装甲装备器材装箱优化研究

在对装甲装备器材进行科学分类的基础上,着重研究了直方体类器材的装箱优化问题,解决了目前装甲装备器材的类型与品种多、形状差异大,人工选择器材外包装箱时费时费力的问题.     

Adaptive importance sampling for extreme quantile estimation with stochastic black box computer models

Quantile is an important quantity in reliability analysis, as it is related to the resistance level for defining failure events. This study develops a computationally efficient sampling method for estimating extreme quantiles using stochastic black box computer models. Importance sampling has been widely employed as a powerful variance reduction technique to reduce estimation uncertainty and improve computational efficiency in many reliability studies. However, when applied to quantile estimation, importance sampling faces challenges, because a good choice of the importance sampling density relies on information about the unknown quantile. We propose an adaptive method that refines the importance sampling density parameter toward the unknown target quantile value along the iterations. The proposed adaptive scheme allows us to use the simulation outcomes obtained in previous iterations for steering the simulation process to focus on important input areas. We prove some convergence properties of the proposed method and show that our approach can achieve variance reduction over crude Monte Carlo sampling. We demonstrate its estimation efficiency through numerical examples and wind turbine case study.     

Does military spending promote social welfare? A comparative analysis of the BRICS and G7 countries

Whether military spending is capable of promoting social welfare is currently a controversial issue. The aim of this paper is to investigate how military spending affects the input and output of social welfare (i.e. social welfare expenditures and social welfare index). A panel cointegration analysis and an impulse response function are conducted with multi-country panel data, over two time periods, 1998–2011 and 1993–2007. In addition, to extend a comparative analysis over different economies, BRICS (i.e. Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) and G7 (i.e. the US, Japan, Germany, the UK, France, Italy, Canada) countries are selected as representatives of emerging economies and developed countries, respectively. The empirical results show that military spending enhances social welfare expenditures in developed countries, while the effect is ambiguous in emerging economies. Also, military spending is capable of promoting the social welfare index based on the FMOLS estimation. The comparative analyses indicate that unlike in the G7, the effect of the growth of military spending on the growth of social welfare expenditures is negative and shorter in the BRICS.     

图形式火警救援C3系统

图形式火警救援C~3系统是一个先进的在国内首次实现的以微型机为主处理机,达到实用水平的火警救援C~3系统。系统设计以C~3I理论和技术为基础,以地图和图形为背景,以很低的投资获取了较高的技术性能和系统功能。本文概要地介绍了该系统的总体设计思想和若干主要技术问题。     

瓦楞纸板同步剪切控制系统的设计与研制

介绍了微机控制瓦楞纸板同步剪切控制系统的设计研制。该系统由直流电机调速系统和单片微型计算机控制系统两大部分组成。直流调速系统采用线性二次型最优调节器方法设计,计算机控制系统采用单片微机双ＣＰＵ技术。它是一个大功率高精度机电控制系统,具有响应速度快,剪切精度高,可靠性好,操作方便的特点。     

不确定性作战任务形式化描述方法

针对复杂作战环境下作战任务的不可预知性特点,对不确定性任务的形式化描述方法进行了深入研究。分析不确定环境导致的任务分解和执行过程中存在的不确定性因素,从任务本身的不确定性、任务之间关系不确定性以及作战单元执行不确定性等方面,对不确定性任务进行了形式化描述,提出了不确定性任务形式化描述流程,最后通过一个实例对所提方法进行了验证。     

单层平板吸波体界面反射模型的带宽理论研究

为了优化和指导吸波体设计,介绍了单层平板吸波体界面反射模型,推导了模型所揭示的吸波体内部能量流动关系。在此基础上,导出吸波体反射吸收带宽计算公式,由界面反射模型得出影响吸收带宽的因素,包括吸波层厚度、1/4波长厚度在峰值频率处的变化率、指定的反射波能量、前界面反射波能量及后界面反射波能量等。利用推导的能量关系及带宽公式,对3个同轴样品进行分析计算,结果表明计算值与实验值吻合较好,带宽公式推导正确。     

应急物资筹集问题的双目标模糊优化决策模型

应急物资筹集决策是直接影响应急动员效果的重要决策问题之一,是实施应急保障和应急救援的关键环节。把应急物资筹集决策问题抽象为物资筹集点选择的组合优化问题,结合混合规划方法与模糊优化思想,提出了双目标模糊优化模型及改进算法;在此基础上,进一步研究了物资可动员量为模糊数时的模糊资源约束模型,并给出了相应的算法;最后用算例证明了该方法的有效性。     

罐底渗漏的罐基油气质量分数探测法识别

油罐是油品储运的重要设备,罐底最易出现穿孔渗漏油现象,致使罐基内部油气质量分数高于正常值。以油库中柴油覆土罐群为例,研究并试验了根据罐基油气质量分数识别罐底渗漏的方法：分析罐基探漏孔位置分布并钻孔;多次探测罐基油气质量分数,根据探测数据识别各罐有无底部渗漏;为了便于以后检测油库时识别各罐有无渗漏,为各罐建立状态监测表,并将无渗漏的罐基油气质量分数最高值暂定为该类罐的安全值,低于该安全值的油罐可直接判定为无渗漏。实践结果证明,这种不开罐检测罐底渗漏油的方法可及时发现故障并采取措施,对储油安全具有重要意义。     

机动管线水顶油排空油水混合物切割工艺研究

排空是机动管线的一项经常性作业。在水顶油排空过程中,不可避免地会产生混油,因此混油的切割工艺尤为关键。通过对机动管线水顶油排空作业终端混油切割流程、设备操作的分析,提出了采用1个三通球阀代替2个闸阀的切割流程,自行搭建了实验平台,测量了三通球阀的流动特性,论证了三通球阀作为机动管线混油切割阀的可行性。实验表明,新流程的使用降低了切割操作难度,提高了切割作业的快速性和准确性。