飞机图像导航数据库系统的设计与开发

运用图像导航原理,设计并实现了一套飞机图像导航数据库系统.系统将导航所需的信息和若干地区的地面图预先存放在数据库中的特定位置.用户只需在系统的可视化界面中进行少量的操作,该系统就能够在飞机航行的过程中实时地显示拍摄到地面图像,并将该图像与数据库中的相关图像进行特征匹配,从而获取并提供给用户飞机当时的位置、航速快慢及航向误差等导航信息.     

基于炮口雷达的初速综合预测技术

初速对火炮的"首发命中"影响较大.因而,预估初速的各种方法纷纷出台.从发射药、火炮两个不同角度分别测算初速偏差是以往的主要方法.初速综合预测技术首次以炮口测速雷达的测量数据为基础预测初速,预测效果和使用等问题被普遍关注.本着应用原则,从工程实现中的焦点问题出发,提供了在现有指挥平台上应用的方法.     

基于FAHP的地空导弹指挥控制效能评估

为定量评估地空导弹指挥控制效能,在全面考察导弹指挥控制内容和过程的基础上,确立了较为完备的导弹指挥控制效能评价指标体系,建立了基于模糊层次法(FAHP)的指挥控制效能评估模型,对导弹的指挥控制效能进行了综合的定量分析和计算.该模型能较客观地反映各种主要因素对导弹指挥控制效能的影响.     

Reliability of a two-dimensional demand-based networked system with multistate components

Existing research on multistate system reliability has mainly focused on one-dimensional systems such as parallel systems, linear sliding window systems, and linearly consecutively connected systems. However, two-dimensional networked systems widely exist in real-world applications such as lighting systems, monitoring systems, and computer network systems. This research considers a two-dimensional networked system consisting of multistate components. The system fails if the cumulative performance of any row or any column cannot meet a predetermined demand. A novel reliability evaluation algorithm is proposed for the considered two-dimensional networked system by extending the universal generating function technique. Furthermore, the proposed model and reliability evaluation algorithm are extended to a two-dimensional networked system with phased missions. The proposed models and algorithms are illustrated by a matrix heating system in a thermoforming machine.     

基于分治采样粒子滤波的三维跟踪算法

粒子滤波在处理三维机动目标跟踪问题时,粒子点难以均匀覆盖目标状态空间,较低的样本多样性和算法冗余直接影响跟踪性能。针对该问题提出一种基于分治采样粒子滤波的跟踪算法,算法通过划分独立的状态子空间,使随机样本在各子空间内单独抽样,对目标机动实现降维处理,提高跟踪性能。仿真实验表明,相对于标准粒子滤波,该算法有效提高了样本多样性,具有更好的跟踪性能,对复杂机动状况适应性更强。     

突发威胁下的无人机动态航迹规划研究

针对突发威胁下无人机动态航迹规划的问题,提出了一种避开突发威胁的动态规划算法。利用A*算法生成全局最优航迹并进行平滑处理。当遇到突发威胁时,利用三次样条的二阶连续性及边界条件进行局部航迹规划,能够生成一簇候选路径,根据候选路径中心线与突发威胁中心线之间的夹角对候选路径簇进行旋转调整,使其路径簇完全包围突发威胁且具有对称性。最后综合考虑安全性、平滑性和连贯性的3种代价函数,建立总代价函数,选择出最佳的规避威胁航迹。实验结果表明,该算法能够在众多候选路径中选择出一条完全避开障碍安全平滑的较优航迹,且耗时短,实时性较强。     

基于改进CNN的红外目标识别方法研究

自动目标识别是红外成像精确制导武器系统的关键技术,针对传统红外目标识别算法在复杂环境作战中存在目标特征建模复杂、识别率低等问题,提出一种基于改进的卷积神经网络(Convolutional Neural Network,CNN)方法。结合红外目标特性,调整ZFNet的卷积层和池化层数量,加入空间变换网络以提高对数据变换的鲁棒性;对Dropout层的丢弃率变化进行可视化分析并确定选取原则,以提高红外目标的识别率。通过试验结果与传统方法相比,该方法具有较高的识别率,能够为红外成像导引头目标识别算法设计提供参考。     

Revenue management under randomly evolving economic conditions

We consider a dynamic pricing model in which the instantaneous rate of the demand arrival process is dependent on not only the current price charged by the concerned firm, but also the present state of the world. While reflecting the current economic condition, the state evolves in a Markovian fashion. This model represents the real‐life situation in which the sales season is relatively long compared to the fast pace at which the outside environment changes. We establish the value of being better informed on the state of the world. When reasonable monotonicity conditions are met, we show that better present economic conditions will lead to higher prices. Our computational study is partially calibrated with real data. It demonstrates that the benefit of heeding varying economic conditions is on par with the value of embracing randomness in the demand process. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 66:73–89,2019     

基于复合等效可信度加权的Bayes融合评估方法

在小子样试验评估时,为避免大量先验信息湮没实际飞行试验的信息,融合先验补充样本时通常会进行数学相容性检验并加权.首先分析了小子样情形下直接根据数据计算数学相容性可能造成的不稳定性,为改善这种情况,根据不同试验类型的不同试验环境,对不同试验类型下的误差进行分析和折合,定义了物理等效可信度;并结合物理等效可信度和数学相容性检验,得到先验样本的复合等效可信度权重,基于正态逆伽玛分布计算了Bayes融合评估的后验结果;通过比较Bayes估计后验方差与不磁合先验信息的估计后验方差,根据先验信息参与融合后是否能减小后验方差来判断先验样本是否应该参与融合.理论分析和仿真说明,基于复合等效可信度的加权方法是合理的.