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421.
基于AHP和模糊数学的课程评估系统初探 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
王晨 《中国人民武装警察部队学院学报》2001,17(5):56-58
给出课程评估的因素和指标体系,提出模糊数学与AHP相结合进行课程综合评价的原理与方法,使对问题的定性分析与定量分析得到有机结合,评估结果科学合理. 相似文献
422.
本文力图从能表征状态的热力学参数熵的变化中找到有关有限时间热力学新的分析方法,提出了工作参数选择的最小熵产生最大值原则。这个原则揭示了有限时间热力学以时间为基础的“率”与非平衡热力学熵产生间的内在联系。据此,我们便可得到正、反向内可逆卡诺循环的最佳工作参数。为有限时间热力学的普遍应用研究提供了一新的线索。 相似文献
423.
424.
This article investigates the impact of timing on sellers' information acquisition strategies in a duopoly setting. Market uncertainty is captured by a representative consumer who has a private taste for the product's horizontal attribute, and both sellers can acquire this information either before (ex‐ante acquisition) or after (ex‐post acquisition) observing their own product qualities. We identify several conflicting effects of information acquisition that vary significantly in its timing and market characteristics. In the monopoly scenario, information acquisition is unambiguously beneficial and ex‐ante acquisition is the dominant option, because it helps a seller not only design the proper product but also craft better pricing strategy. By contrast, when there is competition, information acquisition eliminates the buffer role of market uncertainty and leads to the fiercest production or pricing competition, which makes the subsequent effects of acquisition detrimental, and a seller's payoff is nonmonotonic in terms of its acquisition cost. Moreover, compared with the ex‐ante information acquisition, ex‐post information acquisition normally generates higher sellers' equilibrium payoffs by postponing the timing of acquisition and maintaining product differentiation. Nonetheless, ex‐post information acquisition also provides the seller with greater acquisition incentive and occasionally makes him worse off than that in the ex‐ante scenario. Thus, in a competitive environment, having the option of information acquisition and flexibility in its timing can be both detrimental and irresistible. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 3–22, 2016 相似文献
425.
In various scenarios, consumers may become satiated with products, and the degree of satiation is directly associated with their prior experiences. Confronted with consumer satiation, the seller is unable to either identify consumers who have a higher likelihood of being satiated ex ante or distinguish satiated from non‐satiated consumers ex post. Therefore, the seller should address dynamic selling, valuation uncertainty, and quantity decisions, all of which are important operational issues. We consider a two‐period problem in which consumer types are influenced by their prior consumption experiences. Faced with these consumers, the seller intends to optimize quantities and adjust the prices of the products in each period to maximize revenue. We find that the seller may reduce ex ante production quantity as some consumers become satiated. Moreover, the ex ante quantity is first decreasing and then increasing with regard to the satiation rate. Furthermore, two‐period information asymmetries may provide a rationale for upward distortion in quantity when consumer preferences are highly sensitive to first‐period consumption. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 386–400, 2016 相似文献
426.
In this research, we consider robust simulation optimization with stochastic constraints. In particular, we focus on the ranking and selection problem in which the computing time is sufficient to evaluate all the designs (solutions) under consideration. Given a fixed simulation budget, we aim at maximizing the probability of correct selection (PCS) for the best feasible design, where the objective and constraint measures are assessed by their worst‐case performances. To simplify the complexity of PCS, we develop an approximated probability measure and derive the asymptotic optimality condition (optimality condition as the simulation budget goes to infinity) of the resulting problem. A sequential selection procedure is then designed within the optimal computing budget allocation framework. The high efficiency of the proposed procedure is tested via a number of numerical examples. In addition, we provide some useful insights into the efficiency of a budget allocation procedure. 相似文献
427.
本文是以模糊数学理论为基础,并考虑了人的心理因素,构造出一种新型的不精确推理。它已在一个实用的专家系统——突发性案件专家支持系统(SCESS)中得到实现。该推理能处理用单个数值、模糊区间和自然语言描述的不精确知识的可信度,并通过用户的态度得出相应的结论。 相似文献
428.
本文从自动测试系统的发展过程,分析了第三代自动测试系统的结构模式,提出了建立在IBM-PC总线基础上的新型实用结构模式,且利用这种模式,组建并实现了鱼雷自动测试系统。 相似文献
429.
本文导出工质与三个热源间的传热系数分别为。α、β和γ,传热规律为q~∝△(T~(-1))时,内可逆三热源热泵的最佳供热系数ψ与供热率Π间的关系:ψ<1时,Π=K_1ψ[T_p(T_H-T_ο)-T_H(T_p-Tο)ψ]/[T_HT_pT_ο(1-△_1ψ)~2];ψ>1时,Π=K_2ψ[T_p(T_H-T_ο)-T_H(T_P-T_ο)ψ]/[T_HT_pT_ο(△_2-ψ)~2];式中,K_1=αγ/(α~(1/2)+γ~(1/2))~2,K_2=βγ/(β~(1/2)+γ~(1/2))~2,△_1=(α/β)~(1/2)(β~(1/2)-r~(1/2)/(α~(1/2)+γ~(1/2)),△_2=(β/α)~(1/2)(α~(1/2)-γ~(1/2))/(β~(1/2)+γ~(1/2))。由此可得许多有用的关系。 相似文献
430.
This study investigates a regulator's dynamic policy to motivate firms' research on and adoption of green technology. In the proposed model, a firm makes unobservable efforts and can hide the technology's arrival from the regulator to avoid adoption costs. We find that the optimal policy follows a simple structure and induces part-time efforts, rather than the maximal effort reported in previous studies. In particular, the regulator should offer no subsidy before the arrival of a technology report, provide a one-time subsidy contingent upon that report, and always set a termination deadline. At the deadline, the firm is forced to select an external option that is associated with social costs. The optimal report-based subsidy decreases with time. Under the optimal policy, the firm works until an effort deadline, makes no effort thereafter, and reports the technology as soon as it arrives. This study also characterizes the necessary and sufficient conditions under which the optimal policy reduces to one that leads, in terms of throughout time, to effort that is maximal or minimal. Our results indicate that policymakers should implement a policy that compensates firms more in the present and less in the future. 相似文献