An economic two-stage screening procedure with a prescribed outgoing quality in logistic and normal models

An economic two-stage screening procedure based on a dichotomous performance variable T and a continuous screening variable X is proposed. X is measured first to decide whether an item should be accepted, rejected, or additional observations should be taken. If no terminal decision is reached, T is then observed to classify the undecided items. Two models are considered; (i) the logistic model, where P(T = 1|X = x) is assumed to be a logistic function of x, and (ii) the normal model, where X given T is assumed to be normally distributed. A simple economic model based on inspection and misclassification costs is constructed. Optimal cutoff values on the screening variable are obtained by minimizing the expected cost subject to the constraint that the average outgoing quality attains a pre-specified level. Solutions are provided for both known-parameter and unknown-parameter cases. © 1995 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

基于Linux虚拟服务器的负载均衡技术探讨

Internet业务量的激增和网络应用特殊化都使得负载均衡成为迫切需求。如何实现网络服务器负载均衡是一个急待解决的新课题。而LVS是一个具有良好的扩展性、高可靠性、高性能、高可用性的基于Linux系统的服务器集群,利用它可以较好解决这一问题。针对Linux虚拟服务器集群的负载均衡技术,探讨了其体系结构、工作方式、负载均衡算法,并以一简单的应用实例介绍了其具体实现。这样可以在很大程度上减轻网络的负载,提高网络的效率,是未来网络服务器技术的主要发展方向之一。     

军队数字化油库研究

阐述了数字化油库的基本概念、结构体系、建设内容、建设阶段及数字化油库建设在后勤信息化建设中的地位和作用,重点论述三层结构体系的内容和相互关系,详细阐述了数字化油库建设的5个方面。提出的思想对军队油库信息化建设有一定的指导意义。     

产品网络化协同开发系统信息处理模型研究

产品网络协同开发系统信息处理模型是现代制造企业从事产品开发、提高企业核心竞争力的关键。在分析产品网络化协同开发系统现状的基础上,阐明了产品网络化协同开发系统的基本内涵及实现方法。提出了基于输入、输出、知识、关系、方法和时间约束六个方面组成的产品网络化协同开发系统的信息处理统一模型;建立了一个面向产品开发全过程协同的信息流模型,构建了产品网络化协同开发平台信息流模型的软件结构,为制造企业建立产品网络协同开发平台,实现产品开发过程的信息化、科学化和规范化进行了有益的工作。     

GM(1，1)模型与指数回归模型的比较与研究

GM(1,1)模型与指数回归模型都是对具有指数或近似指数规律的系列数据建立的数学模型。通过对两种模型进行比较与研究,发现一方面,利用数据列的灰指数特性建立指数回归模型,可以简单地实现数据列的预测过程;另一方面,利用指数回归模型可以对灰色理论的GM(1,1)模型进行控制和优化。     

有初始缺陷圆柱壳轴向压力下的静态塑性屈曲

基于初始缺陷的定义式,推导出有初始缺陷的圆柱壳的几何方程．并假定了一种屈曲时的挠度函数,通过该函数求解塑性屈曲方程,可得到有初始缺陷的圆柱壳塑性屈曲的临界载荷．最后将所得结果与已有的实验结果作了比较．     

设备重要维修项目视情工作的间隔时间确定

首先提出了视情工作间隔时间的确定方法,然后根据故障率的不同情况,分析了间隔时间的相应变化,最后进行了实际应用方面的讨论．     

备件保障效能动态评估方法

针对目前效能评估方法多重视效能指标的静态观测值,对时序状态数据所蕴含的趋势信息关注较少的缺点,提出基于灰色聚类-粗糙集和集对分析的备件保障效能动态评估方法。针对主客观赋权方法各自的优缺点,引入依赖度和重要度的概念,建立灰色聚类-粗糙集组合赋权模型;将指标权重引入集对理论,提出集对同势、均势和反势的定义,描述备件保障效能的变化规律,构建基于马尔可夫链的集对分析动态模型。实例分析结果表明,该方法可以有效反映备件保障效能的动态变化特征,为决策者制定备件保障长期计划提供科学依据。     

Fulfillment by Amazon versus fulfillment by seller: An interpretable risk-adjusted fulfillment model

With dual-channel choices, E-retailers fulfill their demands by either the inventory stored in third-party distribution centers, or by in-house inventory. In this article, using data from a wedding gown E-retailer in China, we analyze the differences between two fulfillment choices—fulfillment by Amazon (FBA) and fulfillment by seller (FBS). In particular, we want to understand the impact of FBA that will bring to sales and profit, compared to FBS, and how the impact is related to product features such as sizes and colors. We develop a risk-adjusted fulfillment model to address this problem, where the E-retailer's risk attitude to FBA is incorporated. We denote the profit gaps between FBA and FBS as the rewards for this E-retailer fulfilling products using FBA, our goal is to maximize the E-retailer's total rewards using predictive analytics. We adopt the generalized linear model to predict the expected rewards, while controlling for the variability of the reward distribution. We apply our model on a set of real data, and develop an explicit decision rule that can be easily implemented in practice. The numerical experiments show that our interpretable decision rule can improve the E-retailer's total rewards by more than 35%.