MONEY IN SOUTHERN AFRICAN POLITICS

“Lack of money is the root of all evil”

George Bernard Shaw

In a environment where party financing, private funding in particular, is generally a laissez-faire business, as in most Southern African countries, there is the real risk that interest groups and wealthy individuals will buy influence in political parties and in so doing erode public confidence in the political system. Because they are neither open to public scrutiny nor subject to any legislative restraints, huge private donations can, and often do, come with strings attached. This lack of transparency and openness, as well as mechanisms to prevent it, provides ample ground for influence peddling, where those who pay the piper call the tune. Left unchecked, this party funding scenario will continue to be a serious indictment of the region's democratisation projects, crippling democracy and stunting economic development. This article consid     

Axis2与NET平台间Web服务安全交互研究与实现

Web服务基于一系列开放的标准技术,具有松散耦合、语言中立、平台无关、互操作性的优点。近年来,在武警部队信息化建设中,很多平台都构建了Web服务。但由于Web服务的各个平台对WS—Security规范的支持不统一,这就为全部队涉及不同业务部门的异构平台web服务的安全交互带来了问题。通过分析NET和Axis2Web服务平台对WS—Security规范的支持,提出一个方案来解决多个异构Web服务平台之间的安全交互问题,最后通过实验证明了该方案的可行性。     

基于双树复小波变换的信号去噪算法

为了提高接收信号的质量,在一定程度上消除噪声对信号的影响,提出了一种基于双树复小波变换的信号降噪方法。通过双树结构消除了因间隔采样而丢失的有用信息,对每一层的高频分量的实部和虚部分别计算阈值,依据各自的阈值进行滤波处理。实验结果表明:该方法与离散小波变换消噪方法相比具有平移不变性,处理后的波形较平滑,能够较好地保留信号细节信息,而且其去噪性能也优于离散小波变换。     

Defence R&D expenditure: The crowding-out hypothesis

The impact of defence expenditure on the economy has been widely studied through different types of models. However, the results from these studies have not reached definitive conclusions, and have left a gap in the analysis of the impact of defence R&D expenditure at the economy level. Defence R&D has specific characteristics, which lead to market failures: public good, high risk and uncertainty, national security. Also, defence R&D creates two types of externalities: negative (crowding-out), and positive (spin-off). Crowding-out is the major economic debate about defence R&D. This paper analyses the crowding-out hypothesis by applying three types of models for the UK case: supply, demand, and demand-supply models. From these three models the most reliable is chosen and applied to the individual cases of France, Germany, Japan and USA. The paper also reports the results for the pooled data of these five countries, and for four error component models. The results from estimating such models shed light on the defence R&D crowding-out hypothesis.     

STK飞行任务仿真及其在空地链路分析中的应用

飞行仿真是飞行航路设计,飞行任务规划以及飞行训练等项目中非常重要的一项任务。介绍了在STK(Satellite Tool Kit)的三维显示环境下,利用STK提供的专业化模块STK/AMM(Aircraft Mission Modeler)进行航空器飞行任务仿真的方法,详细阐述了利用该模块进行飞行任务规划和飞行路径设计的过程。同时结合STK的数据分析功能完成航空器在飞行过程中与地面台站的通信链路的可用性分析。给出的仿真方法较以往的仿真方法简单,设计过程更加灵活,可以快速地实现飞行任务仿真设计和空地通信链路的可用性分析。     

小子样下火炮连发密集度的分析与评估

针对火炮连发模式下射弹散布不完全服从正态分布,而缺乏有效密集度估计方法的问题,提出了基于二维云模型和蒙特卡罗方法相结合的火炮连发密集度估计新方法。首先应用蒙特卡罗抽样解决火炮射击样本量少的问题,然后应用二维逆向云算法对火炮射击结果进行密集度估计,最后用二维正向云发生器模拟生成新的射弹散布数据,进而直观地看出弹点分布情况。实例分析表明,该方法更符合火炮连发射弹散布真实情形,分析结果更准确可靠,从而为基地火炮连发密集度试验数据分析与评估提供了一种有效的方法。     

C2系统的敏捷性

C2系统敏捷性是信息时代衡量系统应对外界环境变化能力的新方法,目前C2系统敏捷性相关研究理论主要由美国指挥控制研究计划小组(CCRP)和北约研究任务组(NATO-RTS)提出。通过对现有C2系统敏捷性的定义、组成要素、概念模型、观测和度量使能、评价方法等研究成果进行系统的介绍和总结。分析了敏捷商热点前沿研究方向,探讨现有研究的不足、未来发展方向以及对我军C2系统设计建设的借鉴意义。     

Capacity investment decisions under risk aversion

This article studies the optimal capacity investment problem for a risk‐averse decision maker. The capacity can be either purchased or salvaged, whereas both involve a fixed cost and a proportional cost/revenue. We incorporate risk preference and use a consumption model to capture the decision maker's risk sensitivity in a multiperiod capacity investment model. We show that, in each period, capacity and consumption decisions can be separately determined. In addition, we characterize the structure of the optimal capacity strategy. When the parameters are stationary, we present certain conditions under which the optimal capacity strategy could be easily characterized by a static two‐sided (s, S) policy, whereby, the capacity is determined only at the beginning of period one, and held constant during the entire planning horizon. It is purchased up to B when the initial capacity is below b, salvaged down to Σ when it is above σ, and remains constant otherwise. Numerical tests are presented to investigate the impact of demand volatility on the optimal capacity strategy. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 218–235, 2016     

计算机辅助三向伴流场的测试技术研究

运用计算机技术对三向伴流场的测试进行研究,对多点三向伴流场测量系统原理、方法及计算机辅助采样、计算和分析进行了阐述．     

Gas metal arc welding of high nitrogen stainless steel with Ar-N2-O2 ternary shielding gas

High nitrogen stainless steel with nitrogen content of 0.75％was welded by gas metal arc welding with Ar—N2-O2 ternary shielding gas. The effect of the ternary shielding gas on the retention and improvement of nitrogen content in the weld was identified. Surfacing test was conducted first to compare the ability of O2 and CO2 in prompting nitrogen dissolution. The nitrogen content of the surfacing metal with O2 is slightly higher than CO2. And then Ar—N2-O2 shielding gas was applied to weld high nitrogen stainless steel. After using N2-containing shielding gas, the nitrogen content of the weld was improved by 0.1 wt％. As N2 continued to increase, the increment of nitrogen content was not obvious, but the ferrite decreased from the top to the bottom. When the proportion of N2 reached 20％, a full austenitic weld was obtained and the tensile strength was improved by 8.7％. Combined with the results of surfacing test and welding test, it is concluded that the main effect of N2 is to inhibit the escape of nitrogen and suppress the ni-trogen diffusion from bottom to the top in the molten pool.