GM(1，1)模型与指数回归模型的比较与研究

GM(1,1)模型与指数回归模型都是对具有指数或近似指数规律的系列数据建立的数学模型。通过对两种模型进行比较与研究,发现一方面,利用数据列的灰指数特性建立指数回归模型,可以简单地实现数据列的预测过程;另一方面,利用指数回归模型可以对灰色理论的GM(1,1)模型进行控制和优化。     

设备重要维修项目视情工作的间隔时间确定

首先提出了视情工作间隔时间的确定方法,然后根据故障率的不同情况,分析了间隔时间的相应变化,最后进行了实际应用方面的讨论．     

Fulfillment by Amazon versus fulfillment by seller: An interpretable risk-adjusted fulfillment model

With dual-channel choices, E-retailers fulfill their demands by either the inventory stored in third-party distribution centers, or by in-house inventory. In this article, using data from a wedding gown E-retailer in China, we analyze the differences between two fulfillment choices—fulfillment by Amazon (FBA) and fulfillment by seller (FBS). In particular, we want to understand the impact of FBA that will bring to sales and profit, compared to FBS, and how the impact is related to product features such as sizes and colors. We develop a risk-adjusted fulfillment model to address this problem, where the E-retailer's risk attitude to FBA is incorporated. We denote the profit gaps between FBA and FBS as the rewards for this E-retailer fulfilling products using FBA, our goal is to maximize the E-retailer's total rewards using predictive analytics. We adopt the generalized linear model to predict the expected rewards, while controlling for the variability of the reward distribution. We apply our model on a set of real data, and develop an explicit decision rule that can be easily implemented in practice. The numerical experiments show that our interpretable decision rule can improve the E-retailer's total rewards by more than 35%.     

星地非理想通道下的导航信号测距偏差分析

针对广义信道下伪码测距偏差与各部分通道测距偏差叠加值的等效性问题,研究星地叠加通道和部分通道特性对伪码测距偏差的影响,并对实际通道中伪距"分层"现象的成因展开分析。通道非理想特性会对导航信号伪码跟踪性能产生影响,综合考虑星地两端通道的非理想特性,通过对导航信号伪码跟踪函数和不同类型通道建模,研究了星地叠加通道和部分通道特性对伪码测距偏差的影响。结合几类典型星地非理想通道,利用软件接收机展开仿真验证。通过分析几类典型通道对伪码测距偏差的影响,解释了零基线双差观测量中伪距"分层"现象的成因。文中模型与相关分析方法可用于解释相关信号质量问题,并指导接收机通道的最优化设计。     

Economic screening procedures in logistic and normal models

Economic screening procedures based on a continuous screening variable X in place of a dichotomous performance variable T are presented. Optimal critical values on the screening variable minimizing the expected cost are obtained for two models; it is assumed that X given T is normally distributed in normal model and P[T = 1|X] is a logistic function of X in the logistic model, and that costs are incurred by screening inspection and misclassification errors. Cases where some parameters are unknown are also considered.     

冲激雷达系统及探测实验研究

自行研制冲激雷达实验系统,其关键技术包括多路相干合成脉冲源、正交解调采样接收机、信息处理机和收发天线阵列等。并用该系统在外场开展了隐身目标探测实验。实验结果表明,冲激雷达有较强的反外形隐身和材料隐身的能力。     

红军长征中左右两路军的若干问题研究

本文论述了红军长征中左右两路军北上过程中的指挥系统、指挥班子、通讯系统、通讯队伍及其左右两路军的关系等重要问题。     

高重频频率步进雷达强杂波抑制

针对高重频频率步进雷达,提出了抑制强杂波的有效处理流程.在接收机前端控制中频带通滤波器的通带范围以减少进入后续处理的折叠杂波,在信号处理机中针对目标运动速度的不同提出了两种方法:通过波形参数设计及高分辨处理消除杂波对高速目标的影响;利用两幅高分辨距离像(HRRP)进行杂波相消以抑制杂波对低速目标的干扰.该处理不需要改变基本的频率步进波形,具有简单易行的优点.仿真和试验结果验证了所提方法的有效性.     

信息化条件下基层执勤部队人才培养的途径

随着武警部队三级综合通信网络的不断完善和功能拓展,基层执勤部队信息化人才的选拔培养和使用管理效益,已成为影响和制约信息化平台功能有效发挥的重要因素。