore, we propose to adopt a mixed fluid policy that is developed based on the information obtained from the fluid control problem. Numerical experiments demonstrate that this improved policy works effectively for small‐scale problems. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 287–304, 2016     

系统效能综合建模方法研究

在介绍了几种常见的武器系统效能建模方法之后,提出了一种综合采用解析计算、仿真、层次分析、模糊评判、专家评估等手段来建立效能模型的方法     

一种新的闭环消磁方法

提出了一种在通电过程中利用舰船磁信号获得动态通电波形的自动化消磁方法。该方法可在保证舰船磁性稳定的前提下,一次性地将其结果磁场处理到给定标准内,从而提高舰船磁性的处理效率。对实现该方法的硬件和软件结构进行了分析,提出了利用“人工智能”和“模糊控制”来确定磁信号与电流波形之间的关系。     

Investigate the effects of magnetic fields on the penetration ability of a shaped charge jet at different standoffs

The influence of a magnetic field on the stability of a shaped charge jet is experimentally investigated at standoffs of 490, 650 and 800 mm. The experimental results without and with the magnetic field are compared in terms of the shaped charge jet form, stability and penetration ability. A theoretical model based on one-dimension fluid dynamics is then developed to assess the depth of penetration of the shaped charge at those three standoffs and magnetic conditions. The results show that the penetration capability can be enhanced in more than 70% by the magnetic field. The theoretical calculations are compared with the experimental results with reasonably good correlation. In addition, the parameters introduced in the theory are discussed together with the experiments at three standoffs studied.     

Prediction of three-dimensional elastic behavior of filament-wound composites based on the bridging model

This work provides a method to predict the three-dimensional equivalent elastic properties of the filament-wound composites based on the multi-scale homogenization principle.In the meso-scale,a representative volume element(RVE)is defined and the bridging model is adopted to establish a theoretical predictive model for its three-dimensional equivalent elastic constants.The results obtained through this method for the previous experimental model are compared with the ones gained respec-tively by experiments and classical laminate theory to verify the reliability of this model.In addition,the effects of some winding parameters,such as winding angle,on the equivalent elastic behavior of the filament-wound composites are analyzed.The rules gained can provide a theoretical reference for the optimum design of filament-wound composites.     

Theoretical and numerical simulation study on jet formation and penetration of different liner structures driven by electromagnetic pressure

The use of a shaped liner driven by electromagnetic force is a new means of forming jets. To study the mechanism of jet formation driven by electromagnetic force, we considered the current skin effect and the characteristics of electromagnetic loading and established a coupling model of"Electric—Magnetic—Force"and the theoretical model of jet formation under electromagnetic force. The jet formation and penetration of conical and trumpet liners have been calculated. Then, a numerical simulation of liner collapse under electromagnetic force, jet generation, and the stretching motion were performed using an ANSYS multiphysics processor. The calculated jet velocity, jet shape, and depth of penetration were consistent with the experimental results, with a relative error of less than 10％. In addition, we calculated the jet formation of different curvature trumpet liners driven by the same loading condition and ob-tained the influence rule of the curvature of the liner on jet formation. Results show that the theoretical model and the ANSYS multiphysics numerical method can effectively calculate the jet formation of liners driven by electromagnetic force, and in a certain range, the greater the curvature of the liner is, the greater the jet velocity is.     

新型驱护舰编队舰空导弹防御体系射击效能研究

针对新型驱护舰编队舰空导弹防御体系射击效能评估这一难题,对其射击效能准则进行了确立,提出了基于排队论的射击效能评估模型,对体系射击效能进行仿真计算,总结出能对系统射击效能做出准确评估的方法,并利用实例对模型进行了验证。     

含水率变化对路基回弹模量的影响

使用HM-1型回弹模量仪对路基非饱和含粘砂土进行了6个不同含水率、5个不同干密度的回弹模量试验。试验表明：含水率和干密度对非饱和含粘砂土的回弹模量影响显著：在同一干密度和含水率下,砂土的回弹模量为一常数;在同一干密度下,随含水率的增大,回弹模量明显减小;在同一含水率下,随干密度的提高,回弹模量明显增大。     

阻燃PA系列材料燃烧性能研究

通过氧指数测定、水平垂直燃烧性能测试以及差示热量扫描法分析,研究了以PA为基材的塑料的燃烧性能。结果表明,含不同阻燃剂的PA塑料的氧指数、初始分解温度、分解峰值温度等燃烧性能参数有显著不同,燃烧性能具有明显差别。     

含黏砂土渗透系数的3种试验方法浅析

对含黏砂土进行3种试验方法的渗透试验,即变水头渗透试验、常水头渗透试验和一维垂直土柱积水入渗试验,探讨了含黏砂土的渗透系数与干密度之间的函数关系,试验结果表明渗透系数随干密度的增大而呈现指数函数形式的衰减。3种试验方法所得函数形式是一致的,说明3种方法测试含黏砂土的渗透特性都是可靠的。