复合总体异方差整体检验的两类风险估计

不同的作战条件对导弹命中精度有着显著的影响,评估对空导弹在整个作战空域的命中精度,实际是复合总体条件下不同空域异方差数据的整体检验问题。对空导弹攻击不同空域目标的实际试验数据通过适当的坐标转换,在相对坐标系下确定了试验样本在复合总体下的误差分布;建立了异方差数据的整体检验效率函数,得出了不同试验条件与不同鉴别比所对应的拒真风险和纳伪风险,解决了复杂总体条件下极小样本的整体评估难题。     

回转测噪中的舰艇操纵模式设计

针对舰艇回转测噪中的操纵模式设计方法效率低下的问题,提出一种基于拖线阵稳态特性和舰艇旋回特性的操纵模式设计方法。通过调整法向阻力系数,使零浮力缆稳态振荡响应公式适用于阵流夹角较大的情况,并将其拓展应用于拖点回转运动的场景;利用等效代换原则建立拖线阵稳态振荡响应模型;定义回转测噪理想阵位,提出各车钟条件下满足测噪要求的回转半径区间的计算方法,进而依据舰艇旋回特性得到相应舵角区间。仿真结果表明,所提出的方法能够较高效地实现操纵模式设计,可以满足实际工程的应用要求。     

Damage functions and estimates of fratricide and collateral damage

There are multiple damage functions in the literature to estimate the probability that a single weapon detonation destroys a point target. This paper addresses differences in the tails of four of the more popular damage functions. These four cover the asymptotic tail behaviors of all monotonically decreasing damage functions with well‐behaved hazard functions. The differences in estimates of probability of kill are quite dramatic for large aim‐point offsets. This is particularly important when balancing the number of threats that can be engaged with the chances of fratricide and collateral damage. In general, analysts substituting one damage function for another may badly estimate kill probabilities in offset‐aiming, which could result in poor doctrine. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 306–321, 2003.     

基于三层Client/Server结构的档案信息管理系统设计

首先对三层Client/Server结构进行了系统概述,然后结合所开发的档案信息管理系统的实际情况,从系统划分、服务器设计、数据库设计和客户端实现几个方面对该系统的总体设计进行详细说明,接着给出了该系统的技术实现特点,最后进行了相关总结.     

Building Legitimacy: Interactional Dynamics and the Popular Evaluation of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) in Turkey

Abstract

Previous research has identified a variety of general mechanisms to explain how insurgents build legitimacy. Yet, there is often a gap between these mechanisms and the interactional dynamics of insurgencies. This article attempts to bridge this gap through a theoretically informed analysis of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party’s (PKK) insurgency in Turkey. I show how the PKK’s efforts to cultivate legitimacy, Turkey’s counterinsurgency strategies, and civilian perceptions of the PKK, all mutually influenced one another. Based on this analysis, I argue that the mechanisms that produce popular legitimacy coevolve with insurgents’ behaviors, states’ interventions, and civilians’ perceptions.     

并行程序调试中的环境再现技术

为解决调试并行程序碰到的第一个困难:并行程序的不确定性,文中提出了环境再现技术。文中叙述了环境再现技术的思想和实现这一技术需要的数据结构,并用CCNPASCAL语言进行了描述,最后给出了一个典型的应用例子。     

IF YOU WANT IT DONE RIGHT,DO IT YOURSELF

Some have argued that the transatlantic rancor over the Iraq war made cooperation, especially on nonproliferation, unlikely. In contrast, this article, documents post-invasion instances of nonproliferation cooperation, with particular emphasis on the Proliferation Security Initiative and the EU-3 Initiative—the British, French, and German negotiations with Iran over its suspected nuclear activities. In addition to documenting French and British participation in these initiatives, the article analyzes why they have chosen to participate and argues that France and Britain have participated in both efforts because they are committed to avoiding future Iraq-like preventive wars.     

罐底渗漏的罐基油气质量分数探测法识别

油罐是油品储运的重要设备,罐底最易出现穿孔渗漏油现象,致使罐基内部油气质量分数高于正常值。以油库中柴油覆土罐群为例,研究并试验了根据罐基油气质量分数识别罐底渗漏的方法：分析罐基探漏孔位置分布并钻孔;多次探测罐基油气质量分数,根据探测数据识别各罐有无底部渗漏;为了便于以后检测油库时识别各罐有无渗漏,为各罐建立状态监测表,并将无渗漏的罐基油气质量分数最高值暂定为该类罐的安全值,低于该安全值的油罐可直接判定为无渗漏。实践结果证明,这种不开罐检测罐底渗漏油的方法可及时发现故障并采取措施,对储油安全具有重要意义。     

Estimated UK employment dependent on ministry of defence expenditure and defence exports

The Ministry of Defence (MOD) has published estimates of the number of average full‐time UK industry employees dependent on MOD expenditure and defence exports for a number of years. This paper provides the outcome of a recent review of the process used. The method of deriving MOD and defence export final demand vectors, and calculating from these estimates of direct employment (i.e. that in supplying companies) and indirect employment (i.e. that incurred through the supply chain) are described. Difficulties with the data are explored. Alternative approaches, methods used in other countries and challenges posed by changing MOD administrative systems are briefly discussed.