一种基于预测滤波器的自适应卡尔曼滤波算法

针对系统过程噪声统计特性不确切或未知的条件下,研究了一种基于预测滤波器的自适应卡尔曼滤波算法。由预测滤波器实时估计系统模型误差及其协方差矩阵,再用其修正系统状态预测值及预测误差协方差矩阵,从而自适应调节卡尔曼增益。将该算法应用于弹载SINS/GPS紧耦合组合导航系统并与普通卡尔曼滤波、基于新息的移动开窗自适应卡尔曼滤波进行了对比,仿真结果说明该自适应滤波算法具有更高的可靠性和精度。     

Energy‐efficient scheduling for sustainable manufacturing systems with renewable energy resources

Environmentally friendly energy resources open a new opportunity to tackle the problem of energy security and climate change arising from wide use of fossil fuels. This paper focuses on optimizing the allocation of the energy generated by the renewable energy system to minimize the total electricity cost for sustainable manufacturing systems under time‐of‐use tariff by clipping the peak demand. A rolling horizon approach is adopted to handle the uncertainty caused by the weather change. A nonlinear mathematical programming model is established for each decision epoch based on the predicted energy generation and the probability distribution of power demand in the manufacturing plant. The objective function of the model is shown to be convex, Lipchitz‐continuous, and subdifferentiable. A generalized benders decomposition method based on the primal‐dual subgradient descent algorithm is proposed to solve the model. A series of numerical experiments is conducted to show the effectiveness of the solution approach and the significant benefits of using the renewable energy resources.     

Supply chain coordination with product line design and a revenue sharing scheme

Many manufacturers sell their products through retailers and share the revenue with those retailers. Given this phenomenon, we build a stylized model to investigate the role of revenue sharing schemes in supply chain coordination and product variety decisions. In our model, a monopolistic manufacturer serves two segments of consumers, which are distinguished by their willingness to pay for quality. In the scenario with exogenous revenue sharing ratios, when the potential gain from serving the low segment is substantial (e.g., the low‐segment consumers' willingness to pay is high enough or the low segment takes a large enough proportion of the market), the retailer is better off abandoning the revenue sharing scheme. Moreover, when the potential gain from serving the low (high) segment is substantial enough, the manufacturer finds it profitable to offer a single product. Furthermore, when revenue sharing ratios are endogenous, we divide our analysis into two cases, depending on the methods of cooperation. When revenue sharing ratios are negotiated at the very beginning, the decentralized supply chain causes further distortion. This suggests that the central premise of revenue sharing—the coordination of supply chains—may be undermined if supply chain parties meticulously bargain over it.     

Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model

Instead of measuring a Wiener degradation or performance process at predetermined time points to track degradation or performance of a product for estimating its lifetime, we propose to obtain the first‐passage times of the process over certain nonfailure thresholds. Based on only these intermediate data, we obtain the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator and uniformly most accurate confidence interval for the mean lifetime. For estimating the lifetime distribution function, we propose a modified maximum likelihood estimator and a new estimator and prove that, by increasing the sample size of the intermediate data, these estimators and the above‐mentioned estimator of the mean lifetime can achieve the same levels of accuracy as the estimators assuming one has failure times. Thus, our method of using only intermediate data is useful for highly reliable products when their failure times are difficult to obtain. Furthermore, we show that the proposed new estimator of the lifetime distribution function is more accurate than the standard and modified maximum likelihood estimators. We also obtain approximate confidence intervals for the lifetime distribution function and its percentiles. Finally, we use light‐emitting diodes as an example to illustrate our method and demonstrate how to validate the Wiener assumption during the testing. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

坦克分队战术仿真训练系统的设计与实现

分布交互式作战仿真系统通过网络把不同的模拟单元连接在一起,为受训人员提供虚拟的作战训练环境,系统的运行成本低,能提供比实战演习更多的训练环境和内容.为了满足我军坦克兵部队战术训练的实际需要,设计开发了坦克分队战术仿真训练系统.讨论了该系统的设计与开发,首先介绍系统的总体结构和功能,然后详细讨论系统具体设计和实现.该系统已推广部队使用,应用效果良好.     

Optimal control of a production process subject to AOQL constraint

A production process which exhibits a decreasing pattern in the mean quality during the course of production is considered. A lower limit is specified for the quality characteristic of interest, and an item is classified as defective if its quality characteristic is below this lower limit. The major concern of the manufacturer is the average outgoing quality (AOQ). Hence, the process has to be adjusted after a time to avoid producing a large proportion of defective items due to deteriorating quality. To meet consumer specifications, an average outgoing quality limit (AOQL) is specified. A process-control scheme is developed in which decisions as to the upper and lower limit of the process mean are made based upon the choice of an AOQL. We discuss the decision problem of selecting the starting level of the process mean, and the level at which the process mean should be adjusted back to the starting level, so that the AOQ is not larger than AOQL. We consider a cost model which includes a fixed cost for adjustment, and a production cost which is assumed to be a function of the quality level. Due to the complexity of the model, a search procedure is used to find the optimal solution. In addition, an approximate solution which requires only simple calculations is developed, and is shown to be very effective in finding near-optimal solutions.     

谈网络理论与现代控制论的交叉结合

当前计算机技术的飞速发展和多学科的交叉结合,给复杂网络的设计和计算等带来了深刻的变化。"现代控制论"与"现代网络理论"一直紧密地联系着,控制论的要领与方法已渗透到网络分析中,可以认为网络理论是受基尔霍夫定律约束的系统理论的子学科。     

舰船建造费随批量变化的成长模型分析

应用微分方程、回归分析及生长曲线３段估算法,建立批量生产条件下舰船单价变化模型,这一模型可与其他模型综合应用以取得更理想的结果．     

开关电源的电磁干扰与抑制

通过分析开关电源产生ＥＭＩ信号的原因,叙述了电磁兼容的重要性,针对开关电源中ＥＭＩ信号的特点,重点介绍了几种抑制ＥＭＩ信号的方法和措施     

微分方程的有界性与概周期解的存在性

本文考虑高维非自治概周期系统ｄｘｄｔ＝ｆ（ｔ,ｘ）,利用对ｘ的分量分组构造Ｌｉａｐｕｎｏｖ函数的方法讨论了其概周期解的存在性。所得结果去掉了文献中系统存在有界解的假设,得到了比较明显的改进。