Multiple-attribute decision making with partial information: The expected-value criterion

We consider the multiple-attribute decision problem with finite action set and additive utility function. We suppose that the decision maker cannot specify nonnegative weights for the various attributes which would resolve the problem, but that he/she supplies ordinal information about these weights which can be translated into a set of linear constraints restricting their values. A bounded polytope W of feasible weight vectors is thus determined. Supposing that each element of W has the same chance of being the “appropriate one,” we compute the expected utility value of each action. The computation method uses a combination of numerical integration and Monte Carlo simulation and is equivalent to finding the center of mass of the bounded polytope W . Comparisons are made with another criterion already presented, the comparative hyper-volume criterion, and two small examples are presented.     

Optimal state-dependent pricing policies for a class of stochastic multiunit service systems

This paper models a k-unit service system (e.g., a repair, maintenance, or rental facility) with Poisson arrivals, exponential service times, and no queue. If we denote the number of units that are busy as the state of the system, the state-dependent pricing model formalizes the intuitive notion that when most units are idle, the price (i.e., the service charge per unit time) should be low, and when most units are busy, the price should be higher than the average. A computationally efficient algorithm based on a nonlinear programming formulation of the problem is provided for determination of the optimal state-dependent prices. The procedure ultimately reduces to the search on a single variable in an interval to determine the unique intersection point of a concave increasing function and a linear decreasing function. The algorithm takes, on the average, only about 1/2 second per problem on the IBM 360/65 (FORTRAN G Compiler). A discrete optimal-control approach to the problem is shown to result in essentially the same procedure as the nonlinear-programming formulation. Several properties of the optimal state-dependent prices are given. Comparisons of the optimal values of the objective function for the state-dependent and state-independent pricing policies show that the former is on the average, only about 0.7% better than the latter, which may explain partly why state-dependent pricing is not prevalent in many service systems. Potential generalizations of the model are discussed.     

A theory of ideal linear weights for heterogeneous combat forces

Detailed combat simulations can produce effectiveness tables which measure the effectiveness of each weapon class on one side of an engagement, battle, or campaign to each weapon class on the other. Effectiveness tables may also be constructed in other ways This paper assumes that effectiveness tables are given and shows how to construct from them a system of weapon weights each of which is a weighted average of the effects of a given weapon against each of the enemy's weapons. These weights utilize the Perron- Frobenius theory of eigenvectors of nonnegative matrices. Methods of calculation are discussed and some interpretations are given for both the irreducible and reducible cases.     

The effect of correlated exponential service times on single server tandem queues

An investigation via simulation of system performance of two stage queues in series (single server, first-come, first-served) under the assumption of correlated exponential service times indicates that the system's behavior is quite sensitive to departures from the traditional assumption of mutually independent service times, especially at higher utilizations. That service times at the various stages of a tandem queueing system for a given customer should be correlated is intuitively appealing and apparently not at all atypical. Since tandem queues occur frequently, e.g. production lines and the logistics therewith associated, it is incumbent on both the practitioner and the theoretician that they be aware of the marked effects that may be induced by correlated service times. For the case of infinite interstage storage, system performance is improved by positive correlation and impaired by negative correlation. This change in system performance is reversed however for zero interstage storage and depends on the value of the utilization rate for the case where interstage storage equals unity. The effect due to correlation is shown to be statistically significant using spectral analytic techniques. For correlation equal unity and infinite interstage storage, results are provided for two through twenty-five stages in series to suggest how adding stages affects system performance for ρ>0. In this extreme case of correlation, adding stages has an effect on system performance which depends markedly on the utilization rate. Recursive formulae for the waiting time per customer for the cases of zero, one, and infinite interstage storage are derived.     

An analytical minefield evaluation model without space averages

The paper describes an approach to the evaluation of the effectiveness of a minefield in terms of the number of mines that are detonated by a convoy of sweepers and ships and the corresponding number of vessels that are immobilized. The positions of the mines and the tracks of the vessels are assumed to be known, which means that the evaluation measures are dependent on a large number of disjoint events, each event being the immobilization of particular vessels by particular mines. This may render combinatorial methods computationally infeasible, but by introducing approximations in the assumptions, the difficulty can be overcome, specifically by modelling the arrival of each individual vessel in the neighborhood of a mine by an inhomogeneous Poisson stream for which the arrival rate is nonzero only over a short time interval. The plausibility of the approach is supported by results of a critical-event simulation model.     

Optimal flowshop schedules with no intermediate storage space

In this paper the problem of finding an optimal schedule for the n-job, M-machine flowshop scheduling problem is considered when there is no intermediate space to hold partially completed jobs and the objective function is to minimize the weighted sum of idle times on all machines. By assuming that jobs are processed as early as possible, the problem is modeled as a traveling salesman problem and solved by known solution techniques for the traveling salesman problem. A sample problem is solved and a special case, one involving only two machines, is discussed.     

On the assignment and sequencing of operations on a crew-served project

This paper is concerned with assigning and sequencing a set of activities for some or all members of a crew of operators so that the completion time of all such operations is minimized. It is assumed that each of the operators in the crew possesses, initially, certain tasks that only he can perform. A branch-and-bound scheme is proposed to treat the problem, and suitable computational experience is provided.     

A generalized euclidean procedure for integer linear programs

This paper investigates a new procedure for solving the general-variable pure integer linear programming problem. A simple transformation converts the problem to one of constructing nonnegative integer solutions to a system of linear diophantine equations. Rubin's sequential algorithm, an extension of the classic Euclidean algorithm, is used to find an integer solution to this system of equations. Two new theorems are proved on the properties of integer solutions to linear systems. This permits a modified Fourier-Motzkin elimination method to be used to construct a nonnegative integer solution. An experimental computer code was developed for the algorithm to solve some test problems selected from the literature. The computational results, though limited, are encouraging when compared with the Gomory all-integer algorithm.