Exact analysis of (R,s, S) inventory control systems with lost sales and zero lead time

We study an (R, s, S) inventory control policy with stochastic demand, lost sales, zero lead‐time and a target service level to be satisfied. The system is modeled as a discrete time Markov chain for which we present a novel approach to derive exact closed‐form solutions for the limiting distribution of the on‐hand inventory level at the end of a review period, given the reorder level (s) and order‐up‐to level (S). We then establish a relationship between the limiting distributions for adjacent values of the reorder point that is used in an efficient recursive algorithm to determine the optimal parameter values of the (R, s, S) replenishment policy. The algorithm is easy to implement and entails less effort than solving the steady‐state equations for the corresponding Markov model. Point‐of‐use hospital inventory systems share the essential characteristics of the inventory system we model, and a case study using real data from such a system shows that with our approach, optimal policies with significant savings in inventory management effort are easily obtained for a large family of items.     

基于似然比检验的橡胶密封件加速试验机理一致性判别方法

加速退化试验广泛应用于橡胶密封件等长寿命产品的可靠性评估,试验过程中需要将高应力水平下的试验结果外推到正常应力水平。要获得准确的产品可靠性评估结果,需要保证加速应力下的退化失效机理与正常应力下的退化失效机理一致。基于似然比检验原理,提出加速退化试验机理一致性判别方法及流程。针对失效机理一致与失效机理变化两种场合,提出对数线性及非对数线性两类加速模型,并结合混合效应模型描述产品退化过程。利用似然比检验判断加速模型参数是否变化,完成失效机理一致性判别。仿真算例和应用实例表明,该方法能够有效判别橡胶密封件失效机理是否变化,并找到失效机理不变的应力水平边界。     

Competitive location and capacity decisions for firms serving time‐sensitive customers

In this article we explore how two competing firms locate and set capacities to serve time‐sensitive customers. Because customers are time‐sensitive, they may decline to place an order from either competitor if their expected waiting time is large. We develop a two‐stage game where firms set capacities and then locations, and show that three types of subgame perfect equilibria are possible: local monopoly (in which each customer is served by a single firm, but some customers may be left unserved), constrained local monopoly (in which firms serve the entire interval of customers but do not compete with each other), and constrained competition (in which firms also serve the entire interval of customers, but now compete for some customers). We perform a comparative statics analysis to illustrate differences in the equilibrium behavior of a duopolist and a coordinated monopolist. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

一种估计来波信号极化状态的新方法

干扰场的极化估计是自适应极化滤波器首要的也是最为关键的一步,极化估计器的精度直接制约极化滤波器的滤波效果.基于单极化雷达接收天线的空域极化特性,提出了一种来波信号极化状态的估计方法.首先介绍了算法的估计原理,并对算法性能进行理论分析,在此基础上,进行相应的计算机仿真实验,探讨了影响估计性能的主要因素及提高算法性能的主要途径.理论推导和计算机仿真结果均证明了估计算法的有效性.     

Morts pour la France: Demographic or Economic Factors?

This article offers a comprehensive analysis of the database ‘Mémoire des hommes’, which is a record of more than 1 million French soldiers officially recognized as dead during the World War I (WWI). Integrating this source with the 1911 census, we evaluate the potential numbers of recruits by French regional department. From this, a model identifies the factors affecting the number of deaths. While demographic factors are the principal determinants, adding significant economic, political and spatial factors reduces the unexplained variance between regions and significantly improves the explanation of the disparity in the number of deaths by region.     

Asia-Pacific Demand for Military Expenditure: Spatial Panel and SUR Estimates

This article investigates the demand for military expenditure for a sample of key Asia-Pacific countries. Spatial panel demand estimates are presented for three joined spatial units using a fixed-coefficient spatial lag model based on a two-step efficient GMM estimator. Spatial autoregression estimates are next presented for 1991–2015, founded on alternative kinds of country connectivities, such as contiguity, inverse distance, discrete distance, and power-projection considerations. Finally, 11 select countries’ demands for defense equations are estimated using seemingly unrelated regressions. From alternative perspectives, these estimated models indicate how Asia-Pacific countries respond to the defense spending of other countries. In the spatial runs, free riding is prevalent despite the growing military might of China, which apparently is not generally viewed as a threat. For the sample period, the projection of Chinese or American power is a relevant spatial factor. The main threat is reflected in non-U.S. allies’ reaction to U.S. allies’ defense spending during 1991–2015 and to Chinese defense spending after 2002.     

应用镁金属化学还原法制备多孔Si/Si-O-C负极材料机理研究

以二乙烯基苯和聚硅氧烷为原料经先驱体转化法制备Si-O-C材料,利用镁金属在惰性气氛保护下高温还原制备多孔的Si/Si-O-C负极材料。利用X射线衍射、能谱分析、元素分析和场发射扫描电镜分析多孔Si/Si-O-C负极材料的组成、结构、形貌,从而研究利用镁金属化学还原法制备多孔Si/Si-O-C负极材料的机理。结果表明,镁金属在还原过程中生成MgO和Mg_2SiO_4等产物,经HCl洗涤后可形成多孔的Si/Si-O-C负极材料。Si/Si-O-C材料中的单质硅分布于多孔的Si-O-C相中,一定程度上可缓解Si在循环过程中产生的体积效应。利用镁金属还原Si-O-C材料制备多孔Si/Si-O-C材料是一种可行的制备方法。     

形状记忆合金自复位减振装置研制与验证

为改善第二喉道中的可调中心体机构(简称中心体)在工作状态下的流致振动,根据形状记忆合金(shape memory alloy, SMA)偏置双程驱动原理,设计制作一种能够满足中心体有限安装空间要求的SMA自复位减振装置;采用UMAT接口编制的SMA本构关系子程序实现减振装置最大压紧力的数值分析,数值分析与静态调试试验结果误差约为2.58%;搭建地面减振试验平台,测试SMA自复位减振装置分离和闭合状态下的中心体零部件振动响应。减振试验结果显示:SMA自复位减振装置闭合后,中心体振动响应明显降低,在0～100 Hz频带内,均有明显的减振效果,低频至55 Hz范围内,减振率均大于50%。     

新型微小管道机器人驱动特性分析

研制了一种具有"大驱动、快速、长距离运动"综合性能的新型微小管道机器人。机器人采用电机驱动蠕动式爬行方案,主要包括自调节支撑机构、柔性保持机构、软轴驱动机构、卸载机构等,适用于直径为15~20mm的微细管道。在介绍了工作原理及机构组成的基础上,对各机构的力学特性进行了分析。虚拟仿真和样机试验表明,机器人能顺利通过曲率半径不小于80mm的弯管,移动速度为8~10mm/s,具有0~90°爬坡能力,可双向移动,其负载能力不小于10N,载重自重比可达6.67∶1。     

应对突发事件的思想政治教育思想导向机制建设探析

应对突发事件的思想政治教育思想导向机制建设的内容主要是抓好五个教育,即科学理论教育、社会主义优越性教育、基本国情和形势教育、党的惠民工程教育、社会主义利益观教育。其应强调的问题及对策包括三个方面,即准确把握教育对象的思想动态、增强思想导向的实效性、坚持以人为本。