Deterrence and friction: implications for missile defense     

Stephen J. Cimbala 《Defense & Security Analysis》2002,18(3):201-220

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Weighing the US Navy     

David T. Burbach  Marc Devore  Harvey M. Sapolsky  Stephen Van Evera 《Defense & Security Analysis》2001,17(3):259-265

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Can Information Warfare Be Deterred?     

Stephen Blank 《Defense & Security Analysis》2001,17(2):121-138

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Suntichai Shevasuthisilp  Stephen B. Vardeman 《海军后勤学研究》2004,51(6):873-892

Design reliability at the beginning of a product development program is typically low, and development costs can account for a large proportion of total product cost. We consider how to conduct development programs (series of tests and redesigns) for one‐shot systems (which are destroyed at first use or during testing). In rough terms, our aim is to both achieve high final design reliability and spend as little of a fixed budget as possible on development. We employ multiple‐state reliability models. Dynamic programming is used to identify a best test‐and‐redesign strategy and is shown to be presently computationally feasible for at least 5‐state models. Our analysis is flexible enough to allow for the accelerated stress testing needed in the case of ultra‐high reliability requirements, where testing otherwise provides little information on design reliability change. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004  相似文献   

    

Stephen A. Smith  Shmuel S. Oren 《海军后勤学研究》1980,27(4):539-547

This paper considers the problem of modeling the reliability of a repairable system or device that is experiencing reliability improvement. Such a situation arises when system failure modes are gradually being corrected by a test-fix-test-fix procedure, which may include design changes. A dynamic reliability model for this process is discussed and statistical techniques are derived for estimating the model parameters and for testing the goodness-of-fit to observed data. The reliability model analyzed was first proposed as a graphical technique known as Duane plots, but can also be viewed as a nonhomogeneous Poisson process with a particular mean value function.  相似文献   

    

Stephen A. Book 《海军后勤学研究》1971,18(4):521-523

Asymptotic representations are found for the large deviation probabilities that the nα-th order statistic exceeds δ, where δ>α. The probabilities are first expressed in terms of the empirical distribution function, and then the 1960 theorem of Bahadur and Ranga Rao is applied. The result is then shown to be more precise than a logarithmic statement in a 1969 paper of Sievers dealing with the asymptotic relative efficiency of the sample median test.  相似文献   

Afghanistan and beyond: Reflections on the future of warfare     

Stephen Blank 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(3):217-240

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Technology,civil‐military relations,and warfare in the developing world     

Stephen Biddle  Robert Zirkle 《战略研究杂志》2013,36(2):171-212

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US Strategic Nuclear Arms Control: Campaign Echoes and Obama's Options     

Stephen J. Cimbala 《Defense & Security Analysis》2009,25(2):175-192

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Elda Pema  Stephen Mehay 《Defence and Peace Economics》2013,24(3):229-247

The Junior Reserve Officers’ Training Corps is a high school program that combines classroom teaching with extracurricular activities. The program is located primarily in inner city schools and serves at‐risk students. Its goals are multidimensional and include military preparation and improving academic achievement. Using High School and Beyond data we find that the program’s effects depend on the timing and intensity of involvement. Test scores, graduation rates, and enlistments are higher for students who participate early in high school and for those who persist in the program. Conversely, we find few effects for students participating in the last two years of high school.  相似文献