Alleviating time inconsistent behaviors via a competition scheme

Under quasi‐hyperbolic discounting, the valuation of a payoff falls relatively rapidly for earlier delay periods, but then falls more slowly for longer delay periods. When the salespersons with quasi‐hyperbolic discounting consider the product sale problem, they would exert less effort than their early plan, thus resulting in losses of future profit. We propose a winner‐takes‐all competition to alleviate the above time inconsistent behaviors of the salespersons, and allow the company to maximize its revenue by choosing an optimal bonus. To evaluate the effects of the competition scheme, we define the group time inconsistency degree of the salespersons, which measures the consequence of time inconsistent behaviors, and two welfare measures, the group welfare of the salespersons and the company revenue. We show that the competition always improves the group welfare and the company revenue as long as the company chooses to run the competition in the first place. However, the effect on group time inconsistency degree is mixed. When the optimal bonus is moderate (extreme high), the competition motivates (over‐motivates) the salesperson to work hard, thus alleviates (worsens) the time inconsistent behaviors. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 357–372, 2017     

基于Delphi-BP神经网络的装备保障能力评估

针对评估指标数量过多可能给评估过程及结果带来的弊端,在构建装备保障能力评估指标体系基础上,给出了基于Delphi法的指标体系筛选的方法步骤,通过计算累计贡献率,对指标体系进行了筛选,降低了评估模型的输入维度。建立了评估部队装备保障能力的三层BP神经网络模型,利用Matlab神经网络工具箱对网络进行了训练和仿真,结果显示误差小于10-3。最后,通过对比评估,验证了方法的有效性和正确性。     

装备保障指挥Agent框架建模

针对装备保障指挥难以用高度程式化的数学模型进行描述的问题,构建了一种装备保障指挥Agent框架模型。介绍了Agent建模方法,分析了装备保障指挥的指挥流程,并根据装备保障指挥流程和Agent的建模特点抽象出装备保障指挥Agent框架结构,对其中的各Agent内部模块进行设计,并对各Agent之间的通信模式进行了研究,设计的结构模型可为其他同类研究提供参考。     

基于应变路径法的压入管桩单桩挤土位移

基于应变路径法和球孔扩张理论,结合真实源与虚拟源、真实源与虚拟汇的相互作用,在假定土体变形为小应变的前提下,将压入实心桩单桩挤土位移的求解方法应用于压入管桩,通过求解真实源与虚拟汇共同作用下产生的竖向挤土位移,并修正地表面处的附加剪应力,得到压入管桩单桩竖向挤土位移的解析解;通过求解真实源与虚拟源共同作用下产生的水平挤土位移,并修正地表面处的附加正应力,得到压入管桩单桩水平挤土位移的解析解。由挤土位移的解析解可知,桩长、管桩内外径和土塞高度最大值的变化都会对压入管桩挤土位移产生影响。     

高渗高强混凝土材料强度特性试验及参数确定

高渗高强混凝土是一种兼具高渗透性和高强度的新材料,用在离壁式地下工程中既能确保通畅地排除围岩周边地下水,又能提高地下工程结构自身的强度,充分发挥其减震层的作用。通过正交试验得出影响材料单轴抗压强度与抗劈裂强度的4个因素的排序,结果显示:对抗压强度与抗劈裂强度影响最大的2个因素是灰集比与水灰比,聚灰比对抗劈裂强度的影响也较为明显。从材料一点的三向应力状态出发,通过对试验结果的计算得到岩土工程中广泛运用的内摩擦角和黏聚力等强度参数,经回归分析发现材料的黏聚力与抗压强度之间符合线性增长关系,该结果可以直接为岩土工程数值计算中的数据应用提供依据。     

指挥信息系统信息网络安全控制研究

针对指挥信息系统日益凸显的信息网络安全问题,分析了指挥信息系统结构模型及面临的安全威胁,在此基础上运用网络控制论的原理和方法,建立了指挥信息系统安全控制的基本框架和技术体系,明确了信息网络安全控制的核心内容和技术措施,并举例分析了信息网络安全控制系统的体系结构及组成功能,为有效保障指挥信息系统信息网络安全提供了新的途径和方法。     

基于系统动力学的装备保障体制系统仿真分析

装备保障体制系统具有复杂性、动态性和非线性等特点,构建了三级装备保障体制的SD仿真理想模型和仿真延迟模型。充分考虑保障系统生成各要素之间都具有的反馈性和时滞性,通过模型仿真对三级装备保障系统的稳定性进行了分析,并指出了建立二级装备保障体制的条件,分析了军民联合的保障机制对保持保障系统稳定性的重要作用。最后基于仿真结果提出了装备保障体制建设方面的几点建议。     

Approximation algorithms for capacitated stochastic inventory systems with setup costs

We develop the first approximation algorithm with worst‐case performance guarantee for capacitated stochastic periodic‐review inventory systems with setup costs. The structure of the optimal control policy for such systems is extremely complicated, and indeed, only some partial characterization is available. Thus, finding provably near‐optimal control policies has been an open challenge. In this article, we construct computationally efficient approximate optimal policies for these systems whose demands can be nonstationary and/or correlated over time, and show that these policies have a worst‐case performance guarantee of 4. We demonstrate through extensive numerical studies that the policies empirically perform well, and they are significantly better than the theoretical worst‐case guarantees. We also extend the analyses and results to the case with batch ordering constraints, where the order size has to be an integer multiple of a base load. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 304–319, 2014     

A balancing problem for mixed model assembly lines with a paced moving conveyor

We state a balancing problem for mixed model assembly lines with a paced moving conveyor as: Given the daily assembling sequence of the models, the tasks of each model, the precedence relations among the tasks, and the operations parameters of the assembly line, assign the tasks of the models to the workstations so as to minimize the total overload time. Several characteristics of the problem are investigated. A line‐balancing heuristic is proposed based on a lower bound of the total overload time. A practical procedure is provided for estimating the deviation of any given line‐balance solution from the theoretical optimum. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the methodology. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

上甘岭战役中的志愿军第12军

1952年1 0月14日～11月25日,中国人民志愿军第1 5军和第12军参战部队在上甘岭战役中取得了胜利,打出了“上甘岭精神”,为抗美援朝战争的最后胜利奠定了基础.本文作者作为战争亲历者,撰写此文回顾志愿军第12军参加上甘岭战役的战斗经历,并以此缅怀在战役中牺牲的战友,纪念上甘岭战役胜利60周年.