Pairwise model discrimination with applications in lifetime distributions and degradation processes

Reliability data obtained from life tests and degradation tests have been extensively used for purposes such as estimating product reliability and predicting warranty costs. When there is more than one candidate model, an important task is to discriminate between the models. In the literature, the model discrimination was often treated as a hypothesis test and a pairwise model discrimination procedure was carried out. Because the null distribution of the test statistic is unavailable in most cases, the large sample approximation and the bootstrap were frequently used to find the acceptance region of the test. Although these two methods are asymptotically accurate, their performance in terms of size and power is not satisfactory in small sample size. To enhance the small‐sample performance, we propose a new method to approximate the null distribution, which builds on the idea of generalized pivots. Conventionally, the generalized pivots were often used for interval estimation of a certain parameter or function of parameters in presence of nuisance parameters. In this study, we further extend the idea of generalized pivots to find the acceptance region of the model discrimination test. Through extensive simulations, we show that the proposed method performs better than the existing methods in discriminating between two lifetime distributions or two degradation models over a wide range of sample sizes. Two real examples are used to illustrate the proposed methods.     

基于“公共平台”的炮兵营作战行动模型构件开发

目前军事行动越来越多的是在联合作战环境下展开的,联合作战仿真需要具有良好可重用性的模型。而按统一的标准进行模型开发是必需的选择,因此,引进构件技术,实现军事模型的构件化开发是实现联合作战仿真的唯一途径。     

地理社交网络位置推荐

地理社交网络将地理位置信息融合进传统社交网络,将人们的现实生活和虚拟世界的生活连接在一起。作为地理社交网络的一个重要应用,位置推荐可以向人们推荐其可能感兴趣的位置,为人们的出行提供参考,极大地便利了人们的生活。在此背景下,论文研究了地理社交网络位置推荐的基本概念,分析了位置推荐常用的方法,描述了典型的数据集及推荐效果的评估方法,指出了位置推荐面临的主要问题,并展望了未来可能的研究方向,为相关领域的研究提供参考。     

面向射频指纹识别的高效IQ卷积网络结构

现有应用于射频指纹识别的卷积网络对时序同相正交(in-phase and quadrature-phase, IQ)信号的处理都是将其简单视为图像进行的,存在识别准确率低和计算量大的问题。针对以上问题,提出了一种基于IQ相关特征的卷积神经网络结构。该网络分步提取了IQ相关特征及时域特征,通过自适应平均池化获得了各通道特征均值,并用单个全连接层进行分类。实验结果表明,较传统卷积网络结构,所提网络在多种场景下的识别准确率更高,并且计算量更小。     

Alpha稳定分布混响建模及信号检测

研究了基于对称Alpha稳定分布的浅海环境下混响及噪声的建模问题.分析了浅海环境下混响形成过程及其非高斯特性,采用对称Alpha稳定分布理论对其进行了建模,并从声呐接收端的混响瞬时值以及包络的概率密度分布与Alpha稳定分布的匹配程度验证了模型的有效性.研究了基于对称Alpha稳定分布模型的混响噪声背景下的目标信号检测方法.提出了三种检测方法并进行了仿真测试,通过检测性能及模型的精确性分析了三种方法的优缺点,验证了建模精度对检测性能的影响.     

从《关于民族问题的批评意见》一文看列宁民族理论思想——纪念列宁诞辰140周年

20世纪初,民族问题是西欧和俄国阶级斗争的焦点之一,解决民族问题成为无产阶级革命的当务之急。列宁从俄国民族斗争的实际出发,撰写了《关于民族问题的批评意见》一文,此文是列宁研究俄国民族问题的集大成之作。列宁以马克思主义民族理论为指导,澄清资产阶级和机会主义者在民族问题上散布的谬论和制造的混乱,批判了资产阶级和机会主义者鼓吹超阶级的民族文化的反动谬论,为解决俄国民族问题指明了方向。     

基于组合设计的软件可靠性测试方法

提出了将实验设计中的组合设计方法应用于软件可靠性测试。分析了组合设计方法在软件可靠性测试用例设计中应用的理论基础和基于组合设计的软件可靠性测试的一般方法。同时指出了利用软件操作剖面信息和失效数据进行可靠性评估的方法。     

军事应用网格MAGrid本体研究

本体论提供了对研究领域进行概念化描述的基本理论和方法.为了适应网络中心战的发展需求,提出了一种新的军事应用网格构想--MAGrid,并着重从本体论的角度对其进行研究和设计.在介绍本体论相关知识的基础上,提出了相应的层次化本体结构,并对MAGrid的两类主要本体--网格服务本体和网格应用本体进行了描述.通过该研究,为新时期军事应用系统的开发提供了新的思路和方法,对于提高军事系统整体效能具有一定的理论参考和应用价值.     

多样化军事任务异构数据集成应用方法

为实现多源异构作战数据高效融合共享,提出了改进型中间件异构数据集成框架,设计了作战数据融合运用核心组件,实现了多源异构作战数据综合应用平台,提高了各类作战数据的融合运用效率,为指挥员及时掌握战场态势,高效科学决策提供了数据支撑。     

On fair designs of cross-chain exchange for cryptocurrencies via Monte Carlo simulation

Cryptocurrency is one of the earliest and the most successful applications of blockchain, and it utilizes the distributed ledger, which is a commonly used technique in blockchain, to make a decentralized transaction within the blockchain of a cryptocurrency. However, how to make a decentralized transaction of cryptocurrencies between parties on different blockchains, that is, the cross-chain exchange, is not well-studied. In this paper, we develop a new method to make cross-chain exchanges based on the classical atomic swap. We first study the optionality embedded into the atomic swap and propose to add a premium into the atomic swap, and then design a new procedure with the premium to guarantee the fairness of the cross-chain exchange. We also provide an algorithm based on the least-squares Monte Carlo method to estimate the premium and analyze the convergence of the algorithm. Moreover, we study the cross-chain exchange with margin trading. We propose an adapted exchange procedure to make a fair cross-chain exchange and an algorithm to estimate the fair premium under the margin trading. Numerical experiments are provided to show the effectiveness of the algorithms.