Military Spending and Economic Growth in the Middle East Countries: Bootstrap Panel Causality Test

This study revisits the causal relationship between military spending and economic growth in 10 Middle East countries via a panel causality analysis that accounts for cross-sectional dependence and heterogeneity across countries. Our results indicate unidirectional causality from military spending to growth for Turkey; one-way causality from economic growth to military spending for Egypt, Kuwait, Lebanon, and Syria; bidirectional causality for Israel; and no causality in either direction for Jordan, Oman, and Saudi Arabia. The empirical evidence does not provide consistent results regarding the causal relationship between defense expenditure and economic growth in these countries.     

TURKEY AND MULTILATERAL NUCLEAR APPROACHES IN THE MIDDLE EAST

As many states in the Middle East are considering whether to embark on nuclear power programs, there is an urgent need to develop confidence-building measures to reassure states in the region that the programs are peaceful. One possible path would be to consider multilateral approaches to the fuel cycle in order to foster nuclear cooperation between states in the region, instead of each state going it alone, which would likely increase suspicions and the risk of a cascade of nuclear proliferation. With its policy of “zero problems with neighbors,” strategic connection to the West, and long-standing experience in the nuclear field, Turkey would be well-placed to take the lead on such a nuclear confidence-building agenda. Over time and under the right political conditions, Turkey could initiate or participate in measures including cooperation on nuclear education, safety and security, research and development, and joint fuel cycle facilities such as a regional fuel fabrication center.     

BIOLOGICAL AND CHEMICAL WEAPONS ARMS CONTROL IN THE MIDDLE EAST

Nonproliferation policies to prevent biological and chemical weapons use are important, but insufficient, particularly in view of the rise of global terrorism. Given the history of developing and using these weapons, it is crucial that governments properly prepare for biological and chemical threats, whether naturally occurring or man-made, such as by developing and managing effective healthcare infrastructure to mitigate widespread illness and injuries resulting from pandemics or terrorist attacks. Although the Middle East is one of the most sensitive and complex areas in the world—especially regarding regional arms control efforts and prevention—coordinating preparedness strategies among states in the region may be possible. Cooperatively addressing biological and chemical threats could lead to constructive progress towards the otherwise elusive goal of establishing a weapons of mass destruction-free zone in the Middle East.     

关于加强公安现役部队科研环境建设的思考

目前公安现役部队科研环境建设,还存在项目申请难度大、投资渠道单一化、团结协作攻关难、科技资源共享少、学术科研氛围淡等问题,对人才队伍建设造成一定影响。坚持“以人为本”,加强制度建设,解放思想,增加投入,活跃学术氛围,树立科研标兵,以进一步改善和优化公安现役部队科研环境。     

公安现役部队后勤专业人才队伍建设的思考

公安现役部队后勤专业人才队伍建设是后勤信息化建设的重要智力基础,关系到部队后勤全面建设和长远规划。当前,复杂的国际国内形势与繁重的边、消、警任务,对后勤专业技术人才队伍建设提出了更高要求。如何认清形势,更新观念,实现部队后勤工作的跨越式发展,关键在于更快更好地培养融指挥、管理、技术为一体的“复合型”高素质人才。     

高速艇自由变深水动力试验研究

通过模型试验,研究了高速艇从压载半潜状态自由变深到高速滑行状态的水动力现象.结果表明,当容积傅氏数大于1.25时,与舷外相通的水能完全自动排出.高速艇自由变深主要有以下5个原因:惯性作用、压载水逐渐排出导致的艇体上抬作用、艇艉由于负压形成的空穴对压载水的吸附作用、艇体动升力导致的艇体上抬作用、有利的艉倾作用.其中对具有较快加速运动的情形,惯性作用起重要地位,艇体动升力在排出流道水方面所发挥的作用相对较小,但在保持流道水排空方面发挥主导作用.     

东突恐怖势力的现状及对策分析

现代泛突厥主义理论所制造的“东突厥斯坦”问题没有历史依据。进入 90年代以来 ,新疆“东突”恐怖活动十分猖獗。有效打击恐怖主义 ,必须注意大力发展新疆经济 ,加强对宗教事务的管理 ,加大舆论宣传力度 ,充分重视基础教育 ,严厉打击恐怖活动 ,积极扩大国际反恐合作。     

对生化恐怖袭击抢险救援的思考

消防部队担负着处置生化恐怖袭击事件的抢险救援任务。在分析生化灾害及处置生化灾害的特点的基础上 ,提出提高消防部队处置生化灾害综合能力的措施。     

警卫部队信息化建设新发展的实践与思考

随着全国公安机关部署以信息化建设为龙头的＂三项建设＂全面展开,警卫部队的信息化建设也进入一个新的发展阶段.在新一轮信息化建设过程中,真正促进警卫部队整体战斗力的提升,需要对前一阶段的信息化建设有一个理性的回顾和冷静的思考.结合上海警卫工作实际和警卫部队特点,对信息化建设进一步发展的具体思路进行了探索性阐述,提出一些新的观点和理念.     

论拓展公安边防部队廉政文化建设的载体

拓展公安边防部队廉政文化建设的载体,运用政治学、新制度经济学、统计学、计量学和木桶理论等相关理论和分析方法,对拓展公安边防部队廉政文化建设的载体进行深入剖析,内容主要围绕创建、创办、宣传、教育四个方面进行,并提出相应的对策。