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A company wishes to estimate or predict its financial exposure in a reporting period of length T (typically one quarter) because of warranty claims. We propose a fairly general random measure model which allows computation of the Laplace transform of the total claim made against the company in the reporting interval due to warranty claims. When specialized to a Poisson process of both sales and warranty claims, statistical estimation of relevant quantities is possible. The methodology is illustrated by analyzing automobile sales and warranty claims data from a large car manufacturer for a single car model and model year. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008 相似文献
276.
This article presents new tools and methods for finding optimum step‐stress accelerated life test plans. First, we present an approach to calculate the large‐sample approximate variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of a quantile of the failure time distribution at use conditions from a step‐stress accelerated life test. The approach allows for multistep stress changes and censoring for general log‐location‐scale distributions based on a cumulative exposure model. As an application of this approach, the optimum variance is studied as a function of shape parameter for both Weibull and lognormal distributions. Graphical comparisons among test plans using step‐up, step‐down, and constant‐stress patterns are also presented. The results show that depending on the values of the model parameters and quantile of interest, each of the three test plans can be preferable in terms of optimum variance. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008 相似文献
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In this paper, we derive new families of facet‐defining inequalities for the finite group problem and extreme inequalities for the infinite group problem using approximate lifting. The new valid inequalities for the finite group problem include two‐ and three‐slope facet‐defining inequalities as well as the first family of four‐slope facet‐defining inequalities. The new valid inequalities for the infinite group problem include families of two‐ and three‐slope extreme inequalities. These new inequalities not only illustrate the diversity of strong inequalities for the finite and infinite group problems, but also provide a large variety of new cutting planes for solving integer and mixed‐integer programming problems. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008 相似文献
279.
A. W. Kemp 《海军后勤学研究》1987,34(6):853-858
The article examines ways of computing cumulative probabilities for a constrained Poissonian binomial distribution arising from a model of a weapon defense system. 相似文献
280.
Marvin D. Troutt 《海军后勤学研究》1987,34(4):593-603
Multivariable elimination algorithms, which may be regarded as generalizations of various one-dimensional search procedures, have not found wide application. A probable reason may be the generally very irregularly shaped regions of uncertainty that evolve iteratively in the procedures. Hence hope for practical salvage of this class of algorithms seems to lie in controlling the shape of the successively smaller regions of uncertainty. In this article an extension of Bolzano search to rectangles which preserves rectangular iterates is given. Since the result is essentially geometrical in nature, a geometric proof of this procedure is given. Hopefully the proof procedure will be of independent interest. A numerical illustration of the procedure is given for a game problem, such problems lending themselves to this method. 相似文献