多管火箭炮重复毁伤概率模型及仿真

针对火箭炮武器系统对集群目标射击中重复毁伤概率无法求解的问题,基于火炮射击理论和毁伤理论,建立了火箭炮对集群目标射击时重复毁伤概率模型,基于像素法和矩阵法对作战想定中的重复毁伤问题进行了仿真,并与模型所得理论计算结果进行了对比分析。仿真结果表明:重复毁伤模型具有较高的精度,适用于火箭炮武器系统对集群目标射击中有效毁伤效率的校正和重复毁伤概率的求解。     

基于粗糙集理论的飞行轨迹识别

针对飞行轨迹人工识别对专家经验依赖性强,识别准确率不稳定的问题,提出一种基于粗糙集理论的飞行轨迹识别方法。首先,对飞行轨迹进行特征提取,获取用于轨迹类别判定的条件属性和决策属性;其次,利用模糊自组织神经网络对飞行轨迹决策表离散化,采用启发式遗传约简算法对条件属性约简,消除了冗余属性对识别结果的影响;最后,利用实际飞参数据进行轨迹识别,结果证明该方法准确有效。     

独立分量分析在液体火箭发动机故障检测中的应用

针对液体火箭发动机试车中,因噪声干扰、不同源信号之间的混叠而造成的信号信噪比低、信号分析和特征提取难度大的问题,提出采用独立分量分析(ICA)法对液体火箭发动机试车信号进行分离,以提高信号的信噪比,并能实时反映各子系统工作过程,为数据分析、特征提取和故障检测与诊断提供可靠的信号。通过对某型液体火箭发动机热试车压强信号进行实例分析,验证了该方法的有效性。     

论王夫之历史观中的朴素辩证法思想

王夫之是地主阶级的进步思想家,他在评史论政中,阐述了自己的哲学思想,其历史观中闪耀着朴素的辩证思想的光芒,他看到了世界是永远运动的,历史是一个变化的、有规律的过程,他运用朴素辩证法来考察社会现象和历史问题,在历史观上表现为系统的历史变易思想和进化观点,他对前人朴素辩证法思想作了继承和发展,将其推向时代新的高度。     

Newsvendor problems with sequentially revealed demand information

This article analyzes a capacity/inventory planning problem with a one‐time uncertain demand. There is a long procurement leadtime, but as some partial demand information is revealed, the firm is allowed to cancel some of the original capacity reservation at a certain fee or sell off some inventory at a lower price. The problem can be viewed as a generalization of the classic newsvendor problem and can be found in many applications. One key observation of the analysis is that the dynamic programming formulation of the problem is closely related to a recursion that arises in the study of a far more complex system, a series inventory system with stochastic demand over an infinite horizon. Using this equivalence, we characterize the optimal policy and assess the value of the additional demand information. We also extend the analysis to a richer model of information. Here, demand is driven by an underlying Markov process, representing economic conditions, weather, market competition, and other environmental factors. Interestingly, under this more general model, the connection to the series inventory system is different. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2012     

数字化部队的作战指挥与控制

从数字化部队作战指挥与控制的概念及作战面临的特点出发,通过与传统机械化部队作战指挥与控制进行对比,研究分析数字化部队作战指挥与控制体系的构成及特点,探讨数字化部队作战指挥与控制流程,并分析了数字化部队作战指挥与控制的精确度和速度方面的关键性变化,提出了数字化部队作战指挥与控制方式将由传统的集权式、分层式、协调式向集中式、分层式、互访式转变。     

面向战术通信网络的AODV路由协议的仿真

战术通信网络能实现语音、数据、图像等的传输,是指挥控制、武器系统、侦察、保障装备互连互通的传输平台.路由是网络的基石,研究路由协议是战术通信网络的首要问题.采用AODV路由协议,在网络仿真软件OPNET基础上进行仿真,结果表明满足系统应用需求.     

火箭发动机应储数量的研究

火箭发动机应储数量的确定是其维修保养工作中的一个重要问题。在满足一定精度的前提下,以可靠性评估为中心研究寿命服从逆威布尔分布的火箭发动机的应储数量问题。在具有二项移走的逐步增加I型区间截尾模型下(被随机移走的产品数目服从二项分布),采取不同方案给出决定火箭发动机寿命的关键性参数的可靠性估计,据此确定其应储数量。最后,通过随机模拟方法给出在一定精度指标下火箭发动机的应储数量。     

一类搜索型多对二随机格斗的获胜概率

研究搜索型多对二随机格斗战斗模型。假设格斗开始时A方有m件武器,B方有2件武器,B方处于隐蔽状态,格斗开始后B方可以直接对A方进行射击,A方需先搜索到B方后才能进行射击。双方各为同类武器,都是集火射击,所有开火都是独立的,每件武器开火射击直到毁伤对方才重新射击下一个目标。对搜索时间和毁伤间隔时间都服从一般分布的随机格斗模型,通过分析各状态的特征,利用状态概率分析方法和向后递归时间方法建立状态方程,求出了格斗处在各个状态的概率,并得到双方的获胜概率计算公式。     

Peridynamic modeling and simulation of thermo-mechanical de-icing process with modified ice failure criterion

De-icing technology has become an increasingly important subject in numerous applications in recent years. However, the direct numerical modeling and simulation the physical process of thermo-mechanical deicing is limited. This work is focusing on developing a numerical model and tool to direct simulate the de-icing process in the framework of the coupled thermo-mechanical peridynamics theory. Here, we adopted the fully coupled thermo-mechanical bond-based peridynamics (TM-BB-PD) method for modeling and simulation of de-icing. Within the framework of TM-BB-PD, the ice consti-tutive model is established by considering the influence of the temperature difference between two material points, and a modified failure criteria is proposed, which takes into account temperature effect to predict the damage of quasi-brittle ice material. Moreover, thermal boundary condition is used to simulate the thermal load in the de-icing process. By comparing with the experimental results and the previous reportedfinite element modeling, our numerical model shows good agreement with the pre-vious predictions. Based on the numerical results, we find that the developed method can not only predict crack initiation and propagation in the ice, but also predict the temperature distribution and heat conduction during the de-icing process. Furthermore, the influence of the temperature for the ice crack growth pattern is discussed accordingly. In conclusion, the coupled thermal-mechanical peridynamics formulation with modified failure criterion is capable of providing a modeling tool for engineering ap-plications of de-icing technology.