基于改进Morison公式的海上漂浮软管波浪载荷计算

针对海上漂浮软管波浪载荷计算,分析了软管在海上的形态和受力特点,建立了海上漂浮软管力学分析模型,指出直接运用现有Morison方程计算漂浮软管波浪载荷存在的不足,并根据基本原理提出了改进Morison方程。对海上软质管线处于一定海况,分别运用改进Morison方程与现有Morison方程计算海上波浪载荷,并运用ANSYS软件建立软管模型,结果表明现有Morison方程不适用于计算海上漂浮软管波浪载荷,载荷计算结果偏高约15%,从而验证了改进Morison方程的精确性,有利于准确分析波浪载荷对海上漂浮软管的作用情况。     

基于混合高斯概率密度的加权打分方法

针对当前评比打分方法不能有效反映选手真实情况的问题,提出了一种基于混合高斯概率密度的加权打分方法。该方法的重点在于引入混合高斯分布来确定专家评分的权重。首先利用EM算法确定混合高斯分布模型参数,然后通过区间划分得到每个区间上的概率,再将专家打分映射到混合高斯概率密度函数区间上得到对应的权重,最后经加权求和得到选手的最终成绩。通过实例证明了该方法的合理性和公正性。     

大学自习教室优化设置研究

针对目前大学自习教室资源浪费普遍存在的现象,将学生上自习与否视为独立同分布随机变量,从自习教室的管理与维护成本、电费成本以及学生的满意度3个方面出发,建立了双目标随机规划模型,并在模型基础上提出了大学自习教室设置的一般方法。通过实例分析,对模型的正确性和有效性进行了论证。结果表明:在各种情况下,该模型都能很好地解决自习教室设置这一问题,并且能在学生满意度较高的条件下,节约能源13%以上。该模型可以有效地对自习教室进行优化设置,不仅提高了资源利用水平,而且节约了能源。     

Two novel critical shock models based on Markov renewal processes

In this paper, we investigate systems subject to random shocks that are classified into critical and noncritical categories, and develop two novel critical shock models. Classical extreme shock models and run shock models are special cases of our developed models. The system fails when the total number of critical shocks reaches a predetermined threshold, or when the system stays in an environment that induces critical shocks for a preset threshold time, corresponding to failure mechanisms of the developed two critical shock models respectively. Markov renewal processes are employed to capture the magnitude and interarrival time dependency of environment-induced shocks. Explicit formulas for systems under the two critical shock models are derived, including the reliability function, the mean time to failure and so on. Furthermore, the two critical shock models are extended to the random threshold case and the integrated case where formulas of the reliability indexes of the systems are provided. Finally, a case study of a lithium-ion battery system is conducted to illustrate the proposed models and the obtained results.     

Controllable combustion behaviors of the laser-controlled solid propellant

Microsatellites have been widely applied in the fields of communication,remote sensing,navigation and science exploration due to its characteristics of low cost,flexible launch mode and short development period.However,conventional solid-propellant have difficulties in starting and interrupting combustion because combustion is autonomously sustained after ignition.Herein,we proposed a new type of solid-propellant named laser-controlled solid propellant,which is sensitive to laser irradiation and can be started or interrupted by switching on/off the continuous wave laser.To demonstrate the feasibility and investigate the controllable combustion behaviors under different laser on/off conditions,the combus-tion parameters including burning rate,ignition delay time and platform pressure were tested using pressure sensor,high-speed camera and thermographic camera.The results showed that the increase of laser-on or laser-off duration both will lead to the decrease of propellant combustion performance during re-ignition and re-combustion process.This is mainly attributed to the laser attenuation caused by the accumulation of combustion residue and the change of chamber ambient temperature.Simultaneously,the multiple ignition tests revealed that the increased chamber ambient temperature after combustion can make up for the energy loss of laser attenuation and expansion of chamber cavity.However,the laser-controlled combustion performance of solid propellant displayed a decrease trend with the addi-tion of ignition times.Nevertheless,the results still exhibited good laser-controlled agility of laser-controlled solid propellant and manifested its inspiring potential in many aspects of space missions.     

弹药库防静电方法研究

根据弹药库静电危险场所的分类等级,以形成静电危害的3个基本条件为依据,讨论了弹药库防静电危害常用措施:设施设备静电接地、防静电工作台、人体静电防护、铺设导电(或防静电)地面以及各自防静电要求.这些措施为防止和消除弹药库的静电危害提供了根本保障.     

装配式管线水力瞬变的非线性流固耦合模型

装配式管线是一种重要的油料保障装备,用于地面铺设,属于典型的薄壁弱约束管线系统。根据装配式管线的特点,应用管道弹性变形理论,推导了水力瞬变状态下装配式管线的非线性流固耦合5-方程模型。该模型充分考虑了管道与流体之间的耦合互动效应,耦合形式包含了泊松耦合、摩擦耦合、结合部耦合,以及管线系统的轴向、横向和径向振动耦合,并计及了管道结构阻尼的影响。针对装配式管线的特殊连接约束方式,提出了一种带有扭转弹簧的铰支型约束边界,可通过确定扭转弹簧的弹性系数来建立管线两端的约束边界方程。     

基于重构相空间AD-SVM的短期电力负荷预测

利用重庆市九龙坡区电网2009年7月1日000-10月8日4：00 99 d共2 380个历史电力负荷数据,分析其特点和规律.将构建混沌理论的平均位移（AD）法和支持向量机（SVM）相结合,提出了一种新的短期电力负荷预测模型.通过仿真计算,将结果与神经网络法预测结果进行对比,可得新方法能较好反应数据变化趋势,并且具备较好的拟合能力,能够提高负荷预测精度.在实际短期电力负荷预测中,可优先选用平均位移法与支持向量机相结合的新方法.     

T型分支坑道对油气爆炸传播特性的影响

为研究T型分支坑道对油气爆炸传播特性的影响,通过对比实验,测定了相同初始条件下T型分支坑道和直坑道中油气混合物爆炸的火焰传播速度和爆炸波超压值。利用高速摄影仪,记录了火焰传播至T型分支坑道时的火焰阵面变化情况,并对T型分支坑道中油气混合物爆炸的传播情况进行了理论分析。结果表明：T型分支坑道对油气混合物爆炸的影响可以视为面积突扩和障碍物扰动双重作用的影响;火焰经过支坑道时,火焰阵面发生扭曲并产生皱褶,表面积增大导致火焰传播速度增大;T型分支坑道处,大量反射波和绕射波进入波后反应区,加强了气流湍流强度,并推动已燃气体回传,迅速提高了燃烧反应速度和能量释放率,起到了增大火焰传播速度和爆炸波超压值的作用。     

紧紧围绕国防和军队建设的主题主线大力加强和改进思想政治建设

紧紧围绕国防和军队建设的主题主线大力加强和改进思想政治建设,必须切实把广大官兵思想统一到主题主线重大战略思想上来;积极推动信息主导理念在部队牢固确立;加大新型军事人才培养力度;重视抓好各级干部贯彻主题主线能力提高;进一步加强和改进政治工作方法手段.