Design of a process control scheme for defects per 100 units based on aoql

A process control scheme is developed in which decisions as to the frequency of sampling are made based upon the choice of an Average Outgoing Quality Limit. The scheme utilizes plotted points on a U-control chart for defects and the theory of runs to determine when to switch among Reduced, Normal, Tightened, and 100 percent inspection. The scheme is formulated as a semi-Markov process to derive steady stale equations for the probabilities of being in Reduced, Normal, Tightened, or 100 percent inspection and for Average Outgoing Quality and Average Fraction Inspected. The resulting system and the computer programs used to derive it are discussed.     

Damage calculations for unreliable warheads

For large numbers of perfectly reliable, optimally targeted warheads the square-root law approximates the expected fraction damage achieved on an area target. In this paper a more exact expression is derived for this damage fraction which Holds for all numbers of warheads. This expression is shown to converge to the square-root law when a large number of warheads are fired. The more exact expression is used in a procedure to calculate expected damage when warheads are unreliable, and this procedure is shown to be superior to a modified square-root approximation which has been used previously.     

Armor configurations via dynamic programming

The problem of selecting materials, their thicknesses and order for armor designed for the defeat of shaped charge threats, has been formulated as a constrained optimization problem. The mathematical model provides an optimal order and thickness of each layer of material such that the resulting armor configuration will be of minimum mass per unit area subject to constraints on total thickness and shaped charge jet tip exit velocity.     

Confidence bounds and propagation of uncertainties in system availability and reliability computations

This paper develops bounds on the uncertainties in system availabilities or reliabilities which have been computed from structural (series, parallel, etc.) relations among uncertain subsystem availabilities or reliabilities. It is assumed that the highly available (reliable) subsystems have been tested or simulated to determine their unavailabilities (unreliabilities) to within some small percentages of uncertainty. It is shown that series, parallel and r out of n structures which are nominally highly available will have unavailability uncertainties whose percentages errors are of the same order as the subsystem uncertainties. Thus overall system analysis errors, even for large systems, are of the same order of magnitude as the uncertainties in the component probabilities. Both systematic (bias type) uncertainties and independent random uncertainties are considered.     

Optimal replacement of parts having observable correlated stages of deterioration

A single component system is assumed to progress through a finite number of increasingly bad levels of deterioration. The system with level i (0 ≤ i ≤ n) starts in state 0 when new, and is definitely replaced upon reaching the worthless state n. It is assumed that the transition times are directly monitored and the admissible class of strategies allows substitution of a new component only at such transition times. The durations in various deterioration levels are dependent random variables with exponential marginal distributions and a particularly convenient joint distribution. Strategies are chosen to maximize the average rewards per unit time. For some reward functions (with the reward rate depending on the state and the duration in this state) the knowledge of previous state duration provides useful information about the rate of deterioration.     

Optimality conditions for convex semi-infinite programming problems

This paper gives characterization of optimal Solutions for convex semiinfinite programming problems. These characterizations are free of a constraint qualification assumption. Thus they overcome the deficiencies of the semiinfinite versions of the Fritz John and the Kuhn-Tucker theories, which give only necessary or sufficient conditions for optimality, but not both.     

Bayes sequential strategies for crossing a field containing absorption points

A sequential decision problem is considered in which N particles have to cross a given field. Two alternative crossing paths are available. An unknown number of absorption points J₁ and J₂ are planted at each of the crossing paths. The bivariate prior distribution of (J₁,J₂) is given. If a particle passes close to an absorption point it may survive with probability s, 0 < s < 1. If a particle is absorbed, both the particle and the absorption point are ruined. There is no replacement of ruined absorption points. All absorption points act independently. The particles crciss the field in a consecutive order, and a crossing path can be chosen for each particle. The objective is to maximize the expected number of survivors. The Bayes sequential procedure is characterized. The csmditions under which the Bayes strategy is determined by the maximal posterior survival probabilities are specified.