Expansion planning for waste‐to‐energy systems using waste forecast prediction sets

We consider an expansion planning problem for Waste‐to‐Energy (WtE) systems facing uncertainty in future waste supplies. The WtE expansion plans are regarded as strategic, long term decisions, while the waste distribution and treatment are medium to short term operational decisions which can adapt to the actual waste collected. We propose a prediction set uncertainty model which integrates a set of waste generation forecasts and is constructed based on user‐specified levels of forecasting errors. Next, we use the prediction sets for WtE expansion scenario analysis. More specifically, for a given WtE expansion plan, the guaranteed net present value (NPV) is evaluated by computing an extreme value forecast trajectory of future waste generation from the prediction set that minimizes the maximum NPV of the WtE project. This problem is essentially a multiple stage min‐max dynamic optimization problem. By exploiting the structure of the WtE problem, we show this is equivalent to a simpler min‐max optimization problem, which can be further transformed into a single mixed‐integer linear program. Furthermore, we extend the model to optimize the guaranteed NPV by searching over the set of all feasible expansion scenarios, and show that this can be solved by an exact cutting plane approach. We also propose a heuristic based on a constant proportion distribution rule for the WtE expansion optimization model, which reduces the problem into a moderate size mixed‐integer program. Finally, our computational studies demonstrate that our proposed expansion model solutions are very stable and competitive in performance compared to scenario tree approaches. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 47–70, 2016     

Terminal allocation problem in a transshipment hub considering bunker consumption

This article investigates the method of allocating arriving vessels to the terminals in transshipment hubs. The terminal allocation decision faced by a shipping alliance has the influence on the scheduled arrival time of vessels and further affects the bunker consumption cost for the vessels. A model is formulated to minimize the bunker consumption cost as well as the transportation cost of inter‐terminal transshipment flows/movements. The capacity limitation of the port resources such as quay cranes (QCs) and berths is taken into account. Besides the terminal allocation, the QC assignment decision is also incorporated in the proposed model. A local branching based method and a particle swarm optimization based method are developed to solve the model in large‐scale problem instances. Numerical experiments are also conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed model, which can save around 14% of the cost when compared with the “First Come First Served” decision rule. Moreover, the proposed solution methods not only solve the proposed model within a reasonable computation time, but also obtain near‐optimal results with about 0.1～0.7% relative gap. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 529–548, 2016     

浅谈智能化的单兵系统

单兵系统是现代战争中数字化战场上的关键因素,而智能化的单兵系统又是未来发展的趋势。本文首先阐述了人机智能结合的必要条件,并说明单兵系统中的人机交互作用,最后对人机交互智能化在单兵系统中的应用进行了探讨和研究。     

运用非线性思维认识现代战争

文章从非线性角度出发,在战场布势、作战模式、战斗力要素、作战效果四个方面对现代战争特点作一探讨。     

参与某型单兵武器科研几点做法

本文主要阐述了军品科研阶段质量监督工作的特点,分析了某型号单兵武器科研工作中遇到的实际问题,总结出了军代表参与科研工作的经验和做法,对遇到的问题提出了对策。     

基于随机森林法的机械变速箱技术状态评估

将随机森林RF(Random Forests)引入到机械设备技术状态评估领域,对某型坦克不同劣化程度的变速箱振动加速度信号数据进行分类研究,分类精度达到97%以上,证实了此方法的有效性。基于RF的评估方法具有组合分类器精度高、树型分类器运行速度快的特点,在机械设备状态识别、故障诊断中表现出了良好的性能。     

通用装备机液系统综合检测试验平台综合信息管理系统设计与实现

探讨了通用装备机液系统综合检测试验平台综合信息管理系统在网络和功能结构、信息处理流程、数据分类和数据结构、数据传输接口等方面的设计方法,该设计方法在通用装备机液系统综合检测试验平台综合信息管理系统项目中进行了应用,取得了良好效果,为类似的综合管理信息系统的设计探索了一条有效的路径。     

纳米SiO_2在润滑油中的高温摩擦学性能

采用多功能SRV试验机考察了纳米SiO2在菜籽油中的高温摩擦学性能,利用表面轮廓仪观察磨损表面形貌。结果表明,在恒定负荷试验中,纳米SiO2能明显改善菜籽油的高温减摩抗磨性能,在500℃时,摩擦因数仅为0.16,磨损量降低了80%以上。在连续加载的高温试验中,当试验温度为200℃时,纳米SiO2对菜籽油的减摩抗磨性能没有明显的改善;而当试验温度达到500℃时,纳米SiO2能明显地改善菜籽油的减摩抗磨性能,在大负荷(500N)的情况下更为突出。     

化工火灾引发环境污染的分析及预防——由吉林石化分公司爆炸火灾引发的思考

介绍了中石油吉林石化分公司双苯厂“11·13”爆炸事故和松花江水污染事件的基本情况。分析了这起典型污染事件的成因,提出预防火灾爆炸事故造成环境污染的对策。     

动能拦截弹技术发展现状与趋势

介绍了美国动能拦截弹及其相关技术的发展现状及趋势.美国是最先开发研究动能杀伤器和动能拦截弹技术的国家,现已部署地基拦截弹、标准-3导弹、爱国者先进能力3导弹,并已具备初始作战能力;末段高层防御拦截弹也进入生产和部署阶段;正在开发的助推段拦截弹和多杀伤器技术也已取得很大进展.动能拦截弹已成为当前最先进、最有效的反导武器.