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在论述公安消防部队开展基地化训练必要性和迫切性的基础上,分析了当前在建设消防部队训练基地和开展基地化训练过程中存在的问题,提出了消防训练基地建设、以训练基地为平台实施基地化训练、开展网上训练为基地化训练奠定基础的基本构思,并剖析了实施基地化训练应注意的问题。 相似文献
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Model parameter estimation and residual life prediction for a partially observable failing system 下载免费PDF全文
We consider a partially observable degrading system subject to condition monitoring and random failure. The system's condition is categorized into one of three states: a healthy state, a warning state, and a failure state. Only the failure state is observable. While the system is operational, vector data that is stochastically related to the system state is obtained through condition monitoring at regular sampling epochs. The state process evolution follows a hidden semi‐Markov model (HSMM) and Erlang distribution is used for modeling the system's sojourn time in each of its operational states. The Expectation‐maximization (EM) algorithm is applied to estimate the state and observation parameters of the HSMM. Explicit formulas for several important quantities for the system residual life estimation such as the conditional reliability function and the mean residual life are derived in terms of the posterior probability that the system is in the warning state. Numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the applicability of the estimation procedure and failure prediction method. A comparison results with hidden Markov modeling are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 190–205, 2015 相似文献
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基于对材料特性和防弹机理的认识,设计了由Al2O3陶瓷、616装甲钢和高强PE材料构成的陶瓷基复合装甲板,并用现役127.mm穿甲燃烧弹进行靶试考核,检验靶板设计思路,结果表明:防护面密度为128 kg/m2的靶板可防住该弹。 相似文献
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基于案例推理和模糊诊断的兵器故障诊断专家系统 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
讨论了基于案例的推理和模糊诊断矩阵在兵器故障中的应用 ,建立了兵器故障诊断WDDS -E系统模型和模糊诊断矩阵模型。详细说明了系统的工作原理和设计过程 ,并给出了应用实例 相似文献
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地面防空威胁估计模糊优化计算方法及使用 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
在近年来研制成功的战术单位级地面防空作战指挥辅助决策支持系统基础上,介绍了为指挥员提供目标威胁判断使用的模糊优化评估算法以及威胁估计在地面防空指挥决策中的使用. 相似文献
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P. G. Pugh 《Defence and Peace Economics》2013,24(1):39-57
It is intrinsic to the nature of military competition that the unit acquisition costs of defence systems rise generation by generation. Traditional “bottom‐up” methods of cost‐estimating cannot meet the increasing demands for extensive studies of many options before commencing design and, while “top‐down” estimating techniques are an improvement, in particular by reducing the time required for preparing estimates, they also are inadequate to meet current requirements. A new method has been devised, therefore, further developing “top‐down” methods using Bayesian techniques to make best use of the available information, whether certain or uncertain, and its accuracy established by example. 相似文献
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户军茹 《武警工程学院学报》2010,(2):35-38
WEB服务使得网络上跨平台操作以及由不同语言开发的应用程序相互之间进行操作成为可能,并具有高度的互操作性。WEB服务为基于构件开发提供了一个相对容易的方法来适应公开的网络标准。对于C++和JAVA这两种构件,提出了一个能够把不同语言开发的构件动态地转换为WEB服务的架构:当客户希望调用WEB服务器上的构件时,构件将在服务器端被动态地转换为WEB服务,然后WSDL文件的URI将被传送回客户,那么用户就可以像访问WEB服务一样,通过使用SOAP消息去访问网络上的构件而不用再去考虑构件原本的开发语言和开发平台。 相似文献