An empirical bayes estimator for the scale parameter of the two-parameter weibull distribution

An empirical Bayes estimator is given for the scale parameter in the two-parameter Weibull distribution. The scale parameter is assumed to vary randomly throughout a sequence of experiments according to a common, but unknown, prior distribution. The shape parameter is assumed to be known, however, it may be different in each experiment. The estimator is obtained by means of a continuous approximation to the unknown prior density function. Results from Monte Carlo simulation are reported which show that the estimator has smaller mean-squared errors than the usual maximum-likelihood estimator.     

Optimal allocation of unreliable components for maximizing expected profit over time

In the present paper, we solve the following problem: Determine the optimum redundancy level to maximize the expected profit of a system bringing constant returns over a time period T; i. e., maximize the expression \documentclass{article}\pagestyle{empty}\begin{document}$ P\int_0^T {Rdt - C} $\end{document}, where P is the return of the system per unit of time, R the reliability of this system, C its cost, and T the period for which the system is supposed to work We present theoretical results so as to permit the application of a branch and bound algorithm to solve the problem. We also define the notion of consistency, thereby determining the distinction of two cases and the simplification of the algorithm for one of them.     

A theory of ideal linear weights for heterogeneous combat forces

Detailed combat simulations can produce effectiveness tables which measure the effectiveness of each weapon class on one side of an engagement, battle, or campaign to each weapon class on the other. Effectiveness tables may also be constructed in other ways This paper assumes that effectiveness tables are given and shows how to construct from them a system of weapon weights each of which is a weighted average of the effects of a given weapon against each of the enemy's weapons. These weights utilize the Perron- Frobenius theory of eigenvectors of nonnegative matrices. Methods of calculation are discussed and some interpretations are given for both the irreducible and reducible cases.     

The effect of correlated exponential service times on single server tandem queues

An investigation via simulation of system performance of two stage queues in series (single server, first-come, first-served) under the assumption of correlated exponential service times indicates that the system's behavior is quite sensitive to departures from the traditional assumption of mutually independent service times, especially at higher utilizations. That service times at the various stages of a tandem queueing system for a given customer should be correlated is intuitively appealing and apparently not at all atypical. Since tandem queues occur frequently, e.g. production lines and the logistics therewith associated, it is incumbent on both the practitioner and the theoretician that they be aware of the marked effects that may be induced by correlated service times. For the case of infinite interstage storage, system performance is improved by positive correlation and impaired by negative correlation. This change in system performance is reversed however for zero interstage storage and depends on the value of the utilization rate for the case where interstage storage equals unity. The effect due to correlation is shown to be statistically significant using spectral analytic techniques. For correlation equal unity and infinite interstage storage, results are provided for two through twenty-five stages in series to suggest how adding stages affects system performance for ρ>0. In this extreme case of correlation, adding stages has an effect on system performance which depends markedly on the utilization rate. Recursive formulae for the waiting time per customer for the cases of zero, one, and infinite interstage storage are derived.     

On the relationship between the force ratio and the instantaneous casualty-exchange ratio for some lanchester-type models of warfare

A “local” condition of winning (in the sense that the force ratio is changing to the advantage of one of the combatants) is shown to apply to all deterministic Lanchester-type models with two force-level variables. This condition involves the comparison of only the force ratio and the instantaneous force-change ratio. For no replacements and withdrawals, a combatant is winning “instantaneously” when the force ratio exceeds the differential casualty-exchange ratio. General outcome-prediction relations are developed from this “local” condition and applied to a nonlinear model for Helmbold-type combat between two homogeneous forces with superimposed effects of supporting fires not subject to attrition. Conditions under which the effects of the supporting fires “cancel out” are given.     

On the assignment and sequencing of operations on a crew-served project

This paper is concerned with assigning and sequencing a set of activities for some or all members of a crew of operators so that the completion time of all such operations is minimized. It is assumed that each of the operators in the crew possesses, initially, certain tasks that only he can perform. A branch-and-bound scheme is proposed to treat the problem, and suitable computational experience is provided.     

A generalized euclidean procedure for integer linear programs

This paper investigates a new procedure for solving the general-variable pure integer linear programming problem. A simple transformation converts the problem to one of constructing nonnegative integer solutions to a system of linear diophantine equations. Rubin's sequential algorithm, an extension of the classic Euclidean algorithm, is used to find an integer solution to this system of equations. Two new theorems are proved on the properties of integer solutions to linear systems. This permits a modified Fourier-Motzkin elimination method to be used to construct a nonnegative integer solution. An experimental computer code was developed for the algorithm to solve some test problems selected from the literature. The computational results, though limited, are encouraging when compared with the Gomory all-integer algorithm.