重拾晏阳初精神

晏阳初精神是晏阳初平民教育和乡村建设实践中所体现出来的宝贵思想.它包括爱国精神、人本精神、科学精神、实干精神、创新精神等.当代中国,解决“三农问题”工作还未完成,我们仍需沿晏老轨迹,重拾晏老精神,做晏阳初式知识分子,追求生命意义和有价值的学术人生,为和谐中国、和谐世界的构建添砖加瓦.     

震灾应急物资动态需求预测模型研究

为提高应急物资需求预测方法的实用性,同时考虑提前期和需求的不确定性,采用安全库存理论构建震灾应急物资动态需求预测模型,以观测得到的实际到货量、实际消耗量和实时剩余库存量等信息来动态预测当前时刻应急物资的需求量。应用算例表明,所建模型不仅能够准确反映需求量与被保障人员总数的正相关关系,而且还能实时体现被保障人员总数的变化情况。因此,该模型能够为震灾过程中应急物资需求量的确定提供科学决策依据,具有一定的实用价值和应用前景。     

火箭发动机故障检测的快速增量单分类支持向量机算法

为解决液体火箭发动机故障诊断正负样本不平均问题,以及实现发动机稳态工作段自适应故障检测,建立了基于快速增量单分类支持向量机的异常检测模型。采取特征工程方法,对传感器获得的多变量时间序列进行特征提取。通过增量学习方法,对单分类支持向量机模型进行改进,并应用于液体火箭发动机异常检测,使单分类支持向量机检测模型具备对不同台次、不同工况的自适应性,提高了模型的计算速度。对多台次热试车数据的分析结果表明,该模型十分有效,训练速度快,具备实用价值。     

应急器材柔性采购定价建模与求解

由于当前应急器材储备依然存在“多储”或“少储”风险,为提高储备效益,以企业经济效益与军队采购成本为优化目标,提出了应急器材柔性采购策略。通过建立企业储备策略与军队采购定价最优化模型,求解得到了在不同战争爆发概率及器材现货市场价格区间等外部环境因素下的军队最佳柔性定价及对应的企业最优储备策略,并通过实例分析验证了得出的决策结论。结果表明,最优策略的实施将有利于军队与企业共担应急器材数量储备风险。     

改进的精密三点法——在线测量直线度方法的再探讨

在原精密三点法的基础上,对插值方法进行了改进,对随机误差采用了相应的数据处理方法,使得分离结果更加接近真实值,并有效地去除了随机误差的影响,得到了采样值加密的曲线,文中给出了改进的精密三点法的算法和流程图。从仿真和实验结果来看,该方法是具有可行性和可靠性的。     

对通用数据链干扰效能评估及仿真

首先介绍了通用数据链(CDL)的技术特点,对CDL的干扰策略进行了讨论,分析了几种干扰样式的可行性。研究了脉冲干扰对CDL前向链路的BPSK扩频调制的干扰效能,对脉冲干扰下BPSK扩频调制的误码率及同步字差错率进行了计算。研究了宽带噪声干扰对CDL返向链路的OQPSK调制的干扰效能,对宽带噪声干扰下OQPSK调制的误码率进行了计算,最后分别进行了仿真分析。仿真结果显示,所研究的干扰样式在一定条件下对CDL通信链路能产生有效的干扰。     

New results on a stochastic duel game with each force consisting of heterogeneous units

Two forces engage in a duel, with each force initially consisting of several heterogeneous units. Each unit can be assigned to fire at any opposing unit, but the kill rate depends on the assignment. As the duel proceeds, each force—knowing which units are still alive in real time—decides dynamically how to assign its fire, in order to maximize the probability of wiping out the opposing force before getting wiped out. It has been shown in the literature that an optimal pure strategy exists for this two‐person zero‐sum game, but computing the optimal strategy remained cumbersome because of the game's huge payoff matrix. This article gives an iterative algorithm to compute the optimal strategy without having to enumerate the entire payoff matrix, and offers some insights into the special case, where one force has only one unit. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 56–65, 2014     

Optimal patrol to uncover threats in time when detection is imperfect

Consider a patrol problem, where a patroller traverses a graph through edges to detect potential attacks at nodes. An attack takes a random amount of time to complete. The patroller takes one time unit to move to and inspect an adjacent node, and will detect an ongoing attack with some probability. If an attack completes before it is detected, a cost is incurred. The attack time distribution, the cost due to a successful attack, and the detection probability all depend on the attack node. The patroller seeks a patrol policy that minimizes the expected cost incurred when, and if, an attack eventually happens. We consider two cases. A random attacker chooses where to attack according to predetermined probabilities, while a strategic attacker chooses where to attack to incur the maximal expected cost. In each case, computing the optimal solution, although possible, quickly becomes intractable for problems of practical sizes. Our main contribution is to develop efficient index policies—based on Lagrangian relaxation methodology, and also on approximate dynamic programming—which typically achieve within 1% of optimality with computation time orders of magnitude less than what is required to compute the optimal policy for problems of practical sizes. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 61: 557–576, 2014     

用紧支径向基函数传递固体域耦合数据的方法

针对热-电场耦合仿真计算中非匹配网格之间的数据插值问题,提出了一种基于紧支径向基函数点插值的数据传递方法。推导了数据传递矩阵,根据所提出的数据传递方法编制了非匹配网格之间数据传递计算程序,以若干组非匹配网格之间的温度插值为例进行了验证,并分析了不同参数对计算时间及精度的影响,结果表明,算法效率较高,计算误差较小,适用于以热-电场耦合为代表的固体域耦合非匹配网格间的数据传递计算。     

基于视景模拟的无人机导弹发射仿真

无人机单侧导弹发射后,无人机重量特性、重心位置、气动特性发生变化并同时产生附加的干扰力矩,无人机需要在控制系统作用下尽快恢复稳态飞行。通过在Matlab/Simulink中建立无人机六自由度非线性力学模型、控制系统模型、发动机模型、重力模型、标准大气模型、flight gear软件接口等,模拟仿真无人机单侧导弹发射过程,同时将仿真结果进行可视化视景输出,确保无人机系统平台在导弹发射过程中无人机能够很快恢复稳定姿态并按照预定轨迹飞行。视景模拟仿真结果表明：该无人机平台能够顺利完成导弹的安全发射。