天基光学短弧观测约束域的粒子群优化定轨方法

针对空间目标定轨问题,提出一种利用两段天基光学短弧观测数据的粒子群优化定轨新算法。在介绍天基光学短弧观测测量帧集、测量约束域及目标函数构造的基础上,为解决已有的基于网格搜索思想寻优的算法存在的多解、局部最优解及运算量过大等问题,提出了一种利用粒子群优化算法在约束域内对目标函数值寻优达到定轨目的的新算法。对算法的性能进行了仿真验证。多次仿真结果表明:该算法大大降低了计算量,且有效地解决了目标函数多解和局部最优解问题,对目标定轨的精度与定轨算法的克拉美罗下限接近。     

具有时变时间延迟的混沌保密通信同步方法研究

针对固定时间延迟及时变时间延迟系统,提出了同步控制方案,在实现同步后能有效解决传输时延对保密通信的影响.利用线性矩阵不等式方法设计了同步控制器,应用Lyapunov方法分析了同步误差的收敛性,并运用Schur补引理证明了全局渐近稳定点的存在.     

ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MILITARY EXPENDITURE,THREAT, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A NONLINEAR APPROACH

The main objective of the paper is to decipher the military expenditure–economic growth relationship, taking the level of economic development (income) into consideration. Our findings suggest the following: (i) military expenditure has a significantly negative relationship to economic growth for the 23 countries with initial incomes (threshold variable) less than or equal to $475.93; (ii) when the threat level is heightened, economic growth (23 countries) is expected to decrease. However, military expenditure in the presence of sufficiently large threats increases growth; (iii) for the remaining 69 countries whose initial incomes (real GDP per capita in 1992 price) exceed $475.93, no significant relationship exists whether the threat variable is taken into consideration or not.     

A note on the financial condition of defense contractors

In recent years, there have been several changes in the weapon‐system acquisition market which have the potential to negatively impact the financial condition of defense contractors. This study evaluates the financial health of defense firms vis‐a‐vis nondefense firms using a fiscal distress identification model developed by E.I. Altman. We conclude that the financial condition of defense firms has deteriorated but the deterioration is the same as experienced by nondefense firms.     

THE HARD CASES

Many countries received Soviet-origin highly enriched uranium (HEU) for civilian nuclear research purposes. Because of inadequate nuclear security at a number of the research sites, U.S. policy has sought to remove or otherwise safely dispose of their HEU stocks as quickly as possible. Although the pace of HEU disposition has accelerated significantly in recent years, several sites have posed formidable technical, economic, and political challenges. This article identifies the major obstacles to HEU removal at two key installations—Kharkiv in Ukraine, and Sosny in Belarus—and recommends a strategy for overcoming these impediments. Key components for a successful disposition strategy include: treating these cases with the urgency they deserve, expanding potential compensation packages, explicitly addressing the institutional and political issues involved, engaging high-level political leaders, working with third parties, and promoting these efforts as part of a nondiscriminatory initiative to phase out HEU in the civilian nuclear sector globally.     

An Analysis of the Threat of Malicious Chemical Use by Nonstate Actors: Questioning the State-based Approach to Chemical Nonproliferation

ABSTRACT

This study seeks to evaluate the threat of malicious chemical use by non-state actors. It finds that non-state actors have primarily turned to ready-to-use crude chemical weapons (CW) instead of traditional CW agents. Interestingly, the worst crude CW attacks have been more destructive than those employing traditional CW. Scenarios for catastrophic consequences exist, but chemical attacks have typically been used to accomplish tactical goals, which leverage psychological and economic impacts. Therefore, successful efforts to counter CW proliferation by non-state actors must be substantially different from those targeting states.     

Reflections on Transparency and Monitoring under the 1993 United States-Russian Federation Highly Enriched Uranium Purchase Agreement

ABSTRACT

The 1993 Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) Purchase Agreement between the United States and Russian Federation is often described as one of the world's most successful nuclear nonproliferation programs. In 2013, the two states achieved the agreement's major goals of downblending 500 metric tons of Russian weapon-origin HEU to low enriched uranium (LEU) and delivering all resultant LEU to the United States. At one time, the LEU delivered under the agreement generated nearly 10 percent of all electricity in the United States. The agreement achieved its nonproliferation goals through a unique government/industry partnership. Commercial executive agents contracted for the annual sale and delivery of downblended LEU, while the US and Russian governments exercised reciprocal transparency monitoring measures to demonstrate that all LEU delivered under the agreement was derived from Russian weapons-origin HEU, and that the same LEU was used for exclusively peaceful purposes in the United States. The commercial development, negotiations, and implementation of the agreement have been well documented. This article describes the scope of US transparency monitoring activities in Russian HEU processing facilities, as well as Russian monitoring in the United States. In addition, it discusses the results of twenty years of reciprocal transparency monitoring and data analysis, and outlines lessons learned that are potentially applicable to future transparency monitoring and verification regimes and similar cooperative efforts.     

基于OSG的地形多分辨率四叉树模型

针对大地形数据量庞大的特点,建立了地形多分辨率四叉树模型,构建了该模型的存储结构,即采用大数据文件加索引文件的形式进行存储,采用该存储结构可快速读取到需求数据,并阐述了数字高程模型(Digital Ele-vation Model,DEM)数据和纹理数据的存储步骤;设计了数据的并行多线程调度机制,该调度机制采用共享内存策略实现同步,确保了信息处理高效、有序地执行.结果表明:该模型在OSG中能够按需快速加载地形数据,实现高效渲染.     

剧场建筑造型的个性与内涵表达

剧场建筑形象地位突出,文化内涵丰富,是城市发展和建设的标志性建筑之一。在其造型的创作上,鲜明的个性和内涵表达可以充分体现城市的文化风貌和艺术特质。从演出类型、传统文化、地域特色、政治需求四个方面分析了剧场建筑个性与内涵的出发点,探讨了其个性与内涵的表达原则,并结合实例分析,认为几何元素的综合运用、自然形态的提炼转化、建筑文化思潮的多元表达是体现剧场建筑个性与内涵的主要表达方法。     

一种长时长混合通信信号的分离重建方法

对于无线通信系统中的长时长混合通信信号,接收机是将其分成多个时间段依次进行接收分离的。但是分离中固有的不确定性会使得相邻时间段分离出的各路信号在序号、相位和幅度上不完全相同,这将导致相邻时间段分离出的各路信号不能正确相连接,合成各路完整的接收信号。文章针对这种信号在进行分段处理时因分离不确定性引起的问题,提出了一种分离重建方法,并通过MATLAB仿真试验验证了该方法的有效性。理论分析和仿真试验表明:与文献[9]中基于估计混合矩阵列向量相关性方法相比,该方法在一定条件下具有更好的性能。