时间序列法在军械装备故障预测中的应用

运用时间序列的方法对军械装备使用中的故障进行预测,并以火炮射击的距离偏差、火炮轮胎下沉量为例进行定量的分析和计算,阐述了预测原理和使用方法。     

弹药包装经济效益评估

本文依据弹药包装的特点,通过对弹药包装军事经济效益的研究,建立了弹药包装经济效益评价指标体系和评估模型,并进行了实例分析。     

关于自适应滤波技术的一些思考

本文研究工程实践中应用Ｋａｌｍａｎ滤波时出现的滤波异常现象。文中从滤波异常的检测出发,由此构成动力学噪声方差阵的自适应估计。对于常用的衰减记忆滤波,提出了衰减因子的自适应确定方法,对于未知的动力学噪声和观测噪声的方差阵,运用Ｂａｙｅｓ－ＭＬ估计方法给出了递推估算方案。对于构造自适应滤波的技术途径,提出了一些看法。     

国外核潜艇事故中的潜艇大气控制问题

本文分析国外核潜艇事故与潜艇大气控制的关系,以及应从中吸取的经验教训。     

核动力冷却剂主泵控制的模拟实践

冷却剂主泵是核动力装置系统中的重要设备之一,为模拟核动力系统,对冷却剂主泵切换控制采用电气模拟的方法。实践证明,这既节省经费,结构简单,同时逼真性好,工作性能可靠。     

硫磷钼极压剂的研究

用新方法合成了含 S,P,Mo 三种活性元素的油溶性有机化合物,并在四球机、Falex 试验机上作了摩擦磨损试验。结果表明:添加0.5%的该化合物到46~#汽轮机油中就能显示很好的减摩、抗极压作用,在油中、空气中均较稳定。理化性能试验表明:加入该添加剂后,基础油的理化性能均合格。用 X—射线光电子能谱(XPS)对摩擦副的表面进行了测试,初步探讨了其极压抗磨机理。     

人体静电极端值的分析研究

本文在讨论人体静电定义的基础上,分析各国报导人体静电极端值差异的原因,经理论分析和实验验证,给出人体静电电位的取值范围:10~(-2)～10~5V,并证明人体静电极端值60kV 是可信的.     

Expected time delay in multi‐item inventory systems with correlated demands

This paper considers multi‐item inventory systems where a customer order may require several different items (i.e., demands are correlated across items) and customer satisfaction is measured by the time delays seen by the customers. Most inventory models on time delay in the literature assume each demand only requires one item (i.e., demands are not correlated across items or are independent). In this paper, we derive an exact expression for the expected total time delay. We show that when items are actually correlated, assuming items are independent leads to an overestimate of the total time delay. However, (1) it is extremely difficult in practice to obtain the demand information for all demand types (especially in a system with tens of thousands of part numbers), and (2) the problem becomes too complicated to be of practical interest when the correlation is considered. We then explore the possibility of including the demand information partially and develop bounds for the time delays. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 671–688, 1999     

The impact of inventory information distortion due to customer order cancellations

In this paper we study the impact of cancellations of customer orders on an inventory system. We develop a periodic review (s, S) inventory model with Poisson demands, deterministic demand leadtimes and supply leadtimes. When no set up cost is present for replenishment, the behavior of the system cost can be studied analytically. For the case with a fixed set up cost, we derive the operating characteristics of the model via an embedded Markov chain analysis. Based on this, we formulate the total cost function and suggest a two‐phase approach to optimization. Our model can be used to compute cancellation fees and to evaluate the impacts of various conditions of cancellation. We find that cancellations, as major sources of inventory information distortion, increase total system costs, and the magnitude of the cost impact depends on the probability of cancellation and the expected cancellation time. Other relevant lessons and insights are also discussed. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 213–231, 1999     

坦克火控系统误差分析及仿真系统设计与实现

分析了坦克火控系统的误差源,并以误差分析问题为背景,设计并实现了一个仿真平台,并将其应用于火控系统设计过程中,为精度分配算法提供支持.仿真系统应用火控系统的基本数学模型,通过模拟实际射击来获得火控系统输入误差与输出误差的传递关系,以此分析各误差源对系统精度影响的敏感程度,帮助设计者选择影响较为显著的误差源来进行修正,从而获得较高的系统精度.