利用AHP确定决策方案排序的一种改进方法

针对在用AHP法求解权重排序向量时 ,用不同的计算方法导致排序方案不一致的矛盾现象 ,提出了一种在单准则下综合各个排序方案信息的方法 ,使AHP法更趋于完善     

导弹对抗离散数学模型

针对现代非接触战争的特点,用数学方法研究导弹对抗模型问题,针对作战的不同目的和要求,建立两个导弹对抗的非线性规划数学模型,对模型求解设计了近似方法,该方法把上述非线性规划模型化为多个线性规划模型进行求解.对一类较简单的特殊情况进行了仔细分析,得到了分析解.最后指出该方法如何应用于动态实时优化决策.本文的方法可用来预测和评估导弹对抗的效果,为作战实时优化决策提供参考.     

稳定特征选择的多目标蚁群优化

为了提高进化算法特征选择稳定性,提出一种面向稳定特征选择的多目标蚁群优化方法。通过抽样策略集成三种特征排序法的输出作为多目标蚁群优化的稳定性指导信息,聚合特征的费舍尔分值和最大信息系数值作为多目标蚁群优化的启发式信息,以分类正确率和扩展昆彻瓦指标值作为两个优化目标,兼顾算法的分类性能与特征选择稳定性。在四个标准数据集上进行对比实验,结果表明,所提方法能够在分类性能与稳定性方面达到较好的平衡。     

Degeneracy in inventory models

In order‐quantity reorder‐point formulations for inventory items where backordering is allowed, some of the more common ways to prevent excessive stockouts in an optimal solution are to impose either a cost per unit short, a cost per stockout occasion, or a target fill rate. We show that these popular formulations, both exact and approximate, can become “degenerate” even with quite plausible parameters. By degeneracy we mean any situation in which the formulation either cannot be solved, leads to nonsensical “optimal” solutions, or becomes equivalent to something substantially simpler. We explain the reasons for the degeneracies, yielding new insight into these models, and we provide practical advice for inventory managers. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 686–705, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10037     

Rare‐event component importance for the consecutive‐k system

Various indices of component importance with respect to system reliability have been proposed. The most popular one is the Birnbaum importance. In particular, a special case called uniform Birnbaum importance in which all components have the same reliability p has been widely studied for the consecutive‐k system. Since it is not easy to compare uniform Birnbaum importance, the literature has looked into the case p = ½, p → 1, or p ≥ ½. In this paper, we look into the case p → 0 to complete the spectrum of examining Birnbaum importance over the whole range of p. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 159–166, 2002; DOI 10.1002/nav.10001     

Warranty reserves for nonstationary sales processes

Estimation of warranty costs, in the event of product failure within the warranty period, is of importance to the manufacturer. Costs associated with replacement or repair of the product are usually drawn from a warranty reserve fund created by the manufacturer. Considering a stochastic sales process, first and second moments (and thereby the variance) are derived for the manufacturer's total discounted warranty cost of a single sale for single‐component items under four different warranty policies from a manufacturer's point of view. These servicing strategies represent a renewable free‐replacement, nonrenewable free‐replacement, renewable pro‐rata, and a nonrenewable minimal‐repair warranty plans. The results are extended to determine the mean and variance of total discounted warranty costs for the total sales over the life cycle of the product. Furthermore, using a normal approximation, warranty reserves necessary for a certain protection level, so that reserves are not completely depleted, are found. Results and their managerial implications are studied through an extensive example. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 499–513, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10023     

一种基于加权证据综合的综合评价模型

针对不确定性综合评价问题,提出了一种基于加权证据综合的综合评价模型。在证据理论基础上,通过引入“证据权”概念,使D-S证据合成公式能够对具有不同权重的多个评价信息进行综合,从而将评价过程转化为计算评价结果所处状态的可信度和对评价结果的证据综合,提高了评价结果的可信性。同时,在用AHP法求同层指标各因素的相对重要性权重时,对判断矩阵进行了优化。     

军事战略、组织结构及指挥流程与信息技术融合的关系模型研究

提出了信息技术在军事上应用的阶段模型。指出随着信息技术变革力度的增加,其对军事战略、组织结构和指挥流程的影响也在逐渐增加,并在此基础上提出军队信息化中军事战略、组织结构以及指挥流程重组与信息技术融合的关系模型。     

高压细水雾灭火系统在地铁车辆中的应用

基于城市轨道交通车辆火灾危险性分析,给出了地铁车辆自动灭火系统设计的基本要求,借鉴欧洲地铁车辆消防的先进经验,提出了高压细水雾灭火系统解决方案,开创性地提出将地铁车辆和车站高压细水雾灭火系统进行整合,实现资源共享,以提高整个地铁系统的防灾救援能力。     

基于体布拉格光栅的波束合成技术研究及实现

探讨实现激光波束合成的新方法,分析体布拉格光栅作为激光波束引导器的可行性,基于Kogelnik耦合波理论,着重讨论了影响体布拉格光栅衍射效率的波长选择性和角度选择性因素。实验上给出布拉格光栅的具体制作过程,利用透射式体布拉格光栅完成了2束不同波长的激光并束、2束同种波长的激光并束实验,验证了利用布拉格光栅进行并束的可行性。为了实际中应用的方便,提出在晶体内部利用90°配置设计特定角度的布拉格光栅,让激光垂直照射晶体表面,即可满足布拉格角度入射,改良并束光路,简化理论计算,提高并束效率。